Rasmussen: Obama 50 %, McCain 46%

[irvin88]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 46%. It’s the first time since September 25 that McCain’s support has reached 46%, but Obama has now enjoyed a four-to-eight point advantage for twenty-one straight days (see trends).

Today’s numbers do not reflect any impact from last night’s Presidential Debate. Results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The overwhelming majority of interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of the debate. Sunday morning’s results will be the first based entirely upon post-debate interviews.

[canters]

NICE!! I am waiting on Zogby,,,they are usually among the most accurate at the end of the election.

[irvin88]

NICE!! I am waiting on Zogby,,,they are usually among the most accurate at the end of the election.

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll
Posted: Wednesday, October 15, 2008


Obama maintained a 3-point lead over McCain going into their third and final debate. Among the early trends in our tracking poll is an increase in undecideds among respondents 65 and older. There are now almost as many sitting on the fence in this group as there are among independents, where the race is tight. McCain could also be doing better among conservatives and married women.


About IBD/TIPP: An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed IBD's polling partner, TIPP, was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season.

[canters]

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll
Posted: Wednesday, October 15, 2008


Obama maintained a 3-point lead over McCain going into their third and final debate. Among the early trends in our tracking poll is an increase in undecideds among respondents 65 and older. There are now almost as many sitting on the fence in this group as there are among independents, where the race is tight. McCain could also be doing better among conservatives and married women.


About IBD/TIPP: An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed IBD's polling partner, TIPP, was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season.


Thanks Irvin,,,within striking distance.:)

[Bonecrusher#31]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 46%. It’s the first time since September 25 that McCain’s support has reached 46%, but Obama has now enjoyed a four-to-eight point advantage for twenty-one straight days (see trends).

Today’s numbers do not reflect any impact from last night’s Presidential Debate. Results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The overwhelming majority of interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of the debate. Sunday morning’s results will be the first based entirely upon post-debate interviews.


Its over ....... McCain in a landslide :bang2:





:laugh1:

[Heisenberg]

NICE!! I am waiting on Zogby,,,they are usually among the most accurate at the end of the election.

Zogby today:

Obama 49%
McCain 43.5%

http://zogby.com/

[NinePointOh]

Interesting how polls are useless and unreliable until you find one you like ...

[Doomsday101]

Interesting how polls are useless and unreliable until you find one you like ...

I find them all to be a bit unreliable even the ones that have McCain closing ground. They are about as usless as the point spread in a game.

[REDVOLUTION]

I dont know much about the polls and how they choose who to poll... but I heard that a good number of the polls were Dem-biased... with that said... ALOT of the times McCain is within the margin of error... so what is the deal?

Gore and Kerry were ahead right before election also, correct?



As you know I dont have a dog in this race. I am independent.

I will call the Dems and Repubs for the messes they are. :D

[NinePointOh]

I dont know much about the polls and how they choose who to poll... but I heard that a good number of the polls were Dem-biased...

There's a much higher proportion of registered Democrats in the US at the moment than registered Republicans. Hence, any truly random sample will poll more Democrats than Republicans. If you want something that looks more like a 50-50 ratio between Democrats and Republicans, you can look at Rasmussen Polls, which artificially weight their results by party affiliation. If you want a more accurate representation of overall public opinion, however, you're going to have to settle for there being more Democrats in the random sample than Republicans.

with that said... ALOT of the times McCain is within the margin of error... so what is the deal?Over the course of weeks and months, there are any number of events which influence public opinion, in addition to statistical anomalies. No handful of cherry-picked polls will give you a reliably accurate picture, but looking at the overall trend of all the polls is remarkably accurate.

Gore and Kerry were ahead right before election also, correct?Wrong.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Pres08vs04aand000verlay-thumb-600x450.png

Contrary to popular belief around here, the polls showed both Kerry and Gore behind at this point and never showed them ahead at any time between now and the election. Further, you'll note that in both 2000 and 2004, the actual vote was within 3% -- the margin of error -- of the polls. The bigger variance was in 2000, when Gore actually outperformed the polls by winning the popular vote.

Obama is far ahead of where either Kerry or Gore were at any point during their elections.