Complete Playoff Scenarios - Dallas Cowboys Forum

jimnabby · 12-20-2012

I believe I've got all scenarios covered; please correct any errors you see. By seed:

1, 2, 3 Seed:
No chance (GB has clinched at least the 3 seed thanks to a better conference record)

4 Seed:
DAL beats NO and DAL beats WAS
OR
DAL beats WAS and BAL beats NYG
OR
DAL beats WAS and PHI beats NYG

5 Seed:
No chance (SEA or SF will be ahead of DAL)

6 Seed:
DAL beats NO and MIN loses out and CHI loses out and NYG loses one game
OR
DAL beats WAS and GB beats MIN and CHI loses out
OR
DAL beats WAS and GB beats MIN and MIN beats HOU and CHI loses one game

For this week, that means to root for:
DAL over NO
BAL over NYG
ARI over CHI

HOU-MIN: Depends (see the first and last 6 seed scenarios)

Oddly, the WAS-PHI game is completely irrelevant to the Cowboys' playoff chances.

rbr651 · 12-20-2012

Except for RGIII taking a butt whooping from Philly could really crush his confidence which would also be a good thing.

**Reality** · 12-20-2012

As AdamJT has pointed out several times, three-way tiebreakers can trump head-to-head.

/reality

jimnabby · 12-20-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by Reality

As AdamJT has pointed out several times, three-way tiebreakers can trump head-to-head.

Indeed. For example, that's where the last scenario listed comes into play. In that one, MIN has to beat HOU so that there's a 3-way tie between DAL, CHI and MIN for the 6 seed. We win that 3-way tiebreaker, even though we lose a 2-way to CHI.

RomoIzDaMan · 12-20-2012

I prefer to just concentrate on Cowboys winning week 16 and 17.Won't stop me from rooting for the Giants and Skins to lose this Sunday

LeonDixson · 12-21-2012

My head hurts.

Regarding the 6th seed scenarios described above, which is most plausible? I think it's the 3rd one.

GusTheo · 12-21-2012

Man I can't wait for this week to be over so this entire thing will be a hell of a lot more clear.

At the end of the day, I can't see Arizona beating Chicago, no matter how much the Bears are struggling. But we can hope!

bigdnlaca · 12-21-2012

Minnesota have to lose out if Cowboys take 6 spot. Minn have Cowboys beat in NFC victories and opponents beaten winning percentage tiebreaks. If Minn beat HOU, and Cowboys fail to win division, there is no way Cowboys leap over Minn.

viman96 · 12-21-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimnabby

I believe I've got all scenarios covered; please correct any errors you see. By seed:

4 Seed:
DAL beats NO and DAL beats WAS
OR
DAL beats WAS and BAL beats NYG
OR
DAL beats WAS and PHI beats NYG

Dallas can lose to the Saints and still win the NFCE. Giants would need to lose 1 game and Cowboys would need to beat the Redskins.

ufcrules1 · 12-21-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by GusTheo

Man I can't wait for this week to be over so this entire thing will be a hell of a lot more clear.

At the end of the day, I can't see Arizona beating Chicago, no matter how much the Bears are struggling. But we can hope!

Well Arizona just beat the hell out of Detroit. If their defense plays an outstanding game then I think they have a chance.

HowAboutThemCowboys · 12-21-2012

Just want the Boys to take care of business and win the next two games. I think this team going into the tournament with a 5 game winning streak will be the best option.

ChldsPlay · 12-21-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigdnlaca

Minnesota have to lose out if Cowboys take 6 spot. Minn have Cowboys beat in NFC victories and opponents beaten winning percentage tiebreaks. If Minn beat HOU, and Cowboys fail to win division, there is no way Cowboys leap over Minn.

Not true. If Minnesota's win is against Houston then the conference record is equal, and then if Dallas beats Washington they beat Minnesota on win% in common games.

mldardy · 12-21-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChldsPlay

Not true. If Minnesota's win is against Houston then the conference record is equal, and then if Dallas beats Washington they beat Minnesota on win% in common games.

Yep you are right. Minny would be 1-4(at WASH Loss, CHI X 2 Win/Loss, SEA Loss, Tampa Loss)and we'd be 2-3 in common games.

perrykemp · 12-21-2012

I wonder how the Fail Mary game affected all of this.

Had Seattle lost that game, would it change anything?

mldardy · 12-21-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by perrykemp

I wonder how the Fail Mary game affected all of this.

Had Seattle lost that game, would it change anything?

Yeah it would change it a lot. Although there would have been one more 8-6 team in the mix but that lost would have been another conference loss for them