EDIT - This has been revised with Adam's corrections. The NFC teams still in the hunt: NFC East - New Yok Giants 10-4 (@ Washington, @ Oakland) NFC North - Chicago Bears 10-4 (@ Green Bay, @ Minnesota) NFC South - Carolina 10-4 (Dallas, @ Atlanta) NFC West - Seattle 12-2 (Indianapolis, @ Green Bay) Wildcards: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-5 (Atlanta, New Orleans) Dallas Cowboys 8-6 (@ Carolina, St. Louis) Minnesota Vikings 8-6 (@ Baltimore, Chicago) Atlanta Falcons 8-6 (@ Tampa Bay, Carolina) Washington Redskins 8-6 (New York Giants, @ Philadelphia) http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakers We have no chance to win the NFC East. We are mathematically eliminated. No matter what Washington does, if the Giants go 0-2, and the Cowboys 2-0 and both finish at 10-6, we are eliminated because although we split the series, they will have a better NFC East record even if they lose to the Skins next week. :bang2: So on to the next possibility.... wild card! And here is where it gets really interesting! #1 Right now, it's still possible for the Cowboys to go 2-0, and everyone else 0-2 and not even need a tiebreaker. Very improbable, but not impossible. #2 We do not want the Redskins with the same record as us! I hope I'm reading the rules right, but as you can see, with 3 or more teams tied for a wildcard spot, by NFL rules, the first thing to do is use division tie breaker rules to pick the best team from each division. So we lose that automatically because we are 0-2 against the Skins! So if there is one spot left and we are competing with the Skins, they will win it. If there are two spots left and three or more teams tied, then we pray that Washington wins the first tiebreaker against other teams so that it goes in first, and then we only have to worry about tiebreakers with the other teams. (Read Adam's post below for a better example of this.) If someone has some extra time, you could maybe calculate the tiebreakers with Washington vs. Atlanta, Tampa Bay, Carolina & Minnesota to see who wins in those scenarios. We are automatically eliminated from any tiebreaker as long as Washington is still in the tie. So hopefully, Washington wins its tiebreakers with the other teams first, and then we worry about the NFC South or Vikings. #3 If Dallas and Minnesota both go 2-0, we will both be tied for NFC record, common opponent, and will use the strength of schedule tiebreaker which the Cowboys win by 13 games (see Adam's post below). #4 If we win the last two games, we will win the tiebreaker with EVERY NFC South team! -- If we go 2-0 and Carolina 0-2 which puts both of us at 10-6, then we win any tiebreaker with them, because we AUTOMATICALLY win the tiebreaker because of our head-to-head matchup. -- If Dallas and Atlanta tie with either 1-1 (9-7) or 2-0 (10-6) records, we will win the tie breaker in both cases, becuse we win the 2nd tiebreaker among two tied teams, which is your NFC record. -- Here's the tricky one, and I'll need someone to correct me if I'm wrong. If Dallas goes 2-0 and Tampa Bay goes 1-1 and finish with the same record (10-6), then we would go to the 3rd tiebreaker regarding common opponents, and we would ONLY win that tiebreaker if our first game vs. New York is counted, and their first game vs. Carolina is counted as the common opponent. I'm not sure how the NFL views common opponents when one team plays someone twice and the other team only once, and vice versa, because of the divisional matchups, but we win the tiebreaker if we only count the first games of the aforementioned matchups, because we win 3-1 over their 2-2, because we beat San Francisco, and they did not. So basically, and please correct me if I'm wrong.... The only scenario that keeps us out is if Tampa Bay/Carolina claim the 1st wild card spot with an 11-5 record, and we are tied with Washington at 10-6 for the second spot in which case we will be pushed out. If the Redskins, Dallas and another team(s) are tied for the last 2 wild card spots, then we need to worry about Washington's tie breakers with the other teams, because we are automatically eliminated in step one which rules out teams which do not win with the division rules. That kicks us out and the NFC South teams which are not ranked highest. Based on that, Washington competes with Minnesota and the highest NFC South team with the normal tiebreaker rules to see who is wild card #1. HOPEFULLY, Washington wins that tiebreaker and gets in first because if it doesn't win, we are knocked out because there is only only spot left and Washington will always beat us to it. So basically, we want the Skins to lose more games than us. : Again, I'm just an amateur at this stuff so I apologize if I got it wrong, but hope this helps and is easy to understand.