Murray may be key to winning Sunday night...

[LatinMind]

Originally Posted by e41dalasfan

The Saints ran the ball at least twice as much as we did, and averaged less than 3 ypc ...Murray was getting almost 4 ypc ...The only reason the running game was not effective was because we didn't stick with it

Thats been the case since Garrett started calling plays in Dallas

[AdamJT13]

The key to winning is almost always passing more effectively than your opponent.

[Stryker44]

I suspect that both Shanahan and Garrett may have been bluffing on offense this past weekend with regard to how they intend to call next Sunday's game...knowing that this game was much more important in terms of the playoff picture.

[perrykemp]

Originally Posted by AdamJT13

The key to winning is almost always passing more effectively than your opponent.

See Kansas City this past Sunday. 352 yards rushing in a loss.

[KJJ]

The loss of Lee and Carter coupled with the ineffectiveness of Ware the past few weeks has really started to take it's toll on the defense. The middle of the defense is being exploited without Lee and Carter and the lack of pass rush from Ware. If you go back and watch Brees he was finding receivers wide open in the middle of the defense all day. Defenders weren't within 3-5 yards of the receivers. This inabled NO to convert one 3rd down after another including several 3rd and longs. The inability to get teams off the field on 3rd down has been a major issue for the Cowboys in these critical late season games. RG3 was hurting the Cowboys the same way a few weeks ago plus he was taking the ball down the field.

What makes Washington hard to defend is not only the duel threat that RG3 brings but the Skins are the #1 rushing team in the league. They can control the ball on the ground the Cowboys have given up 3 100 + yard performances to 3 rookie backs including Morris. We can only hope that RG3's injury slows him down and keeps him from using his legs to make plays. If the Cowboys defense doesn't step up in this game mark my words Washington will win going away.

[NickZepp]

Originally Posted by perrykemp

See Kansas City this past Sunday. 352 yards rushing in a loss.

Yeah and KC has no QB play and average WRs at best, also just less all around talent than Dallas has. If Dallas runs for 352 yards in a game they will be blowing a team out.

I'm not sure if we should just be running the ball BTW. We need to control the TOP better.

[AdamJT13]

Updated numbers for this season so far --

The team that passed more effectively in the game (ANYPA) is 191-48-1, a winning percentage of .798.

The team that rushed more effectively in the game (YPC) is 120-119-1, a winning percentage of .502.


Teams that have passed AND run more effectively in the game are 99-24, a winning percentage of .805.

Teams that have passed more effectively but rushed less effectively are 92-24-1, a winning percentage of .791.

Conversely, teams that have passed less effectively but rushed more effectively are 24-91-1, a winning percentage of .209.

And teams that have passed less effectively AND rushed less effectively are 24-99, a winning percentage of .195.



This means that even if your opponent rushes and passes better than you in the game, you still have a 19.5 percent chance of winning -- usually because of things such as special teams touchdowns, defensive touchdowns, missed field goals, etc. Conversely, running and passing better than your opponent wins "only" 80.5 percent of the time, so you aren't guaranteed to win just by being able to execute more consistently on offense and defense.

Now look at the difference between passing more effectively than your opponent and rushing more effectively than your opponent. If you pass more effectively, you win 79.8 percent of the time, and it hardly matters whether you also rush more effectively (80.5 percent) or rush less effectively (79.1 percent). If you pass less effectively, you win 20.2 percent of the time, and it hardly matters whether you rush more effectively (20.9 percent) or rush less effectively (19.5 percent).

Clearly, the key to winning is almost always passing more effectively than your opponent -- or you'd probably better count on your special teams and defense to score.

[Nexx]

good stuff adam, folks the nfl is a different game from what you remember in the early and mid 90s. get off this just run the rock all time non sense. this is a passing league. not that running isnt important but it shouldnt be your key goal especially if you arent great at it. Romo is the key, when he can dictate the offense the cowboys score. when garrett is in sole control we either stall or kick field goals. garrett simply needs to mix in a bit of hurry as a change of pace. dictate the flow of the game, dont let the defense dictate what you do.

[e41dalasfan]

Originally Posted by Stryker44

I suspect that both Shanahan and Garrett may have been bluffing on offense this past weekend with regard to how they intend to call next Sunday's game...knowing that this game was much more important in terms of the playoff picture.

Hopefully this is the case..It would be the only thing that makes sense

[e41dalasfan]

Originally Posted by AdamJT13

Updated numbers for this season so far --

The team that passed more effectively in the game (ANYPA) is 191-48-1, a winning percentage of .798.

The team that rushed more effectively in the game (YPC) is 120-119-1, a winning percentage of .502.


Teams that have passed AND run more effectively in the game are 99-24, a winning percentage of .805.

Teams that have passed more effectively but rushed less effectively are 92-24-1, a winning percentage of .791.

Conversely, teams that have passed less effectively but rushed more effectively are 24-91-1, a winning percentage of .209.

And teams that have passed less effectively AND rushed less effectively are 24-99, a winning percentage of .195.



[View Full Quote]This means that even if your opponent rushes and passes better than you in the game, you still have a 19.5 percent chance of winning -- usually because of things such as special teams touchdowns, defensive touchdowns, missed field goals, etc. Conversely, running and passing better than your opponent wins "only" 80.5 percent of the time, so you aren't guaranteed to win just by being able to execute more consistently on offense and defense.

Now look at the difference between passing more effectively than your opponent and rushing more effectively than your opponent. If you pass more effectively, you win 79.8 percent of the time, and it hardly matters whether you also rush more effectively (80.5 percent) or rush less effectively (79.1 percent). If you pass less effectively, you win 20.2 percent of the time, and it hardly matters whether you rush more effectively (20.9 percent) or rush less effectively (19.5 percent).

Clearly, the key to winning is almost always passing more effectively than your opponent -- or you'd probably better count on your special teams and defense to score.

You have a whole bunch of different teams and different situations in those senarios...Do that with just dallas and see what happens

[e41dalasfan]

Originally Posted by NickZepp

Yeah and KC has no QB play and average WRs at best, also just less all around talent than Dallas has. If Dallas runs for 352 yards in a game they will be blowing a team out.

I'm not sure if we should just be running the ball BTW. We need to control the TOP better.

I have read a few of your post ...You seem to know what you are talking about

[MichaelWinicki]

Originally Posted by AdamJT13

The key to winning is almost always passing more effectively than your opponent.

The Cowboy pass defense needs to shape up, they play like they have the last couple of weeks and I don't like their chances Sunday night.

[e41dalasfan]

Originally Posted by LatinMind

Thats been the case since Garrett started calling plays in Dallas

Just when you think he is comming around he has a relapse

[MichaelWinicki]

Originally Posted by e41dalasfan

You have a whole bunch of different teams and different situations in those senarios...Do that with just dallas and see what happens

And you would so reduce the sample size the results would be just about meaningless.

[AdamJT13]

Originally Posted by e41dalasfan

You have a whole bunch of different teams and different situations in those senarios...Do that with just dallas and see what happens

Well, gee, let me do that ...

The team that has passed more effectively in our games is 13-2 -- a winning percentage of 0.867. The only two outliers were decided in overtime.

The team that has passed more effectively in our games is 8-7 -- a winning percentage of 0.533.

Even in a small sample size (15 games), the numbers are about as close as they could be to the numbers league-wide.


If you want to look at even smaller sample sizes from our games, consider these numbers --

-- When we are more effective passing than our opponents, we're 7-1 (0.875).

-- When we are less effective passing that our opponents, we're 1-6 (0.143).

-- When we are more effective rushing than our opponents, we're 3-2 (0.600).

-- When we are less effective rushing than our opponents, we're 5-5 (0.500).


Again, given the extremely small sample sizes, the numbers are borne out.