Complete Playoff Scenarios

Discussion in 'Fan Zone' started by jimnabby, Dec 20, 2012.

  1. jimnabby

    jimnabby Well-Known Member Zone Supporter

    5,821 Messages
    2,890 Likes Received
    I believe I've got all scenarios covered; please correct any errors you see. By seed:

    1, 2, 3 Seed:
    No chance (GB has clinched at least the 3 seed thanks to a better conference record)

    4 Seed:
    DAL beats NO and DAL beats WAS
    DAL beats WAS and BAL beats NYG
    DAL beats WAS and PHI beats NYG

    5 Seed:
    No chance (SEA or SF will be ahead of DAL)

    6 Seed:
    DAL beats NO and MIN loses out and CHI loses out and NYG loses one game
    DAL beats WAS and GB beats MIN and CHI loses out
    DAL beats WAS and GB beats MIN and MIN beats HOU and CHI loses one game

    For this week, that means to root for:
    DAL over NO
    BAL over NYG
    ARI over CHI

    HOU-MIN: Depends (see the first and last 6 seed scenarios)

    Oddly, the WAS-PHI game is completely irrelevant to the Cowboys' playoff chances.
  2. rbr651

    rbr651 Active Member

    690 Messages
    55 Likes Received
    Except for RGIII taking a butt whooping from Philly could really crush his confidence which would also be a good thing.
  3. Reality

    Reality Administrator Staff Member

    14,476 Messages
    9,510 Likes Received
    As AdamJT has pointed out several times, three-way tiebreakers can trump head-to-head.

  4. jimnabby

    jimnabby Well-Known Member Zone Supporter

    5,821 Messages
    2,890 Likes Received
    Indeed. For example, that's where the last scenario listed comes into play. In that one, MIN has to beat HOU so that there's a 3-way tie between DAL, CHI and MIN for the 6 seed. We win that 3-way tiebreaker, even though we lose a 2-way to CHI.
  5. RomoIzDaMan

    RomoIzDaMan New Member

    48 Messages
    0 Likes Received
    I prefer to just concentrate on Cowboys winning week 16 and 17.Won't stop me from rooting for the Giants and Skins to lose this Sunday :starspin
  6. LeonDixson

    LeonDixson Illegitimi non carborundum

    10,580 Messages
    561 Likes Received
    My head hurts.:p:

    Regarding the 6th seed scenarios described above, which is most plausible? I think it's the 3rd one.
  7. GusTheo

    GusTheo Active Member

    207 Messages
    73 Likes Received
    Man I can't wait for this week to be over so this entire thing will be a hell of a lot more clear.

    At the end of the day, I can't see Arizona beating Chicago, no matter how much the Bears are struggling. But we can hope!
  8. bigdnlaca

    bigdnlaca Well-Known Member

    1,408 Messages
    199 Likes Received
    Minnesota have to lose out if Cowboys take 6 spot. Minn have Cowboys beat in NFC victories and opponents beaten winning percentage tiebreaks. If Minn beat HOU, and Cowboys fail to win division, there is no way Cowboys leap over Minn.
  9. viman96

    viman96 Thread Killer

    11,491 Messages
    4,379 Likes Received
    Dallas can lose to the Saints and still win the NFCE. Giants would need to lose 1 game and Cowboys would need to beat the Redskins.
  10. ufcrules1

    ufcrules1 Well-Known Member

    9,245 Messages
    3,129 Likes Received
    Well Arizona just beat the hell out of Detroit. If their defense plays an outstanding game then I think they have a chance.
  11. HowAboutThemCowboys

    HowAboutThemCowboys Well-Known Member

    6,723 Messages
    5,177 Likes Received
    Just want the Boys to take care of business and win the next two games. I think this team going into the tournament with a 5 game winning streak will be the best option.
  12. ChldsPlay

    ChldsPlay Well-Known Member

    10,092 Messages
    2,994 Likes Received
    Not true. If Minnesota's win is against Houston then the conference record is equal, and then if Dallas beats Washington they beat Minnesota on win% in common games.
  13. mldardy

    mldardy Well-Known Member

    9,560 Messages
    2,770 Likes Received
    Yep you are right. Minny would be 1-4(at WASH Loss, CHI X 2 Win/Loss, SEA Loss, Tampa Loss)and we'd be 2-3 in common games.
  14. perrykemp

    perrykemp Well-Known Member

    9,937 Messages
    6,245 Likes Received
    I wonder how the Fail Mary game affected all of this.

    Had Seattle lost that game, would it change anything?
  15. mldardy

    mldardy Well-Known Member

    9,560 Messages
    2,770 Likes Received
    Yeah it would change it a lot. Although there would have been one more 8-6 team in the mix but that lost would have been another conference loss for them
  16. Bowdown27

    Bowdown27 Well-Known Member

    4,107 Messages
    1,480 Likes Received
    In the end...we control our own destiny. We win we are in. That's all that matters to me.
  17. Stryker44

    Stryker44 ^^^Skins Fan

    2,157 Messages
    279 Likes Received
    It would also put the 3 seed completely out of play. I know there is a less than 5% chance of it happening, but I think if either the Redskins or Cowboys won the last 2 games AND Green Bay loses the last 2, they would lose the 3rd seed. I know at least the Skins would beat them on tiebreakers. In all liklihood the 3 seed will be locked up by GB this weekend.

    Not expecting it to happen - but I personally would rather host pretty much anybody other than Seattle right now.
  18. bigdnlaca

    bigdnlaca Well-Known Member

    1,408 Messages
    199 Likes Received
    That is correct but I doubt that Minn and Dal would be the only ones with the same record and when I said Dallas won't jump Minn. I'm speaking as if there will be a 3 or a 4 way tie.
  19. SilverStarCowboy

    SilverStarCowboy The Actualist

    10,155 Messages
    1,725 Likes Received
    The Washington game is likely the determining factor over New Orleans, New York should lose one.
  20. skinsscalper

    skinsscalper Well-Known Member

    8,031 Messages
    3,688 Likes Received
    Not me. That's a different team away from home. I know that they've beaten Chicago (seriously struggling) and Buffalo (handily) on the road, but I want a chance for our team to redeem themselves against the SeaHags at home. Bring 'em on!

Share This Page