Same as it ever was, same as it ever was.....
Some here may want to drop back a couple of years ago (before the 2010 college season) and see how many were saying Ryan Mallett would be the 1st over pick , or at worst in mid 1st round. I'll tell you now, there were many dozens on this board saying this...and they would have called you an idiot if you said otherwise.
And before that same season, certainly nobody mentioned Cam Newton as even a 5th rounder.
This happens almost every single year--a full year before the draft we say whose going in the 1st round the next year, and thena year later, without fail, we see how far off we are on several picks.
It's really, really early to know who will go int he 1st round next year at QB.
At least the Andrew Luck prognostications are holding up.