The above chart shows 7 categories, >8 Games played, JAG, Depth, Good Starter, Upper Tier, Star, and Superstar.
Claiborne has a 100% chance of playing 8 games or more, 95% chance of being at least a JAG, 90% chance of being depth or better, 62% chance of being at least a good starter or better, 38% of being an upper tier or better, 33% chance of being a star, and only a 10% chance of being a superstar.
This is according to historical #6 picks on the chart. When you look down at round 3 and 4, there's only a 10% chance that any of the guys we picked there will become good starters. What are we complaining about with missed picks in the 3-7th round? If Dallas gets 10 picks in rounds 3-7, they'd average one good starter there. That's nothing to worry about.
I will say this. If the new no-name guys are outworking the present starters, despite the fact that they'll likely be cut, it makes for a productive camp, because the current guys on the roster have a legitimate fear of being out worked. They'll put in the time to show they can't be outdone, and Dallas will have a great team in the end.
For details on the methodology of this chart, go to
http://realcavsfans.com/showthread.p...97#post1236897
Very enlightening!