[chuffly]

Originally Posted by percyhoward

Probably neither.

8 of the 13 INT he's thrown were on passes of 15 yards or more. Last year, only about 50% of those passes were intended for Austin or Bryant, and Robinson alone was targeted 40% of the time. This year, well over 80% have been intended of Austin or Bryant, with Ogletree being targeted less than 15% of the time. That's some of the impact of losing Robinson, but there's more.

This year, team passer rating on passes targeted for Ogletree is 70.6, while the rating for everyone else is 89.5 (almost 20 points higher). Last year, team passer rating on passes intended for Robinson was 132.2, while the rating for everyone else was 93.9 (almost 40 points lower). IOW, taking Ogletree and Robinson out of the equation, the team passer rating only drops 4 points, from 93.9 to 89.5. Considering how little of a threat Ogletree presents compared to Robinson, you'd think it would have dropped more.

[View Full Quote]Last year, Dallas finished the season ranked 11th in yards per drive. This year, we're 9th. So we're moving the ball, thanks mostly to a lot of Romo-to-Witten. But we're not scoring. Last year, we ranked 10th in TD per drive, compared to 21st this year. The difference compared to last year is that the TD numbers are down because of a drop in red zone TD. Part of that is drive-killing turnovers (see above), and part of it is we're less efficient in the red zone this year. Again, the main difference is Ogletree vs. Robinson.

2011: 25 total red zone TD
Robinson 8
everyone else 17

2012 (projected): 18 total red zone TD
Ogletree 2
everyone else 16

Take Ogletree/Robinson out of the picture, and red zone scoring is on about the same pace as last year, even with all of "Romo's" struggles.

Wow, this is good stuff. Appreciate the breakdown.