After Elway retired, Shanahan went 7 years with no playoff wins, along with three losing seasons. Jake the Snake was his QB choice. His drafting record was very spotty. (Outside of running backs, where he is spectacular). According to your plan, you'd fire Shanahan again. For the record, I think Shanahan's done a real good job this year (depending on the RG3 knee blowout outcome). Gruden's just another shiny toy. Grasping at the next available shiny toy is pretty much the definition of suspect management.