Originally Posted by Hoofbite
I don't think it's reasonable to point to turnovers as the primary reason for firing a guy. Could they have been better? Of course. But seasons like this happen. Pittsburgh had 15 last year and 20 this year. Houston had 18 last year.
I wouldn't try to get inside Garrett's mind and say "what he really meant was..." because I don't have any idea. But for *me* it wouldn't mean a whole lot that Pittsburgh and Houston only forced that many turnovers because they have been two of the better pass defenses the last couple of years, based on DPR. Dallas' pass D has been one of the worst.
Point being, passer rating differential has a significantly higher correlation with winning than turnover differential.
Great point about teams playing catchup being more likely to turn it over, though. It's absolutely true.