Twitter: Cincinnati Is Listening To Offers For The 1 Pick

3rd_n_inches

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Joe Burrow: Sup losers me and my agent have bigger fish to fry


Cincy: Wellll I guess we should just throw this pick away cause who else amirite.
 

CATCH17

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If I'm Cincy, I'm looking at moving down twice. Load up on 1's and 2's the few years. Having the first overall pick this year isn't helping them to beat the Ravens any time soon.

You gotta take Burrow if you’re them.

If you’re Burrow you gotta do everything possible to not get drafted by them as well.

Going to Cincy could ruin his career before it starts.
 

Crazed Liotta Eyes

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Pretty sure this story is posted every year when there is an obvious first pick... or even when not. The NFL public relations machine is brilliant if you think about it. Not counting the serious head trauma of course...
 

SSoup

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Not much you can do if a prospect doesn't want to play for you.

Who wants to draft a guy just to have him hold out and re-enter the draft?

It's one thing if the guy is holding out over contract terms and money. The team will just cave and pony up and eventually sign the guy. But if the guy is holding out because he fundamentally thinks joining your organization will torpedo his career... then there's not much you can do.

Sitting out a year isn't a career-killer. And with competing leagues existing, maybe he goes and sees some action in a competing league just to keep from getting rusty. (Which may or may not be a lucrative deal by itself.)

In Major League Baseball, when a guy refuses to sign, he re-enters the draft and the team gets a similarly positioned draft pick as compensation. It's been so long since a top prospect held out and re-entered the draft in the NFL, I'm not even sure of the particulars of how this works. Does the team get an extra 1st rounder next year as compensation for the guy not agreeing to terms, like how it works in baseball? I don't think they do. But maybe I'm wrong?

If you don't get an extra 1st rounder as compensation the next year for failure to agree to terms with Burrow, that means you wasted the pick entirely. That's a killer.

If you do get a compensatory 1st rounder (which I can't imagine would be #1 overall), then you've effectively traded the 1st overall pick--in a year with a clear-cut franchise QB prospect, no less--for one measly, lower 1st rounder a year later. That's such a bad trade, it's also terrible. That's just bad economics.

If Burrow doesn't want to play for you, you trade him and maximize the value. Stay within the top 5 if you want because you have your heart set on a QB this year instead of waiting for next year. Tua plus a couple spare 1st round picks (or a 1st and a couple of 2nd's) is better value than what you'll be left with if you draft Burrow and he sits out and re-enter the draft next year.
 
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