Originally Posted by newnationcb
I'm fully okay with trading down (or back up) and picking him in the 20s (maybe late 20s). We need a starting C and he's the consensus top one on everyone that matters' lists.
I haven't heard one of the top drafniks say anything about his medical status that's questionable. So I'll defer to them and not people on message boards on his health.
No need to be skeptical about it - he has had a blood clot.
It was unprovoked (i.e. He didn't have cancer or hip surgery or a stroke....).
All individuals with unprovoked blood clots have a high risk of recurrence. In general population studies it is about 30% at 10 years. The fact that he plays a sport with major trauma regularly occurring is going to put him in a higher risk category than the general population.
If he has a second unprovoked blood clot current medical standard of care is lifelong blood thinners. This would effectively end his career.
There is definitely a decent chance he plays out his career and the issue never surfaces again. But it is just a probability event. It could also happen that he gets a blood clot a week after signing his rookie deal and retires before getting into a preseason game.
I think it is too big of a risk in the first round.
I don't believe he is a once in a generation type player where it is worth taking the risk. We could draft Ben Jones or Blake in the 3rd round and get a good Center. We actually already have a good center prospect on the roster. There is really no need to reach for Konz.