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View Full Version : Sturm: Decoding Garrett - Week 3 - Tampa Bay


WoodysGirl
09-25-2012, 02:09 PM
Tuesday, September 25, 2012

In the 27th game under Jason Garrett, the Cowboys have reached an all-new low in a very vital department for their offense on Sunday against a defense that was quite generous to the New York Giants the week before.

It is the concept of "winning 1st Down". It simply means that as an offense, the play that is valued least by the general public is so important to the minds that call plays. If you win 1st Down, then you set up a variety of options for 2nd and 3rd Down. However, if you lose 1st Down, as the Cowboys did on a regular basis, you eliminate most of your creative options and simply fall into a "we need yardage badly" posture which results in the invitation of blitzes, mixed up coverages, and the advantage swings heavily to the defense.

In a way, the Cowboys are losing the fundamental struggles in football in these last two weeks in completely different ways. In Seattle, it was falling behind and allowing the undermanned offensively Seahawks to dictate the style and pace of most of the contest. In this game, the score was never a major issue, but every 1st and 10 situation for the offense led to 3rd and a mile.

Since Jason Garrett has been coach, no single game made a bigger mess out of 1st Down than Sunday. In fact, only 3 times under Garrett has the offense not been under 9 yards in the "Average yards to go on 2nd Down" category. Those 3 games were, at Philadelphia last year (9.88), the home game against Washington in 2011 (9.76), and the game at San Francisco (9.04). Otherwise, in all of the other games, the Cowboys were inside 9, and most of the time even inside 8 yards to go. The best work ever under Garrett was Thanksgiving of 2010 when they only had 6.04 yards to go on 2nd Down.

But, Sunday, they went backwards on 1st Down. Then, they had penalties. By the time they actually snapped the ball on 2nd Down, they were at a shocking 11.3 yards to go on 2nd Down. 11.3! Not only is it the worst under Garrett, it is the worst by a healthy margin of a yard and a half. Shocking. Long 2nd Downs usually lead to long 3rd Downs and in this case an average of 9.5 yards to go on 3rd Down. Not the recipe for a win, but because of some field position generosity where the Cowboys were beneficiaries of some short fields and the ineptness of the Bucs' offense, the Cowboys still won.


Read alot more: http://sturminator.blogspot.com/2012/09/decoding-garrett-week-3-tampa-bay.html

Doomsday101
09-25-2012, 02:19 PM
I tend to agree that 1st down success opens the playbook. It becomes much harder and more predictable when you are in 2nd and 10 or 2nd and 15, defense becomes less concerned with the run.

TonyS
09-25-2012, 02:22 PM
Does anyone know if Garrett scripts the first few plays of the game? I remember some teams did this where they knew the first few plays of the opening drive that they wanted to run. Seems like this would make it easier on the offense in terms of knowing the play/assignment, snap count, etc... Might get us to jell a little sooner on O.

cowboys2233
09-25-2012, 02:24 PM
But, Sunday, they went backwards on 1st Down. Then, they had penalties. By the time they actually snapped the ball on 2nd Down, they were at a shocking 11.3 yards to go on 2nd Down. 11.3! Not only is it the worst under Garrett, it is the worst by a healthy margin of a yard and a half. Shocking. Long 2nd Downs usually lead to long 3rd Downs and in this case an average of 9.5 yards to go on 3rd Down. Not the recipe for a win, but because of some field position generosity where the Cowboys were beneficiaries of some short fields and the ineptness of the Bucs' offense, the Cowboys still won.

This is spot on. Great analysis and really points to both the impact of stupid penalties and the real issue this team is dealing with. How sad is that that we averaged negative yards on first down? Put another way, we could have told the refs that we just wanted to start our possession on second down and we would have been in better shape.

reddyuta
09-25-2012, 02:55 PM
I really wish we had a better blocking TE than Witten so he could not be asked to do it so much,we are misusing him at this stage of his career and it is causing a chain reaction with false starts etc.

Wolfpack
09-25-2012, 04:40 PM
Love the article but thats not good news.