1. Welcome to CowboysZone!  Join us!  Come on!  You know you want to!

News: Sturm: Decoding Callahan: Sorting Out the Red Zone

Discussion in 'Fan Zone' started by WoodysGirl, Oct 22, 2013.

  1. WoodysGirl

    WoodysGirl Do it for the Vine! Staff Member

    64,867 Messages
    3,805 Likes Received
    BOB STURM |
    Published: Tuesday, October 22, 2013, 10:13am

    Sunday was another odd day at the office in the sense that they won and rolled up an above-average day as far as yardage is concerned, but they also used their punter as many times before halftime (6) as he had been used all year in any full game. Jones ended up punting 9 times to end 15 drives, with 2 others ending in interceptions (albeit one as a desperation hail mary) and only points in 3 others.

    So, 368 yards is good, but it doesn't meet with the football premise that you need 7 points for every 100 yards you accumulate - which would have put them at a points expectancy number of roughly 26 - in a game where they scored 17.

    It makes you wonder how Chip Kelly and other offensive minds are going to throw all of our numbers in the trash and make us recalculate what success means based on the number of drives and the number of snaps in a game being multiplied so that 368 yards doesn't mean near when it comes in 75-80 plays as it would if it was applied to 60-65 offensive plays which are numbers we are accustomed to.

    When you look at the success rates of Yards Per Play, you quickly see that this was not very good on Sunday. In fact, since setting all sorts of high marks in the Denver game (54 plays, 522 yards, 9.67 yards per play), the Cowboys have come back to earth against the Redskins (50 plays, 213 yards, 4.26 ypp) and then the Eagles game (75 plays, 368 yards, 4.90 ypp). 6 yards per play is ideal and most teams would live with 5.5, but dropping below 5 yards a play in the last few weeks will not please the coaching staff after the show in Denver.

    Read the rest: http://www.foxsportssouthwest.com/n...ng-Out-the-Red-Zo?blockID=953283&feedID=10194
    Bigdog24 likes this.
  2. Crown Royal

    Crown Royal Insulin Beware

    10,078 Messages
    486 Likes Received
    He really needs to remove that blurb about shotgun. We have been in shotgun for over 50% of our plays all season. Shotgun is now our base lol.
  3. Doomsday101

    Doomsday101 Well-Known Member

    75,292 Messages
    1,763 Likes Received
    I notice a lot of teams who do the same. Bottom line get the ball in the endzone and Dallas is doing just that.
  4. Staubacher

    Staubacher Well-Known Member

    1,549 Messages
    1,001 Likes Received
    Sunday was skewed results since we stopped trying to score with 10 minutes left in the 4th. It was 3 handoffs and a cloud of dust after that. I'm sure we would have put 7-10 more points up if needed.
    jobberone likes this.
  5. bark

    bark Well-Known Member

    1,926 Messages
    732 Likes Received
    Thanks for the post woodys girl. This is quickly becoming my favorite read of the week. Lots to chew on in these articles.
    WoodysGirl likes this.
  6. Crown Royal

    Crown Royal Insulin Beware

    10,078 Messages
    486 Likes Received
    Sturm's daily Cowboys article is usually gold.
    WoodysGirl likes this.
  7. 03EBZ06

    03EBZ06 Need2Speed

    7,979 Messages
    411 Likes Received
    Love Bob Sturm's articles, he detailed breakdowns and charts are very informative and I've learned a lot from his articles.
  8. jimnabby

    jimnabby Well-Known Member

    3,575 Messages
    425 Likes Received
    He has a lot of boilerplate in his articles that he often doesn't bother to/forgets to update. In his Callahan article after the Washington game, there was still a bunch of stuff talking about Denver.
  9. 187beatdown

    187beatdown Lack of Big Plays

    3,500 Messages
    416 Likes Received
    We'll see how they play against Detroit. Cowboys seem to just play bad offense against division opponents.
  10. jobberone

    jobberone Orangutans make great guitarists Staff Member

    35,885 Messages
    3,030 Likes Received
    uesday, October 22, 2013
    Decoding Callahan - Week 7 - At Philadelphia[/paste:font]

    Sunday was another odd day at the office in the sense that they won and rolled up an above-average day as far as yardage is concerned, but they also used their punter as many times before halftime (6) as he had been used all year in any full game. Jones ended up punting 9 times to end 15 drives, with 2 others ending in interceptions (albeit one as a desperation hail mary) and only points in 3 others.

    So, 368 yards is good, but it doesn't meet with the football premise that you need 7 points for every 100 yards you accumulate - which would have put them at a points expectancy number of roughly 26 - in a game where they scored 17.

    It makes you wonder how Chip Kelly and other offensive minds are going to throw all of our numbers in the trash and make us recalculate what success means based on the number of drives and the number of snaps in a game being multiplied so that 368 yards doesn't mean near when it comes in 75-80 plays as it would if it was applied to 60-65 offensive plays which are numbers we are accustomed to.

    When you look at the success rates of Yards Per Play, you quickly see that this was not very good on Sunday. In fact, since setting all sorts of high marks in the Denver game (54 plays, 522 yards, 9.67 yards per play), the Cowboys have come back to earth against the Redskins (50 plays, 213 yards, 4.26 ypp) and then the Eagles game (75 plays, 368 yards, 4.90 ypp). 6 yards per play is ideal and most teams would live with 5.5, but dropping below 5 yards a play in the last few weeks will not please the coaching staff after the show in Denver.

    And we discussed what happened in this game to a certain extent in yesterday's piece. Teams at this time of year have many games of data and film to study and the Cowboys are putting a fair trend out there. And they are finding that the way to deal with the Cowboys with most effectiveness is simply to design the game-plan around blitzing. 3 teams have decided to blitz Romo at least 15 times in their games (which we would call a strong amount) and 4 teams have not. The offensive production stats are rather staggering in that those teams that let Romo stand back and try to defeat your coverage have been gutted at a rate of 6.45 yards per play (1,568 yards on 283 plays) and those who have decided to have less coverage, but more blitzing pressure have held up very well for 4.83 yards per play (899 yards on 186 plays). It is clear that the key for the Cowboys offense the rest of the way is dealing with pressure.

    This is why a bye week can be so helpful, as many coaching staffs will keep everyone around during the bye to simply perform a day or two exercise known as a self-scout. Jason Garrett would, for instance, take the defensive coaching staff and have them design a game plan to attack the offense of the Cowboys, and the offensive coaching staff would study reels of the Dallas defense. It is vital a team knows how other teams perceive them, and for now, I would think that Dallas is looking down its schedule and is trying to figure out which teams believe in blitzing heavily versus those that just want to "get there with 4".
  11. jobberone

    jobberone Orangutans make great guitarists Staff Member

    35,885 Messages
    3,030 Likes Received
    [IMG]
    Another tease and another must read (IMO).
  12. BAT

    BAT Mr. Fixit

    7,115 Messages
    254 Likes Received
    Interesting. Dez did better in the middle of the field, at least against the Eagles.
  13. percyhoward

    percyhoward Research Tool

    8,066 Messages
    1,660 Likes Received
    Romo's Red Zone TD Passes (of Attempts)
    2012: 18.4% (14 of 76)
    2013: 31.4% (11 of 35)

    Red Zone TD Passes
    2006 12
    2007 20
    2008 15
    2009 15
    2011 19
    2012 14
    2013 (projected) 25

Share This Page