Originally Posted by theogt
The problem for a number of these teams we're competing with for a wild card spot is that they play each other. The Packers and Vikings still have two games (as do the Packers and Lions). The Packers' schedule is absolutely brutal. I think only one wild card is going to come out of the North because they all play each other and someone has to lose.
Seattle's schedule looks pretty brutal as well. They still have Miami, Bears, Cards, Bills, 49ers and Rams. I could see them dropping 3 games easily, but their tiebreaker over us is tough.
Tampa is basically out of it with their schedule (and our tiebreaker). They still have Carolina, Falcons (twice), Broncos, Eagles and Saints.
We could be playing for a wild card spot against the Saints at Christmas.
Cannibalism at it's finest.
To me, Seattle is the main obstacle. That tie-breaker is killer. I see them going 10-6 or 9-7. So it looks like winning the division has better odds for us.
They will be favored at home for all games--even against SF. The road games are at Miami (long trip, so tough), at Chicago (but missing Cutler), at Buffalo. They already have 6 wins, so 10 wins are very doable.
Tampa Bay will probably go 9-7 or 8-8. They would have to win their homes games then win at either, New Orleans, Denver or Atlanta to make it interesting.
Minnesota looks like 9-7 or 8-8 team to me, but being at 6-4 right now sure helps.
Our head-to-head game vs New Orleans could be huge. We're in similar situations, each with 3 very tough games ahead of us. But their overall schedule is a bit worse.