Originally Posted by jday
If you look at the average score of any game in the NFL, holding a team to 19 points should be enough to win. I honestly do not blame the defense at all for the loss to Atlanta.
In the average NFL game, each team gets more than eight possessions -- the average this season is 11.1. The average points scored on each possession this season is 1.90. Allowing 19 points usually is good enough to win because the average offense gets 11 possessions and scores 21 points. If you get only eight possessions, however, you have to score 2.5 points per possession to win -- which would rank third in the NFL this season.
In other words, if your defense allows 19 points and your offense gets only eight possessions, your offense has to play like a top-three scoring offense if you want to win.