Originally Posted by Eskimo
In 2009 we had lots of picks but no first round or third round pick due to the Roy Williams trade.
Jerry then traded out of the second round and drafted poorly for this team with the picks he received.
It wasn't the trade down that was flawed - it was the draft strategy of aiming for a "special teams" draft that did us in.
In a draft with this kind of depth but little impact talent at the top I do like the trade down scenario.
There is nothing magical about the first round. There used to only be 28 teams meaning the 29th pick was in the second round and now it is in the first round. Did the 32nd player suddenly become a better football player now that he is selected in the first instead of the second round? It doesn't make any sense.
[View Full Quote]I really think there is first round value for many players selected between 30-45 in this draft and I'd love to get 2 picks in this range and then throw in 5 more before the 4th round is through for a total of 7 picks instead of our allotted 5.
I think we can get a very high quality OG, OLB and CB in the second round this year who may normally go in the bottom of the first in most drafts if we play our cards right. I think these 3 could be starters before the 2012 season is through.
Great minds think alike.
I think I may have started a thread on this recently. Premise was that drafting a true BPA that fills the greatest need is inherently harder, the higher you move up the draft order.
The "gaps" in value between picks 1,2,3 and 4 are greater than picks 33, 34, 35 and 36.
And because the 4th or 10th or even 14th selection has so much more value than the 33rd or 53rd, it's even more critical that the selection is both BPA and need satisfying.
If I were GM, I'd end up trading my 1st round selection both down and up, far more often than I'd find myself executing it. Out of 10 drafts, I could see 5-6 trade downs, 2-3 trade ups and 1-3 selections with the original pick.
Biggest deternmining factor would be where the pick was in Rd 1. Top 10 is more likely to get moved one way or another. Bottom 10 is more likely to get executed.
Of course the next factor is the make up of the team and if there's one glaring need. Especially if that need is at a premium position like QB or Pass Rusher. That's when you're likely to trade up to that spot where you believe the BPA fills that need.
Now for this Cowboys team, I think the signs point to a trade down from 14.
I can't say FS is a greater need than OC. I also can't ignore the fact that we have multiple other needs that are close in the pecking order.
And while we have multiple needs, FA has muted the gravity of those needs. CB was the one above and beyond all other needs and Carr filled that. Last year it was RT and since the draft came before FA, we made sure that critical need was filled at pick 9.
So in a nutshell, I'm not seeing was absolutely must have need to be filled.
OMT For what it's worth, theteam did come out and say they were looking to find 3 starters out of this draft class.......that's a tall order.
Question is, are we more likely to find three starters with our current picks or would we be more likely with 4 selections between picks 33 and 65?