Originally Posted by SkinsHokieFan
With the boneheaded INTs I saw Luck throw this year, absolutley.
He has incredible skills, but his arm strength is average and he tries to force the ball. There is a reason Wilson and RG3 combined for 8 fewer INT's then Luck.
Luck is playing in an antquated system that either a) asks him to force the ball downfield or b) he is not nearly as smart as I thought he was when I saw him play in college and he can't adjust to the fact that his run game doesn't provide him a wide open Fleener 20 yards behind safeties anymore off a play action pass. He was playing behind an NFL line the last 2 seasons at Stanford.
Thats what happened to Grossman. Great college QB in a gimmick college offense which gave him wide open WRs. In the NFL he had some success but he simply couldn't adjust to no longer have guys running wide open like he did at UF.
[View Full Quote]Luck, thanks to a dominant dominant run game at Stanford (which was hardly "pro style" except in formations) was throwing to TE's who were 25 yards behind safeties.
From where I sit, Luck looks a lot more like a rookie Peyton Manning than a rookie Rex Grossman.
Grossman played in an offense that relied on a lot of one-on-one matchups with receivers on the outside, and it's no surprise that he has most of his success against man coverage. The easiest way to stop Grossman is to play zone. Grossman also struggles mightily when he's pressured.
Neither of these describes Luck. Like the rookie Peyton Manning, he plays well against the zone, though he's made a lot of rookie mistakes because NFL defenses are much better at disguising their coverages. He's also fearless in the face of pressure. Stanford ran a run-heavy but pro-style offense under Harbaugh, and Luck hit the ground running when he reached the NFL. I guarantee you he's learned a lot about reading NFL defenses.
Luck did a lot of things very well in 2012, and he was asked to carry the heaviest load of all the rookie QB starters. While that didn't do his stat line any favors, it will end up accelerating his growth. RG3 and Wilson both put up impressive TD/INT stats, but their teams weren't relying on them as heavily, and what they were asked to do in the passing game was simplified relative to Luck. Unless that changes, in 3 years, Luck is likely to be emerging as one of the elite passers in the game, while Griffin and Wilson will still be learning the ropes of passing in the NFL. If Griffin misses a substantial part of 2013 while rehabbing a catastrophic knee injury, he'll be even further behind.