Great minds think alike. I think I may have started a thread on this recently. Premise was that drafting a true BPA that fills the greatest need is inherently harder, the higher you move up the draft order. The "gaps" in value between picks 1,2,3 and 4 are greater than picks 33, 34, 35 and 36. And because the 4th or 10th or even 14th selection has so much more value than the 33rd or 53rd, it's even more critical that the selection is both BPA and need satisfying. If I were GM, I'd end up trading my 1st round selection both down and up, far more often than I'd find myself executing it. Out of 10 drafts, I could see 5-6 trade downs, 2-3 trade ups and 1-3 selections with the original pick. Biggest deternmining factor would be where the pick was in Rd 1. Top 10 is more likely to get moved one way or another. Bottom 10 is more likely to get executed. Of course the next factor is the make up of the team and if there's one glaring need. Especially if that need is at a premium position like QB or Pass Rusher. That's when you're likely to trade up to that spot where you believe the BPA fills that need. Now for this Cowboys team, I think the signs point to a trade down from 14. I can't say FS is a greater need than OC. I also can't ignore the fact that we have multiple other needs that are close in the pecking order. And while we have multiple needs, FA has muted the gravity of those needs. CB was the one above and beyond all other needs and Carr filled that. Last year it was RT and since the draft came before FA, we made sure that critical need was filled at pick 9. So in a nutshell, I'm not seeing was absolutely must have need to be filled. OMT For what it's worth, theteam did come out and say they were looking to find 3 starters out of this draft class.......that's a tall order. Question is, are we more likely to find three starters with our current picks or would we be more likely with 4 selections between picks 33 and 65?