Originally Posted by McLovin
Degree of truth there. Like I said in a previous post, I think people remember comebacks mean reversion would submit that strong teams outscore opponents in most every quarter over time. Stronger teams perform better early and can make another team one dimensional
However, I think there is a case to be made that usually going into the half with a lead (which means scoring points) is statistically beneficial and increases your chances of winning. The top teams always seem to be in this category.
I tried to illustrate that teams that score early have a better record. Basically Denver is the only outlier to that
Well, the better question would be whether 1H scoring has any significance after taking into account total scoring output - that is to say, is scoring in the first half actually more valuable than just scoring more in general? I'm not sure the analysis showed that or not, since I suspect 1H scoring and total scoring have an extremely high correlation.