I have seen many threads indicating that if tied w/ the New York Giants and having the same division record, we would most likely beat the Giants based on conference record... however there is a 'common games' tie breaker that takes priority over conference record (see below).
To analyze this, the following are common games + results (not including division games, as they would be equal at this point):
Opponent Dallas NYG
San Diego W L
Arizona W W
Denver L W (lucky)
San Francisco W W
Seattle L L
Oakland L ?
St Louis ? W
KC ? ?
If this is correct, we must beat both KC and St Louis, and KC and
Oakland must beat them for us to win the division via this tie-breaker, or if they split, THEN it goes to conference record - IN WHICH CASE, we would have to beat BOTH Carolina AND ST Louis (as the NYG are done w/ non-div conference games), or else it moves to (drum roll) 'Strength of Victory'
not sure where we stand on that one
Easiest Division win: we need PHILLY and
WASHINGTON to beat them...
TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION
If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.