10 things I think I think playoff edition

jterrell

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ode to and yada yada, you've seen these before i imagine

1. I think we are the scariest fan group in the league. I've been pretty surprised at national takes on this game but shocked at the fan base takes. Dallas is a better roster and coaching staff.

2. I think the key to this game on offense will be 2 players: Tyron Smith and Zeke. If Tyron is 95% of his All-Pro self (he wasn't last week but it was his first game back) then the SF DL will struggle to pressure Dak. And Zeke because his blocking and tough running inside allows the offense to open up off play action.

3. I think the defensive key is Jayron Kearse. Dallas has an answer for most anything the 49ers do offensively with Trevon Diggs and Micah Parsons. The one tougher match up will be Kearse handling Kittle. Limit Kittle and the SF passing game should turn it over.

4. I think the SF cover 3 should be pretty easy to beat. It's what Quinn used to run before realizing he had to go multiple sets. It reduces strain on a CB to cover but asks a lot of them in run stopping. SF has CBs that fit that role quite well but still struggle a far bit in coverage when that ferocious pass rush isn't getting home.

5. I think it's being underdiscussed how limited Jimmy G has been in the playoffs. He has averaged 142 yards per game passing. That's downright awful and is why SF drafted a QB early last year.

6. I think Shanahan is really just a slightly smarter Jason Garrett. He will live and die with the run game.

7. I think Kellen Moore puts his stamp on his OC career with a virtuoso performance this weekend. Kellen is in line for a number of Head Coach openings and this might be the last week he has a chance to light up the scoreboard. I expect this to be different in all the right ways.

8. I think after being told how great SF is all week come Monday it'll be well you just beat a team that scraped into the playoffs when other teams took week 17 off.

9. I think Micah Parsons is going to spy Deebo Samuel anytime he is near the backfield.

10. I think Dallas wins this weekend but it gets A LOT harder the following week. Seeing Philly would be an unbelievable break. The Cowboys have that entire city shook. Head Coach went from wearing beat Dallas t-shirts to not even playing his starters.
 

DeaconMoss

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ode to and yada yada, you've seen these before i imagine

1. I think we are the scariest fan group in the league. I've been pretty surprised at national takes on this game but shocked at the fan base takes. Dallas is a better roster and coaching staff.

2. I think the key to this game on offense will be 2 players: Tyron Smith and Zeke. If Tyron is 95% of his All-Pro self (he wasn't last week but it was his first game back) then the SF DL will struggle to pressure Dak. And Zeke because his blocking and tough running inside allows the offense to open up off play action.

3. I think the defensive key is Jayron Kearse. Dallas has an answer for most anything the 49ers do offensively with Trevon Diggs and Micah Parsons. The one tougher match up will be Kearse handling Kittle. Limit Kittle and the SF passing game should turn it over.

4. I think the SF cover 3 should be pretty easy to beat. It's what Quinn used to run before realizing he had to go multiple sets. It reduces strain on a CB to cover but asks a lot of them in run stopping. SF has CBs that fit that role quite well but still struggle a far bit in coverage when that ferocious pass rush isn't getting home.

5. I think it's being underdiscussed how limited Jimmy G has been in the playoffs. He has averaged 142 yards per game passing. That's downright awful and is why SF drafted a QB early last year.

6. I think Shanahan is really just a slightly smarter Jason Garrett. He will live and die with the run game.

7. I think Kellen Moore puts his stamp on his OC career with a virtuoso performance this weekend. Kellen is in line for a number of Head Coach openings and this might be the last week he has a chance to light up the scoreboard. I expect this to be different in all the right ways.

8. I think after being told how great SF is all week come Monday it'll be well you just beat a team that scraped into the playoffs when other teams took week 17 off.

9. I think Micah Parsons is going to spy Deebo Samuel anytime he is near the backfield.

10. I think Dallas wins this weekend but it gets A LOT harder the following week. Seeing Philly would be an unbelievable break. The Cowboys have that entire city shook. Head Coach went from wearing beat Dallas t-shirts to not even playing his starters.
11) Dak better show up in the first half.
 

CCBoy

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Starting this week forward, I want this Dallas defense to be able to make good quarterbacks look bad. There will be a lot involved in doing just that. That and Parsons going ballistic hence forward...

Dallas will handle the SF defensive ends, give Dak Prescott 3 seconds...and score 35.
 

perrykemp

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Good writeup. My analysis is simple:

If the Cowboys can do a reasonable job protecting Dak against a pretty good 49ers DL, the Cowboys win.

If they can't and Dak is under moderate to heavy pressure, Cowboys have less than a 50% chance of winning.
 

CWR

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ode to and yada yada, you've seen these before i imagine

1. I think we are the scariest fan group in the league. I've been pretty surprised at national takes on this game but shocked at the fan base takes. Dallas is a better roster and coaching staff.

2. I think the key to this game on offense will be 2 players: Tyron Smith and Zeke. If Tyron is 95% of his All-Pro self (he wasn't last week but it was his first game back) then the SF DL will struggle to pressure Dak. And Zeke because his blocking and tough running inside allows the offense to open up off play action.

3. I think the defensive key is Jayron Kearse. Dallas has an answer for most anything the 49ers do offensively with Trevon Diggs and Micah Parsons. The one tougher match up will be Kearse handling Kittle. Limit Kittle and the SF passing game should turn it over.

4. I think the SF cover 3 should be pretty easy to beat. It's what Quinn used to run before realizing he had to go multiple sets. It reduces strain on a CB to cover but asks a lot of them in run stopping. SF has CBs that fit that role quite well but still struggle a far bit in coverage when that ferocious pass rush isn't getting home.

5. I think it's being underdiscussed how limited Jimmy G has been in the playoffs. He has averaged 142 yards per game passing. That's downright awful and is why SF drafted a QB early last year.

6. I think Shanahan is really just a slightly smarter Jason Garrett. He will live and die with the run game.

7. I think Kellen Moore puts his stamp on his OC career with a virtuoso performance this weekend. Kellen is in line for a number of Head Coach openings and this might be the last week he has a chance to light up the scoreboard. I expect this to be different in all the right ways.

8. I think after being told how great SF is all week come Monday it'll be well you just beat a team that scraped into the playoffs when other teams took week 17 off.

9. I think Micah Parsons is going to spy Deebo Samuel anytime he is near the backfield.

10. I think Dallas wins this weekend but it gets A LOT harder the following week. Seeing Philly would be an unbelievable break. The Cowboys have that entire city shook. Head Coach went from wearing beat Dallas t-shirts to not even playing his starters.

They wouldn't see Philly until the championship game. So we'd need them to pull it off twice. It's a fun thought though.
 

JIMMYBUFFETT

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Pretty much agree with it all. The 49ers are nowhere near as talented as Dallas and I think the Cowboys have the better coach. I think Zeke blocking in the passing game is key and Dak will have a big day. I think #11 will free feed on the gadget and screen plays the 49ers like the run, he'll chase those down. Dallas by 10.
 

Sydla

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1. I think we are the scariest fan group in the league. I've been pretty surprised at national takes on this game but shocked at the fan base takes. Dallas is a better roster and coaching staff.

You undersell the 49ers coaching staff. They are very good.

2. I think the key to this game on offense will be 2 players: Tyron Smith and Zeke. If Tyron is 95% of his All-Pro self (he wasn't last week but it was his first game back) then the SF DL will struggle to pressure Dak. And Zeke because his blocking and tough running inside allows the offense to open up off play action.

It's the Collins/Bosa matchup that could dictate how effective we are at stopping pressure. Also the 49ers lining Armstead up over Williams or Biadasz. Smith could play well but if the others don't, forget about it, the 49ers will be in Dak's face all game.

3. I think the defensive key is Jayron Kearse. Dallas has an answer for most anything the 49ers do offensively with Trevon Diggs and Micah Parsons. The one tougher match up will be Kearse handling Kittle. Limit Kittle and the SF passing game should turn it over.

I am not sure how one concludes that the Cowboys have the answer for the 49ers run game. We have not been all that effective at stopping the run all year, even with Parsons. What Dallas needs to do is just put the 49ers in some third and longs and put the game in Jimmy Gs hands.

4. I think the SF cover 3 should be pretty easy to beat. It's what Quinn used to run before realizing he had to go multiple sets. It reduces strain on a CB to cover but asks a lot of them in run stopping. SF has CBs that fit that role quite well but still struggle a far bit in coverage when that ferocious pass rush isn't getting home.

DeMeco Ryans has been more flexible this year, playing more man than Saleh did previously. He's mixed up his coverages more than previous 49ers teams. For example, in the Bengals game this year, they ran Cover 2 nineteen times which was more cover 2 than they had played the entire year up until that point. So Ryans won't sit stubbornly in Cover 3, especially if it's not working early. Moore better be ready to change up on the fly as Ryans will shift coverages if he sees it's getting exploited.

5. I think it's being underdiscussed how limited Jimmy G has been in the playoffs. He has averaged 142 yards per game passing. That's downright awful and is why SF drafted a QB early last year.

Agreed. This is why I struggle with the media avalanche of support for the 49ers in an upset here. It's like they ignore the fact that Jimmy G can really be an up and down QB. Most of the prognostications just assume he's going to play great it seems.

6. I think Shanahan is really just a slightly smarter Jason Garrett. He will live and die with the run game.

LOL. Stop. Shanahan took the 49ers to a SB in this third year of coaching.

7. I think Kellen Moore puts his stamp on his OC career with a virtuoso performance this weekend. Kellen is in line for a number of Head Coach openings and this might be the last week he has a chance to light up the scoreboard. I expect this to be different in all the right ways.

I expect this offense to look more like the one we saw in the Cards game than what we saw against the Skins and Eagles backups. I don't think we are going to go up and down the field on them as no one has really been able to do that all year. The Bengals managed 26 on them and they are explosive.

8. I think after being told how great SF is all week come Monday it'll be well you just beat a team that scraped into the playoffs when other teams took week 17 off.

Oh there is no doubt that people talking about how awesome the 49ers are this week will then downplay how good they were if the Cowboys win. I live up here in Philly area and the 49ers are the popular pick to upset the Cowboys. Lots of chatter about how the 49ers are rounding into shape, are underrated, match up well with us............. but if the Cowboys win, those same people next week will be talking about the 49ers weren't that good, lost 7 games in the regular season so how good could they be, etc?

9. I think Micah Parsons is going to spy Deebo Samuel anytime he is near the backfield.

They will have to do something. Samuel is a threat and a potential game changing type player.

10. I think Dallas wins this weekend but it gets A LOT harder the following week. Seeing Philly would be an unbelievable break. The Cowboys have that entire city shook. Head Coach went from wearing beat Dallas t-shirts to not even playing his starters.

Can't see Philly until the NFC Champ game and that would mean they beat Tampa (Brady) and GB (Rodgers) on the road. Seems extremely unlikely.

I can see something like 24-21, 24-20 Cowboys. I don't need Dallas to stone the 49ers run. But I need to see them put the 49ers in a couple of third and long situations early. If the 49ers are just pounding us early and Jimmy G is finding himself in a lot of 2nd and 4, 3rd and 3 situations, my confidence in a win is going to erode, quickly.
 

jterrell

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Wonder if they will use packages to get Lance some snaps.

Maybe a 2 point conversion.

We probably aren't preparing much for him.
That would make a lot of sense. Lance is a more gifted athlete and is their future.
 

jterrell

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They wouldn't see Philly until the championship game. So we'd need them to pull it off twice. It's a fun thought though.
Yea it'd reseed us versus Cards or Rams in next round then Philly in the NFCCG.
That would be a path where we'd be favorites all the way to the Super Bowl.

More likely path is we get Brady in round 2 and Rodgers in round 3.
 
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Crown Royal

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Everyone keeps pointing to the SF Run Game vs. Cowboys Run defense as the reason this matchup works in their favor. And that's not wrong - I expect SF to get points and make this a game. Especially if they can limit TurnOvers.

But i have YET to see how the Cowboys Passing attack can really match up well to the SF defense. The Passing attack struggled when teams mix and hide coverage and make Dak second guess or hold on his reads. That's not SF's forte - they are a zone heavy team that just wants to play coverage and rush 4. And Dak is happy to attack that when he understands what they are trying to do.

So yeah, I expect SF to score and run well. But I expect the COwboys offense to score along with them. Which leads to turnovers - and I trust SF to turn it over more than Dallas, leading to an extra possession or two. Favor = Cowboys.
 

CowboysFaninHouston

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ode to and yada yada, you've seen these before i imagine

1. I think we are the scariest fan group in the league. I've been pretty surprised at national takes on this game but shocked at the fan base takes. Dallas is a better roster and coaching staff.

2. I think the key to this game on offense will be 2 players: Tyron Smith and Zeke. If Tyron is 95% of his All-Pro self (he wasn't last week but it was his first game back) then the SF DL will struggle to pressure Dak. And Zeke because his blocking and tough running inside allows the offense to open up off play action.

3. I think the defensive key is Jayron Kearse. Dallas has an answer for most anything the 49ers do offensively with Trevon Diggs and Micah Parsons. The one tougher match up will be Kearse handling Kittle. Limit Kittle and the SF passing game should turn it over.

4. I think the SF cover 3 should be pretty easy to beat. It's what Quinn used to run before realizing he had to go multiple sets. It reduces strain on a CB to cover but asks a lot of them in run stopping. SF has CBs that fit that role quite well but still struggle a far bit in coverage when that ferocious pass rush isn't getting home.

5. I think it's being underdiscussed how limited Jimmy G has been in the playoffs. He has averaged 142 yards per game passing. That's downright awful and is why SF drafted a QB early last year.

6. I think Shanahan is really just a slightly smarter Jason Garrett. He will live and die with the run game.

7. I think Kellen Moore puts his stamp on his OC career with a virtuoso performance this weekend. Kellen is in line for a number of Head Coach openings and this might be the last week he has a chance to light up the scoreboard. I expect this to be different in all the right ways.

8. I think after being told how great SF is all week come Monday it'll be well you just beat a team that scraped into the playoffs when other teams took week 17 off.

9. I think Micah Parsons is going to spy Deebo Samuel anytime he is near the backfield.

10. I think Dallas wins this weekend but it gets A LOT harder the following week. Seeing Philly would be an unbelievable break. The Cowboys have that entire city shook. Head Coach went from wearing beat Dallas t-shirts to not even playing his starters.
there is no way we see philly....its either going to tampa or playing rams/AZ winner at home....I take AZ at home
 

CowboysFaninHouston

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Good writeup. My analysis is simple:

If the Cowboys can do a reasonable job protecting Dak against a pretty good 49ers DL, the Cowboys win.

If they can't and Dak is under moderate to heavy pressure, Cowboys have less than a 50% chance of winning.
that's the key. if they can protect against 4, and not allow SF to drop 7 into zone coverage, then we are good. we have to force them to bring extra men to rush the passer, which opens up our passing game.
 

shabazz

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You undersell the 49ers coaching staff. They are very good.



It's the Collins/Bosa matchup that could dictate how effective we are at stopping pressure. Also the 49ers lining Armstead up over Williams or Biadasz. Smith could play well but if the others don't, forget about it, the 49ers will be in Dak's face all game.



I am not sure how one concludes that the Cowboys have the answer for the 49ers run game. We have not been all that effective at stopping the run all year, even with Parsons. What Dallas needs to do is just put the 49ers in some third and longs and put the game in Jimmy Gs hands.



DeMeco Ryans has been more flexible this year, playing more man than Saleh did previously. He's mixed up his coverages more than previous 49ers teams. For example, in the Bengals game this year, they ran Cover 2 nineteen times which was more cover 2 than they had played the entire year up until that point. So Ryans won't sit stubbornly in Cover 3, especially if it's not working early. Moore better be ready to change up on the fly as Ryans will shift coverages if he sees it's getting exploited.



Agreed. This is why I struggle with the media avalanche of support for the 49ers in an upset here. It's like they ignore the fact that Jimmy G can really be an up and down QB. Most of the prognostications just assume he's going to play great it seems.



LOL. Stop. Shanahan took the 49ers to a SB in this third year of coaching.



I expect this offense to look more like the one we saw in the Cards game than what we saw against the Skins and Eagles backups. I don't think we are going to go up and down the field on them as no one has really been able to do that all year. The Bengals managed 26 on them and they are explosive.



Oh there is no doubt that people talking about how awesome the 49ers are this week will then downplay how good they were if the Cowboys win. I live up here in Philly area and the 49ers are the popular pick to upset the Cowboys. Lots of chatter about how the 49ers are rounding into shape, are underrated, match up well with us............. but if the Cowboys win, those same people next week will be talking about the 49ers weren't that good, lost 7 games in the regular season so how good could they be, etc?



They will have to do something. Samuel is a threat and a potential game changing type player.



Can't see Philly until the NFC Champ game and that would mean they beat Tampa (Brady) and GB (Rodgers) on the road. Seems extremely unlikely.

I can see something like 24-21, 24-20 Cowboys. I don't need Dallas to stone the 49ers run. But I need to see them put the 49ers in a couple of third and long situations early. If the 49ers are just pounding us early and Jimmy G is finding himself in a lot of 2nd and 4, 3rd and 3 situations, my confidence in a win is going to erode, quickly.

wow, you cleaned house with that one post.
 
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