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Will Your Favorite Player Be Available When The Cowboys Draft?

Discussion in 'Draft Zone' started by NeonDeion21, Apr 4, 2014.

  1. NeonDeion21

    NeonDeion21 Well-Known Member

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    Every year, I am curious as to which players the Cowboys are likely to have on the board when it’s time for them to pick in the first round. And this year, I think I found a unique way to visualize the likelihood that a player will be available to them. So here’s what I did. Using the fan-speak mock draft simulator, I ran the mock 20 times and each time I recorded the players that were available to the Dallas Cowboys at their selection. Now, the simulator isn’t perfect and there were a few times where a random 2nd-3rd round prospect popped up into the first round. Still, the chart below is a good indicator of just who may be available when the Cowboys are on the clock:


    Read the rest of the notes and tidbits at: http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/0...-cowboys-pick/
    theSHOW, FiveTime, BigStar and 6 others like this.
  2. thunderpimp91

    thunderpimp91 Active Member

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    Thanks for sharing., definitely fun to look at. I may be crazy, but. Still feel like we come away with Donald.
    theSHOW likes this.
  3. guag

    guag Right Kind of Guy

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    Interesting. I love stuff like this.
    BigStar likes this.
  4. xwalker

    xwalker Well-Known Member

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    That's a lot of work on your part.

    Kyle Van Noy was drafted before #16 40 percent of the time?

    Can you do another one that does this with draft analysts? If you choose 10 draft analysts and only 1s pick a certain player before #16, then you could say that the player has a 90% chance of being available.
  5. NeonDeion21

    NeonDeion21 Well-Known Member

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    I can. I did one earlier in January and wanted to do one more a little closer to the actual draft.

    As for Van Noy, that really surprised me as well. Like I said in the post, it's just a fun exercise to look at, but I can't imagine a scenario where Van Noy goes in the top 15.
  6. DallasEast

    DallasEast Cowboys 24/7/365 Zone Supporter

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    After reading the OP, I find myself strongly attracted to the color green. :) Hopefully there aren't any Eagles fans who read that. :(
  7. NeonDeion21

    NeonDeion21 Well-Known Member

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    They say the color green is the easiest on the eyes...
  8. Idgit

    Idgit Ice up, son. Ice up! Staff Member

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    Well, look at it this way...there's a low likelihood any one of the reds will be there, but a 65% chance at least one of them will be. :)
  9. big dog cowboy

    big dog cowboy THE BIG DOG Staff Member

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    It's impossible to predict how the draft will unfold, but, I still think there is at least a 50/50 chance we atempt to trade down.
  10. texbumthelife

    texbumthelife Well-Known Member

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    Interesting analysis. Thank you for taking the time. Interesting that blue and green each have at least two players I want, while I wouldn't touch anyone in orange and purple. So, I guess if the draft fell close to that, I wouldn't mind all that much.
  11. casmith07

    casmith07 I'm the best poster in the game!

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    Ra'Shede Hageman, Timmy Jernigan, or Kony Ealy would all be nice "consolation prizes" if Anthony Barr and Aaron Donald have already been selected.

    I think for all three, though, we could move down to the bottom of the 1st round and still have a shot at one of the three. If not, select Xavier Su'a-Filo and get ready for pick #47.
    yentl911 likes this.
  12. DFWJC

    DFWJC Well-Known Member Zone Supporter

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    Noticed that too. Somebody loves them some Van Noy.
  13. Rockytop6

    Rockytop6 Well-Known Member

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  14. yentl911

    yentl911 Well-Known Member

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    If Donald is there I hope we don't get cute and trade down. Just pick the damn kid.

    My favorite player in the draft - later rounds mind you - is Aaron Lynch. He is going to be a late round steal for someone.
  15. Risen Star

    Risen Star Likes Collector Zone Supporter

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    My favorite player in the draft is Khalil Mack, so no.
    Nation and BigStar like this.
  16. BigStar

    BigStar Stop chasing Zone Supporter

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    Really cool info ND. Doesn't look good for my pet choices (Mack 5%, Barr 10%, Donald 15%, Pryor 40%) Surprised Dee Ford has risen so far @ only 75% chance of being available @ 16 when initially it looked like he could be had in a trade down. Yikes, it looks more like Martin/Mosley as the best choices. I don't like the DL available @ 16 (Jernigan, Ealy, Hageman) bc all three lack explosiveness. Cool stuff!
  17. unionjack8

    unionjack8 Well-Known Member

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    not sure fan speak is a great predictor for this analysis. brandin cooks went number 1 in a mock i ran today.
    interesting nonetheless.
    barr is my guy that realistically could be there
    BigStar likes this.
  18. BigStar

    BigStar Stop chasing Zone Supporter

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    Barr would be a great pick for the foundation of rebuilding the DL. Mack will be gone and Ford is rising. Edge rushers take priority (in my opinion).
    unionjack8 likes this.
  19. Alexander

    Alexander What's it going to be then, eh?

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    Cooks went number one overall?

    Can you let me know who these people are? I mean specific names and emails? I would like to organize a fantasy league with them.
    mcompact and Erik_H like this.
  20. unionjack8

    unionjack8 Well-Known Member

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    on the fan speak website, my bad, didnt explain that very well

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