Report: U.S. Dominance and Influence Predicted to Fade

Discussion in 'Political Zone' started by Maikeru-sama, Nov 21, 2008.

  1. Maikeru-sama

    Maikeru-sama Mick Green 58

    14,547 Messages
    0 Likes Received
    Report: U.S. Dominance and Influence Predicted to Fade

    Alarming government report predicts environmental catastrophe, threat of nuclear war and the decline of America as the dominant global power by 2025.
    Friday, November 21, 2008

    The next two decades will see a world living with the daily threat of nuclear war, environmental catastrophe and the decline of America as the dominant global power, according to a frighteningly bleak assessment by the U.S. intelligence community.

    "The world of the near future will be subject to an increased likelihood of conflict over resources, including food and water, and will be haunted by the persistence of rogue states and terrorist groups with greater access to nuclear weapons," said the report by the National Intelligence Council.

    The analysts said that the report had been prepared in time for Barack Obama's entry into the Oval office on January 20, where he will be faced with some of the greatest challenges of any newly-elected president.

    "The likelihood that nuclear weapons will be used will increase with expanded access to technology and a widening range of options for limited strikes," the 121-page assessment said.

    Click here to read the report in full

    The analysts draw attention to an already escalating nuclear arms race in the Middle East and anticipate that a growing number of rogue states will be prepared to share their destructive technology with terror groups.

    "Over the next 15-20 years reactions to the decisions Iran makes about its nuclear program could cause a number of regional states to intensify these efforts and consider actively pursuing nuclear weapons," the report Global Trends 2025 said. "This will add a new and more dangerous dimension to what is likely to be increasing competition for influence within the region," it said.

    The spread of nuclear capabilities will raise questions about the ability of weak states to safeguard them, it added. "If the number of nuclear-capable states increases, so will the number of countries potentially willing to provide nuclear assistance to other countries or to terrorists."

    The report, a year in the making, said that global warming will aggravate the scarcity of water, food and energy resources. Citing a British study, it said that climate change could force up to 200 million people to migrate to more temperate zones. "Widening gaps in birth rates and wealth-to-poverty ratios, and the impact of climate change, could further exacerbate tensions," it said.

    The report says the warming earth will extend Russia and Canada's growing season and ease their access to northern oil fields, strengthening their economies. But Russia's potential emergence as a world power may be clouded by lagging investment in its energy sector, persistent crime and government corruption, the report says.

    "The international system will be almost unrecognizable by 2025, owing to the rise of emerging powers, a globalizing economy, a transfer of wealth from West to East, and the growing influence of non-state actors. Although the United States is likely to remain the single most powerful actor, the United States' relative strength -- even in the military realm -- will decline and US leverage will become more strained."

    Global power will be multipolar with the rise of India and China, and the Korean peninsula will be unified in some form. Turning to the current financial situation, the analysts say that the financial crisis on Wall Street is the beginning of a global economic rebalancing.

    The U.S. dollar's role as the major world currency will weaken to the point where it becomes a "first among equals."

    "Strategic rivalries are most likely to revolve around trade, investments and technological innovation, but we cannot rule out a 19th-century-like scenario of arms races, territorial expansion and military rivalries." The report, based on a global survey of experts and trends, was more pessimistic about America's global status than previous outlooks prepared every four years. It said that outcomes will depend in part on the actions of political leaders. "The next 20 years of transition to a new system are fraught with risks," it said.

    The analysts also give warning that the kind of organized crime plaguing Russia could eventually take over the government of an Eastern or Central European country, and that countries in Africa and South Asia may find themselves ungoverned, as states wither away under pressure from security threats and diminishing resources..

    The intelligence community expects that terrorism would survive until 2025, but in slightly different form, suggesting that Al Qaeda's "terrorist wave" might be breaking up. "Al Qaeda's inability to attract broad-based support might cause it to decay sooner than people think," it said.

    On a positive note it added that an alternative to oil might be in place by 2025.

    The Times of London and Associated Press contributed to this report.

  2. Maikeru-sama

    Maikeru-sama Mick Green 58

    14,547 Messages
    0 Likes Received
    I love how the "decline of American influence" is put on the same list as Nuclear War and Environmental Catastrophes.

    If the United States doesn't reform its strategy of policing the entire world, we will be in major trouble.

    As I stated, it is one thing to police the world when you have the money but it is entirely different when you police the world by borrowing from countries like China who also have designs on increasing its power throughout the world.

    Once these countries decided to turn off our credit spigot, we will be in serious trouble.
  3. burmafrd

    burmafrd Well-Known Member

    43,602 Messages
    3,057 Likes Received
    Actually China has tied its continuing growth to us so tightly that they could not cut us off without taking a very large hit themselves.

    I ask you maikeru: if we do not do it who will? The UN- that is funny.
    Europe- that is funnier.
  4. Maikeru-sama

    Maikeru-sama Mick Green 58

    14,547 Messages
    0 Likes Received
    Why does any country need to police the world?

    The main reason we are policing the world is because:
    1) There is too many people making too much money
    2) We have been doing it so long, everyone thinks it is normal, despite the fact that we can't affored it.

    We need to:
    1) Gradually reduce our forces around the world.
    2) Bring troops home and reduce our size
    3) Continue to pour money into advanced weaponry to maintain a competitive edge.

    I know all the folks that work in for GCs or those in the military will say this won't work because we need to be all over the world in case we get attacked.

    If we maintain our technological edge, we should be ready to deploy and fight anywhere around the world.

    This country is trillions of dollars in debt and yet we continue to spend on huge government programs that don't work and a military budget the size of all other countries combined.

    Like I said, that is fine if you can afford it, but we can't.
  5. burmafrd

    burmafrd Well-Known Member

    43,602 Messages
    3,057 Likes Received
    Your naivity is saddening. Do you really have real knowledge of how the world works?
  6. Maikeru-sama

    Maikeru-sama Mick Green 58

    14,547 Messages
    0 Likes Received
    I know how it works now, that is why I want to change it.

    I don't like seeing my great country borrowing from the likes of China and Saudi Arabia to fund its military operations around the world when it is absolutely not necessary.

    You obviously like it, that's your choice.
  7. Sasquatch

    Sasquatch Lost in the Woods

    5,172 Messages
    350 Likes Received
    It's naiveté, smarty pants.
  8. Phrozen Phil

    Phrozen Phil Well-Known Member

    3,950 Messages
    26 Likes Received
    And I thought I was the grammar cop around here. :laugh2: You guys shouldn't engage in a battle of wits with an unarmed man. What Burm lacks in facts, accuracy, or reality, he makes up for with gross generalizations. I will be the first one to say that he's welcome to flail away. Pray, continue.....
  9. Sasquatch

    Sasquatch Lost in the Woods

    5,172 Messages
    350 Likes Received
    I simply couldn't resist pointing out the irony of the post.
  10. CanadianCowboysFan

    CanadianCowboysFan Lightning Rod

    16,053 Messages
    532 Likes Received
    you stupid libs are just dumb


  11. Route 66

    Route 66 Well-Known Member

    3,359 Messages
    45 Likes Received
    Shoulda kept the original spelling. Add one more letter and its a Christmas scene.
  12. MrMom

    MrMom Well-Known Member

    1,650 Messages
    185 Likes Received

  13. Cajuncowboy

    Cajuncowboy Preacher From The Black Lagoon

    27,476 Messages
    2 Likes Received
    You mean the messiah isn't gonna stop this????


Share This Page