As most of you guys know, I love smack talk and will defend the Redskins as much as possible... But to disrespect the game and its history is just stupid. The other Chiefs fans (GoChiefs and ChiefsGirl ? ? ) have seemed like honest fans of their teams and true fans of the game. People like this just irritate me.
That's not "sound" math, it's misguided math. Just because you can multiply 3x3x3 doesn't mean you're actually figuring out the odds of them being wrong about this game. What you did is calculate the odds that one (or all) of them would be wrong about any three games. But see, in this case, all three are picking ONE game, and they're picking the same team to win. So the odds of them all being wrong (based on their prior accuracy) is simply the average of the odds of each one being wrong. If you found 10 prognosticators who each had 66.67 percent accuracy, and they all picked Team A over Team B in a pick'em game, the odds that all 10 would be wrong is 33.33 percent (if one is wrong, they're all wrong). If you had 10,000 of the same prognosticators, the odds still would be 33.33 percent. The odds don't change just because there's more of them -- they're still picking only one game.
I guess we'll see what happens tomorrow. I have a bad feeling about this game. However-in wk 5, ONLY Matt Mosley(among 1000's of pundits) predicted we would beat the Iggles.
losing to 8-2 and 7-4 teams, respectively, is bad? name the last bad team, we've lost too you'll have to go back to week 5, while we only have to go back 3 weeks to see your loss against a bad team...
being that Denver is an AFC team, and not NFC, I find that extremely hard to believe we lost a tough, fought out game, against one of the league's premier teams, in fact, if our kicker doesn't blow his only chip-shot...game over, we win, and you have nothing to say... btw, I don't believe in coulda, shoulda, woulda, but we came this close to beating Denver, so how exactly is that any indication of playoff success or failure?