Originally Posted by phildominator
YR, what is different in the statistics that led you to predict an 8-8 2012 season versus a bright 2013?
Because you're predicting a brighter 2013 season now, before the draft, free agency and training camp.
All you've revealed for reasons to believe in a brighter 2013 is that we missed the playoffs and we have a good QB.
How's that different from 2012? We missed the playoffs in 2011 and its the same Romo as qb...yet somehow you came up with 8-8 prediction.
Only 12 teams had losing records in 2011. 16 teams have losing records in 2012. It completely shakes up the entire schematics of the NFL for 2013 and presents something completely different than what we had this year.
Going into this year, I predicted 3 of the 12 teams with losing records in 2011 would make the playoffs. I took Carolina, Seattle and Buffalo as my picks. Obviously, Carolina and Seattle were disappointments. Looking back, I should not have ignored the historical trends that 2nd year QBís usually have rough seasons. Even Andy Dalton had a difficult year. That knocked out Cam and the Panthers, but they did go 7-9 on the year.
Anyway, with me picking Carolina and SeattleÖthatís 2 of the 6 NFC teams right there. I thought the Packers were a mortal lock to return and they did.
Thatís 3 teams.
Super Bowl winners almost always return to the playoffs the next year. Bad news for Dallas (or so I thought) as the G-Men were the SB winners.
Thatís 4 NFC East teams.
I had the Saints missing the playoffs, particularly with BountyGate. But, I simply liked the Falcons positionÖa wildcard team.
Thatís 5 NFC East teams
Out of the other teams to fill that last playoff spot, I thought realistically it would be either:
Philadelphia (8-8, missed the playoffs)
Chicago (8-8, missed the playoffs)
I liked Chicagoís chances. They were on their way to the playoffs in 2011 before Cutler got injured on a freak injury. Their numbers were excellent and Cutler was coming back. They still went 10-6 on the season.
I still liked what Dallas had to offer, so I couldnít pick them to have a losing record. But with the G-Men, Philly and what I thought would be an improved Washington team, I saw them going 8-8.
Next year there are some obstacles. I think there will be 5 teams with losing records in 2012 that will make the playoffs in 2013.
Right now, I like:
(canít think of a 5th team right now)
So, that puts 3 teams in the NFC already.
But, the more teams with losing records, the WORSE it is for divisional winners. And considering RG3 will be a 2nd year QB (and seems susceptible to injuries), I think Washington is going to have a tough go at it in 2013. I donít think Foles or the Eagles are ready. That leaves it down to use and the G-Men. And thereís also no reason why both the Cowboys and G-Men canít make the playoffs in 2013.