[Idgit]

Originally Posted by fivetwos

Let's take a look at the 4th and 5th rounds of the last four drafts, where theoretically a team's depth should come from.

4: Stephen McGee, Victor Butler, Brandon Williams, Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, David Arkin, Kyle Wilber, Matt Johnson

5: D'Angelo Smith, Michael Hamlin, David Beuhler, Josh Thomas, Danny Coale.


12 players, 7 are gone, 3 didn't see one snap in '12, the other two didn't contribute much.

The consensus is they've drafted better in recent years, but they haven't gotten away from mid round guys not being able to contribute one way or another.

Mid-round guys are usually going to need time to develop, which is why they're in the mid rounds. And a couple of those guys from the last two years basically missed the entire season.

I'm not sure, honestly, how often it works out that those mid-rounders end up your depth, anyway. I suspect in many teams' cases they hit on a few and that many are replaced by the college FAs. Hitting on a college FA is a much lower probability, but teams get a lot more of them, making it a legitimate source of talent when you play the odds. Anecdotally, when we've done 4th-5th round comparisons of our roster with teams like the Giants and Packers, I don't believe the numbers were indicative of much of anything, one way or another.