View Full Version : "The Chart"
11-05-2006, 03:53 PM
The Chart (http://www.footballcommentary.com/twoptchart.htm)
This takes into account how many points you lead (or trail) by AND how much time is left in the game.
The interesting thing is that there is no consideration for the first half. It begins with 30 minutes left in the game.
11-05-2006, 03:58 PM
One of the all-time dumbest decisions by a HC!!
What's sickening is that Parcells' old QB, Phil Simms, has been one TV analyst preaching for years that coaches go for 2 way too soon in the game. What's sad is he was talking about it in the 2nd Half!
No one in their right mind thinks about the 2 point chart at the end of the first quarter/beginning of the second quarter when they just took the LEAD!!
11-05-2006, 04:01 PM
I think the conversion had a lot to do with the one we converted last week.
11-05-2006, 04:05 PM
"We have not included Chart entries for the first half of the game. To be sure, even in a close game, there are certain score differentials—down by 2, or leading or tailing by 5—for which it is correct to go for two with most of the second quarter left to play. However, the more time that remains in the game, the more likely it is that kicking an extra point is the right thing to do. Indeed, in the limiting case of an infinite game, only expected points matter. Therefore, one would go for two only if the probability of success exceeds half the probability of a kicked extra point—about 0.4925. But to paraphrase Woody Allen, an infinite game is very long, especially near the end."
Hitzges just made an excellent point. He expects us to go for two any time we get a one-point lead the rest of the season.
11-05-2006, 04:08 PM
Didnt a similar decision come up last week and he kicked the extra point? That was a baffling decisions that I really dont quite understand the logic of.
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