I didn't disagree with the assertion that they may not win as many....but to spin it to Eli and Peyton only. where facts are that there were others....not many, but others.
and financially speaking its obvious that its best to win with a QB in rookie contract that allows you to sign many other key players, but its not the only way and its challenging. depends on where you are and a bit of luck. do you suck for a couple of years or three and then luck into a great QB. mahomes wasn't the top pick, he fell and KC believed in him enough to make a trade. there has been as many top 10 QB failures as the good ones, perhaps even more.
I think given the current crop of QBs in the league, there is a changing of the guards and teams have to figure out how to manage the cap and have the right COACH, system, players to win it. and to that end, NE won it several times with a QB not on his rookie contract. so about half the time its been with QBs in rookie contract. half the time on QBs on second contract (or there abouts).
one thing is for dang sure...you have to draft well. QB and other positions. SF's bill is coming due. they have a ton of rookie contract defensive and offensive players and if they dont' win it next year, they will start to lose players. even they paid a high premium to sign Grapolo and although they didn't win it, they made it there but due to strength of their defense and coaching.
I think we are in a bit of a trouble, not because of Dak,, but our last 2 drafts have been bad, which leaves a talent gap and has forced us to go and seek FA help. last year was a disaster. the year before we missed on Charlton, else we wouldn't have gone after quinn or bennet and now be forced to pay a premium for a DE. missing out on CBs, now we lose Jones and back in FA market....and its not just having to hit on your top picks. most good team find that diamond in the rough in lower rounds once every couple of draft (or there abouts)…..we haven't really hit on any...and I don't want to hear about Lewis, Woods because neither is that great.
the draft is key to success, I bet if we look at the superbowl winning teams, we see that it wasn't just at QB, but other positions they had key players on rookie contracts