No matter what happens Monday and Tuesday night we will have the 7th pick after this week although a Atlanta Win and a Vikings Win significantly improves our tie breaker situation for the final week. 1. Carolina We have been mathematically eliminated from obtaining the #1 pick Status: Eliminated 2. Denver Even though Denver won and is only 1 game behind us in the win column it is now mathematically impossible for us to win the tie breaker over them eliminating us from contention for the 2nd spot. Status: Eliminated 3. Bengals The Bengals win today was huge. Should they pull an upset next week over Baltimore we hold a huge advantage in the SOS tie breaker. Even still, our chances at this point of landing the 3rd draft position requires a Broncos win, Bengals win, Buffalo win, Cardinals win a Seattle vs St. Louis tie and a New Orleans vs Tampa tie. In other words, I guess you can say we are technically eliminated from contention for the 3rd spot. Status: Less then 1% 4. Buffalo Same situation goes for Buffalo, if they can pull out an upset over the Jets we also hold a huge advantage in the SOS tie breaker. Matter of fact I believe it to be mathematically impossible for us to lose this tie breaker with Buffalo. Unfortunately because of the two teams above Buffalo on this list coupled with the fact that the 49ers and Cardinals play each other there are about 20 scenario's that eliminate us from this spot and 1 that does not which requires a slew of ties and upsets and is just to silly to mention. Status: Less then 1% 5. Arizona Plain and simple, there is no way we can catch Arizona on the SOS tie breaker. Arizona must win next week or they are simply a team we can not pass. Good news is this the 1st spot where we stand a mathematical chance of landing with out a act of god involved. At this point, it's also impossible for me to list all the scenario's involved that could help us land or lose this spot because it could come down to a SOS of schedule tie breaker with 8 teams and that's a lot of other teams involved with wins, losses and ties. Status: 20% likely 6. 49ers Huge game next week with the Cardinals. Right now the 6th spot is our most likely destination. Only a couple possible scenario's (including a Dallas win) could knock us from this spot but as of right now we are more likely to land the 5th spot then get knocked out of the 6th spot. Status: 67% likely 7. Cowboys Although this weeks games did not go a long way in improving our draft position this week there were some huge games that effected possible tie breakers heading into next week. Based on every possible scenario it's virtually impossible we can hold onto this spot after next week. Status: 1% 8. Texans Interesting enough, today's outcomes have almost completely eliminated us from having any chance of landing the 8th spot. Please forgive me if I don't list the scenario's here! lol Status: 1% 9. Lions Huge win today, thank you Detroit! Based on the SOS tie breaker it's not likely they can jump s again unless we beat the Eagles. There is a small mathematical chance we can drop to the 9th spot and that involves a Dallas win in every one of them coupled with two of the following teams winning (Detroit, Houston, Cleveland or Minnesota) as well as a Seahawks and Titans win. Status: 2% 10. Browns See above, almost exact same scenario. Status: 4% Chances outside the top 10: 11. 4% 12. 1% 13. Less then 1%* 14. Less then 1%* 15-32. Eliminated *= scenario's are so utterly ridiculous that I almost did not mention them but are still possible and you need 100% to make it mathematically correct Interesting notes: *depending on who you think will beat who next week it's actually in favor of Dallas should the Eagles win Tuesday. Although it will only come into play with tie breaker scenario's *Mondays Atlanta vs Saints game actually play's into 98% of the tie breaker procedures listed above. 90% of those favor us if the Falcons win. *Besides the Panthers with a 100% probability of landing the 1st pick Dallas has the highest probability of landing a spot (6th at 67%) then any other team at any other spot.