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NFL Draft success by round

Discussion in 'Draft Zone' started by nathanlt, Apr 24, 2012.

  1. nathanlt

    nathanlt Well-Known Member

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    Talk about interesting. I have wondered how spreading draft risk over multiple players would pan out, for example, are 2 second rounders more likely to be starters that risking a hit or miss on 1 first rounder?

    This analysis answers that, and puts success for a better than average starter in round 1 at 30%, pretty low if you ask me.


    Good stuff.

    So who are the 10 players who will be above average starters in the first round? You can only pick 10!
  2. nathanlt

    nathanlt Well-Known Member

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    BTW, my picks are

    1. Luck
    2. Griffin
    3. Richardson
    4. Kuechly
    5. DeCastro
    6. Claiborne
    7. Barron
    8. Blackmon
    9. Fleener
    10. Cox

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