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Old 11-28-2012   #166
peplaw06
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I wonder if there is another team in the league that hasn't reached 13 points in the first half?

I kind of doubt that there's a team out there that has only scored 11 or 12 points in the first half once. 11 points is damn near impossible to score, and 12 would require 4 FGs in 30 minutes, also rare.

13 would be a TD and 2 FGs, so that could be more plausible. I don't have the time to look it up now, but I suspect that we're the only team that hasn't scored 13 or more points in the first half this season.
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Old 11-28-2012   #167
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peplaw06 View Post
I wonder if there is another team in the league that hasn't reached 13 points in the first half?

I kind of doubt that there's a team out there that has only scored 11 or 12 points in the first half once. 11 points is damn near impossible to score, and 12 would require 4 FGs in 30 minutes, also rare.

13 would be a TD and 2 FGs, so that could be more plausible. I don't have the time to look it up now, but I suspect that we're the only team that hasn't scored 13 or more points in the first half this season.
NOPE. Standing alone
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Old 11-28-2012   #168
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peplaw06 View Post
I wonder if there is another team in the league that hasn't reached 13 points in the first half?

I kind of doubt that there's a team out there that has only scored 11 or 12 points in the first half once. 11 points is damn near impossible to score, and 12 would require 4 FGs in 30 minutes, also rare.

13 would be a TD and 2 FGs, so that could be more plausible. I don't have the time to look it up now, but I suspect that we're the only team that hasn't scored 13 or more points in the first half this season.
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Now, see I find this alarming and not arbitrary.
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Old 11-28-2012   #169
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Dont really know why it is so small, but this is the relationship between first half points and point differential and W/L/T

I found the data game by game, this seems better as averages can mask an anomaly (e.g. NE going up by 35 in 1st half can skew there overall results)


You can see in upper left that scoring <=10pts in a half has a 34% winning. Go over 10 (usually starting at 13+) and that % jumps doubles to 69%

The total points while important ís still seemingly notstrong as margin. Go up by more than 1Td and teams have won 88% of those games

When trailing at halftime(Margin<0) there is only a 25% chance of winning. Tied is 50/50 (13/13). Only 40 games have been come from behind at halftime. That is surprising, but human nature will remember those games since they are likley more exciting.

Final chart to the right shows all team and the point differential in all of the wins. Only 4 teams have - point differntials (Jax, Dal, KC, Cle).

Last edited by McLovin : 11-28-2012 at 07:02 PM.
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Old 11-28-2012   #170
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Hopefully our next head coach better have an offensive background.
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Old 11-29-2012   #171
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Now, see I find this alarming and not arbitrary.
See, wouldn't it have been great if you had looked into it further before going on a tirade about 11 points??
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