Originally Posted by silverbear
And how many of those 30 were drafted before pick 18??
I see you got your answer. You might notice that I never broke the first round into groups. My contention is and remains that your best chance at finding an elite talent is in the firs round.
Adam brings some interesting insight into this, but it does not IMO change the facts. Keep in mind, I am not talking value. The question becomes are two second rounders better than one first round? Are four third round picks better than two second round picks? Good questions, but not at all what I am talking about.
I know excellent talent if found in every round as Joe Montana, and Tom Brady would attest to and I do not dispute that.
I already said this before, but play with me on this one. If someone told you they would give you 10 million dollars if you could pick a future Pro Bowler from the 2007 draft. They also told you that you could have one pick in the #18 slot of any round, which round would you choose?
Again, I understand value and that is what Adam is talking about. I am talking about one shot one kill. Where are you most likely to find elite talent?
I also mentioned earlier that in last years Pro Bowl, over half the roster (not including ST, K, P, and FB) was made up of former first round picks.