Theogt's WR Rankings

[theogt]

The Overall Rankings are based on two formulas: College Production and Physical Attributes. The College Production formula combines Yards, Yards Per Catch, Yards Per Game, and Touchdowns Per Catch. I have limited my College Production analysis to the final 2 years of a player's college career. I've found that even the most productive athletes in college tend to only have 2 solid years of production. For various uncontrollable reasons such as injury, or simply having a better player in front of them, many players cannot get onto the field and be productive early on in their college career. Some players also simply come out after 2 years.

Phystical Attributes combines each of the measurables taken at either the player's Combine or Pro Day: Height, Weight, 40-Time, 20-Time, 10-Time, Vertical Jump, Broad Jump, Shuttle Time, and Cone Time. If a player didn't run at the Combine, I substitute his Pro Day times. If a player didn't run a particular event at either his Pro Day or the Combine, I ranked him based on the drills he did run and used an average of the players immediately ranked higher and lower than the player.

The formulas take each variable and provide a divisor such that the variance on each variable is roughly similar. This allows you to reach a number based on each variable that can translate across measurements into a single formula.

Now, this IS NOT a complete analysis of the players. I would certainly make a few changes if I were putting together a board of my own. However, the rankings are based on verifiable facts that should correlate very highly with a player's overall ranking. Again, it's not perfect, but it is a compilation of all objective measurements that we have available.

Essentially, this ranking is just a way to compare the yardage and TDs a player made in college and their phystical attributes based on the Combine and Pro Day. For the most part, these are the only things available to us fans. We can't watch film, but we can rank players based on what we do know.


[FONT=Courier New]Total Ranking:

Johnson, Calvin........72.36
Smith, Steve...........63.12
Bowe, Dwayne...........62.56
Meachem, Robert........62.17
Jarrett, Dwayne........61.86
Robinson, Laurent......61.49
Rice, Sidney...........61.40
Baker, Dallas..........60.65
Gonzalez, Anthony......58.59
Ginn Jr., Ted..........58.00
Davis, Craig...........57.98
Ball, David............57.49
McKnight, Rhema........57.45
Myles, Brandon.........57.24
Hill, Jason............56.78
Higgins, Johnnie Lee...56.54
Filani, Joel...........56.38
Woods, D'Juan..........55.63
Naanee, Legedu.........55.11
Williams, Paul.........55.05

Production Ranking:

Jarrett, Dwayne........16.72
Johnson, Calvin........16.58
Bowe, Dwayne...........15.71
Smith, Steve...........15.29
Rice, Sidney...........15.26
Meachem, Robert........15.22
Woods, D'Juan..........13.58
Baker, Dallas..........13.57
Ball, David............13.49
Robinson, Laurent......13.46
McKnight, Rhema........13.34
Higgins, Johnnie Lee...13.28
Ginn Jr., Ted..........13.23
Myles, Brandon.........12.78
Filani, Joel...........12.55
Davis, Craig...........12.48
Williams, Paul.........11.98
Gonzalez, Anthony......11.79
Hill, Jason............11.75
Naanee, Legedu..........9.03

Physical Attribute Ranking:

Johnson, Calvin........45.83
Naanee, Legedu.........40.66
Robinson, Laurent......39.96
Gonzalez, Anthony......39.72
Baker, Dallas..........38.94
Smith, Steve...........38.66
Davis, Craig...........38.02
Hill, Jason............37.97
Meachem, Robert........37.82
Bowe, Dwayne...........37.43
Rice, Sidney...........36.99
Ginn Jr., Ted..........36.83
Myles, Brandon.........36.79
Filani, Joel...........36.30
McKnight, Rhema........36.11
Ball, David............35.91
Williams, Paul.........35.88
Higgins, Johnnie Lee...35.30
Jarrett, Dwayne........35.10
Woods, D'Juan..........33.89


For Comparison:
[/FONT][FONT=Courier New]
Santonio Holmes
Physical Attribute.....37.21 (11th)
Production: ...........16.06 (3rd)
Total Rating...........62.90 (3rd)

Chad Jackson
Physical Attributes....40.86 (2nd)
Production.............14.30 (7th)
Total Rating...........63.74 (2nd)

Marques Colston
Physical Attibutes.....35.50 (18th)
Production.............16.22 (3rd)
Total Rating...........61.46 (7th)

Miles Austin
Physical Atributes.....37.85 (9th)
Production.............15.04 (7th)
Total Rating...........61.91 (5th)[/FONT]

[MichaelWinicki]

Calvin Johnson is a "man amongst boys".

[MichaelWinicki]

By the way love the Miles Austin comparison in there... maybe the kid could be a future #1 with this club.

[theogt]

Originally Posted by MichaelWinicki

Calvin Johnson is a "man amongst boys".

It really is amazing how much better he is than the field. The gap between #1 and #2 is bigger than the gap between #2 and #20.

Originally Posted by MichaelWinicki

By the way love the Miles Austin comparison in there... maybe the kid could be a future #1 with this club.

At a minimum he'll be a solid #2. I think we can go without drafting a WR in the 1st two rounds this year.

[MichaelWinicki]

Originally Posted by theogt

It really is amazing how much better he is than the field. The gap between #1 and #2 is bigger than the gap between #2 and #20.

At a minimum he'll be a solid #2. I think we can go without drafting a WR in the 1st two rounds this year.

I'm starting to feel that you're right.

[MichaelWinicki]

The other thing is that I've pretty much fallen off of the Ginn bandwagon. I just don't see the production that equals the supposed high level of talent... and this 4 month thing to heal a sprain-- wow.

[VACowboy]

I'd be fine w/o taking a WR, period.

[StanleySpadowski]

Originally Posted by VACowboy

I'd be fine w/o taking a WR, period.

I'd like Jason Hill or Brandon Myles. Both will exceed their draft status in the NFL.

[theogt]

Originally Posted by StanleySpadowski

I'd like Jason Hill or Brandon Myles. Both will exceed their draft status in the NFL.

I like those guys, but I'd go with Dallas Baker in the 5th as crazy steal. Baker should be a late 2nd, early 3rd rounder.