Updated draft order - Dallas Cowboys Forum

BIGDen · 11-17-2004

For those curious as to where we would be picking if the draft were held today - here it is:

# Team W-L Opponents'
W-L %
1 San Francisco 1-8 .479
2 Miami 1-8 .549
3 Carolina 2-7 .514
4 Tampa Bay 3-6 .458
5 Tennessee 3-6 .500
6x Dallas (from Buffalo*) 3-6 .521
7x Washington 3-6 .521
8 Oakland 3-6 .528
9 Kansas City 3-6 .549
10 Dallas 3-6 .556
11 Cleveland 3-6 .576
12x Arizona 4-5 .451
13x New Orleans 4-5 .451
14 Chicago 4-5 .486
15 Houston 4-5 .521
16 Detroit 4-5 .535
17 Cincinnati 4-5 .557
18 Seattle 5-4 .431
19 St. Louis 5-4 .465
20 Green Bay 5-4 .493
21 Minnesota 5-4 .507
22 San Diego (from New York Giants**) 5-4 .542
23 Denver 6-3 .444
24 San Diego 6-3 .472
25 New York Jets 6-3 .486
26 Jacksonville 6-3 .507
27x Indianapolis 6-3 .528
28x Baltimore 6-3 .528
29 Atlanta 7-2 .481
30 New England 8-1 .451
31 Philadelphia 8-1 .472
32 Pittsburgh 8-1 .500

VACowboy · 11-17-2004

The Bucs won't be picking ahead of us when all is said and done.

SA_Gunslinger · 11-17-2004

2 top ten's would be a somewhat good consolation for this year.

DoomsDayD · 11-17-2004

I would be happy with 2 top tens and a boat load of money for FA's

4lifecowboy · 11-17-2004

How do they decide order for teams with identical records? Because with us losing by 20 points in the last few games seems like it should be factored in. I would go as far saying that Buffalo is actually better than us.

BIGDen · 11-17-2004

Quote:

Originally Posted by 4lifecowboy

How do they decide order for teams with identical records? Because with us losing by 20 points in the last few games seems like it should be factored in. I would go as far saying that Buffalo is actually better than us.

Opponents strength of schedule is usually the determining factor. If the Cowboys are tied at 6-10 with another team that they haven't played head-to-head, the team that has had "easier" opponents (worse winning percentage) will pick higher. The thinking is that the team that had the same record as another team yet played and easier schedule should draft higher because their record is even less impressive - based on opponents faced.

DoomsDayD · 11-17-2004

i think both us and buffalo will have 5 wins this year. should make it interesting.

Woods · 11-17-2004

Quote:

Originally Posted by VACowboy

The Bucs won't be picking ahead of us when all is said and done.

I think KC will be picking after us as well.

hockix · 11-17-2004

I think Buffalo still have to play Miami, San-Francisco, Cincy and Cleveland...

I don't think their pick will be that high, but badly, our own pick will be pretty high.

dstew60105 · 11-17-2004

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockix

I think Buffalo still have to play Miami, San-Francisco, Cincy and Cleveland...

I don't think their pick will be that high, but badly, our own pick will be pretty high.

But a lot of their remainng games are on the road where they have been awful. If they continue their losing ways, odds are they replace Bledsoe with Losmann. 6-10 seems where they will fall. Dallas and Buffalo could have identical records.

Don

Nors · 11-17-2004

we can get to #3 and #5 in this draft?

Put Henson in!

Hostile · 11-17-2004

Quote:

Originally Posted by BIGDen

For those curious as to where we would be picking if the draft were held today - here it is:

# Team W-L Opponents'
W-L %
1 San Francisco 1-8 .479
2 Miami 1-8 .549
3 Carolina 2-7 .514
4 Tampa Bay 3-6 .458
5 Tennessee 3-6 .500
6x Dallas (from Buffalo*) 3-6 .521
7x Washington 3-6 .521
8 Oakland 3-6 .528
9 Kansas City 3-6 .549
10 Dallas 3-6 .556
11 Cleveland 3-6 .576
12x Arizona 4-5 .451
13x New Orleans 4-5 .451
14 Chicago 4-5 .486
15 Houston 4-5 .521
16 Detroit 4-5 .535
17 Cincinnati 4-5 .557
18 Seattle 5-4 .431
19 St. Louis 5-4 .465
20 Green Bay 5-4 .493
21 Minnesota 5-4 .507
22 San Diego (from New York Giants**) 5-4 .542
23 Denver 6-3 .444
24 San Diego 6-3 .472
25 New York Jets 6-3 .486
26 Jacksonville 6-3 .507
[View Full Quote]

Those numbers are a bit off as far as win percentages and it affects the draft order.

http://cowboyszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13093

1. San Francisco 49ers, 1-8, .506 Opp. Win %
2. Miami Dolphins, 1-8, .580

3. Carolina Panthers, 2-7, .543

4. Washington Redskins, 3-6, .457
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 3-6, .494
6. Tennessee Titans, 3-6, .506
7. Oakland Raiders, 3-6, .519
8. Kansas City Chiefs, 3-6, .543 (Subject to coin flip)
9. Dallas Cowboys, 3-6, .543 (Subject to coin flip)
10. Buffalo Bills, 3-6, .593 (Cowboys own Pick)
11. Cleveland Browns, 3-6, .630

12. New Orleans Saints, 4-5, .432
13. Chicago Bears, 4-5, .457
14. Cincinnati Bengals, 4-5, .481 (Subject to coin flip)
15. Arizona Cardinals,4-5, .481 (Subject to coin flip)
16. Houston Texans, 4-5, .519
17. Detroit Lions, 4-5, .556

18. Seattle Seahawks, 5-4, .407
19. Green Bay Packers, 5-4, .432
20. St. Louis Rams, 5-4, .469
21. New York Giants, 5-4, .481 (Chargers own Pick)
22. Minnesota Vikings, 5-4, .519

23. New York Jets, 6-3, .407
24. Denver Broncos, 6-3, .469
25. Jacksonville Jaguars, 6-3, .506 (Subject to coin flip)
26. Baltimore Ravens, 6-3, .506 (Subject to coin flip)
27. San Diego Chargers, 6-3, .506 (Subject to coin flip)
28. Indianapolis Colts, 6-3, .531

29. Atlanta Falcons, 7-2, .420

30. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8-1, .481
31. Philadelphia eagles, 8-1, .494
32. New England Patriots, 8-1, .506

Numbers all crunched by the computer automatically.

For example Dallas % by the quoted list list is .556.

By the included list it is .543.

Here are Dallas opponents so far with wins and losses.

Minnesota 5-4
Cleveland 3-6
Washington 3-6
NY Giants 5-4
Pittsburgh 8-1
Packers 5-4
Lions 4-5
Bengals 3-6
Eagles 8-1

That's 44 wins over 81 games played.

44/81 =.543

Even if you calculate in the rest of the schedule we haven't played so far it comes to .549 instead of .556.

Bobo · 11-17-2004

Will we get any compensatory (sp?) picks? Still not sure exatly how that works. Is it you just get a pick if a free agent lost has a very good year?