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New Low Pressure System

Discussion in 'Off-topic Zone' started by SaltwaterServr, Sep 10, 2010.

  1. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    This one's sitting out in the Caribbean. Hermine went from a low-pressure system of a few clouds to a TS in around 40 hours. The GOM is HOT right now and anything that can shoot the gap between the Yucatan and Cuba is going to hit the perfect incubator for a major hurricane.

    Had Hermine had another 12-18 hours out over the GOM, she would have come ashore as a Cat 1 or weak Cat 2. It blew up so fast that I didn't check HardCoreWeather.com for a day and when I did it was because I saw the tracks on the Weather Channel. Amazing how fast she developed.

    This from the third floor of the LBJ Student Center of the campus formerly known as SWTSU, now Texas State. I tried a few shots, but couldn't get the lightening that was flying through it. Needless to say we got a bit of wind and rain when it passed overhead.

    [IMG]


    Anyway, here's the next probable storm. I'll worry about Igor when he crosses into the Gulf Stream.

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  2. CowboyMcCoy

    CowboyMcCoy Business is a Boomin

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  3. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    From the time I posted until now, the percentage of probability of formation within the next 48 hours dropped from 40% to 30%.

    I've been pretty good at shielding storms from forming this season.
  4. Phoenix

    Phoenix Well-Known Member

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    Keep up the good work :D
  5. theogt

    theogt Surrealist Zone Supporter

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    Ha! Maybe we could create a mega-hurricane thread.
  6. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    Spaghetti models of what will become Julia in the next 24-48 hours, and Igor to the east. There are 3, count em 3, more low pressure systems working westward across Africa. There exists a small probability that South America could get hit with a hurricane or tropical storm. It's worth watching, to me at least.

    [IMG]

    The three lows are pretty evident, but the actual image will change as it is updated. All three of these should hit the Atlantic over the next 7 days.

    [IMG]
  7. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    [IMG]

    Those three lows I mentioned coming off of Africa? One hit 90% probability the afternoon it hit open water.
  8. theogt

    theogt Surrealist Zone Supporter

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    Screw the War on Terror. We must take out Africa for shooting spit balls at us.
  9. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    Too far west. Most of these come across Africa from the Indian Ocean riding the monsoon winds. I think.
  10. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    Karl should be named sometime this afternoon. Julia went from invest 93L to hurricane in about 40 hours.
  11. Phoenix

    Phoenix Well-Known Member

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    Saw a report that Igor has become massive in size...so large that the ISS astronauts apparently nicknamed her "Igor the Terrible"...
  12. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    He's about the size of Ike at his peak, 2/3rds the size of the Gulf of Mexico. Maybe a little bigger from the satellite photos I was looking at earlier. Lord help us all if he rolls over Florida and hits the boiling temp waters of the Gulf.
  13. DallasCowpoke

    DallasCowpoke Fierce Allegiance

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    Has there been a confirmed, legit hurricane-force eyewall make US landfall in the past 3-4 years?

    Seems we're due somewhere.
  14. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    Off the top of my head, we didn't have any in '06 or last year.

    2007 we had Dolly.

    2008, Gustav, Kyle maybe hit the extreme tip of Maine, one more whose name escapes me, and then big bad Ike came to Texas.
  15. SaltwaterServr

    SaltwaterServr Blank Paper Offends Me

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    [IMG]

    Three hurricanes all in the same photo at the same time. In 2005 we "officially" missed having 3 hurricanes at the same time by 6 hours as Gustav was downgraded.

    This has happened 8 times since 1851. 6 hours from having it happen 9 times, and twice in 5 years.

    Next up is what folks expect to be Lisa walking off the western edge of Africa.

    Beware of hurricanes named after women and ending in the letter "A".

    Katrina
    Alicia
    Rita

    That's Mother Nature's trifecta of hate and discontent.

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