If you had to bet your house, which team missed playoff will make the SB

Flamma

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I added the last 5 Super Bowls but did not count the ones before the league's merged. So in the last 50 years exactly 25 Super Bowls featured a team that did not make the playoffs the previous year.
 

kskboys

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Flamma said:
I added the last 5 Super Bowls but did not count the ones before the league's merged. So in the last 50 years exactly 25 Super Bowls featured a team that did not make the playoffs the previous year.
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It's really fairly common. Don't see who anyone can continue to argue against it.

In the last 4 years alone, ATL, PHILLY, and SF played in the super bowl after missing the playoffs the year before. That's 3 out of 4.
 
Flamma

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kskboys said:
It's really fairly common. Don't see who anyone can continue to argue against it.

In the last 4 years alone, ATL, PHILLY, and SF played in the super bowl after missing the playoffs the year before. That's 3 out of 4.
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Yet no one ever predicts it. Or even attempts to predict it. It's happened 5 times this decade alone. 5 times the previous decade. 4 times in the 90s. 7 times in the 80s and 4 times in the 70s. I didn't count the AFL VS NFL games but I'm sure it happened there too since hardly anyone made the playoffs back then.
 
JoeKing

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Flamma said:
LOL because that was when I decided to stop. I didn't believe going back further was needed. But if you like, I can. It wouldn't take long. Do you want the 4 AFL VS NFL games, or not?



No. I am saying over the last 45 years, 23 of them had a team that didn't make the playoffs the year prior.
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We just watched Super Bowl 54 so that means 54 games, 108 teams. Counting just these teams, the odds of a team making the Super Bowl the year after not making the playoffs at all is far far less than 50/50. It's rare, it's unlikely.
 
CouchCoach

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I do not think any of the teams that missed the playoffs will make the SB but if I were picking one, that would be PIT, if their QB can stay healthy.

That guy picking the Bears, he didn't watch their QB play, did he?

I think it is premature for this until we see what shakes out in FA. A lot of moves to be made yet.
 
Flamma

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JoeKing said:
We just watched Super Bowl 54 so that means 54 games, 108 teams. Counting just these teams, the odds of a team making the Super Bowl the year after not making the playoffs at all is far far less than 50/50. It's rare, it's unlikely.
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Right. But the last 50 years, that's 50 Super Bowls, 25 of them featured a team that didn't make the playoffs the year prior. That's not rare or unlikely by definition. That's the strict definition of 50/50.
 
JoeKing

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Flamma said:
Right. But the last 50 years, that's 50 Super Bowls, 25 of them featured a team that didn't make the playoffs the year prior. That's not rare or unlikely by definition. That's the strict definition of 50/50.
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There you go again manipulating how you calculate the numbers because it's more convenient for your narrative. What do you not understand about 54 Super Bowls, not 50? Maybe you were the guy that developed the app that was used in Iowa. What a cluster mess.
 
Flamma

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JoeKing said:
There you go again manipulating how you calculate the numbers because it's more convenient for your narrative. What do you not understand about 54 Super Bowls, not 50? Maybe you were the guy that developed the app that was used in Iowa. What a cluster mess.
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Dude, I'm starting to think there is something wrong with you. 50 Super bowls and 25 of them had at least one team that did not make the playoffs the year prior. Do you understand that? This isn't hard. It's 2+2 equals 4. If you want to count the first 4 Super bowls then you'll have 4 out of the 8 teams that didn't make the playoffs the year before. 3 out of the first 4 Super Bowls had teams that did not make the playoffs the year before. There is simply no scenario that makes it unlikely that a team that did not make the playoffs the year prior not make it to the SB. It is 50/50. Instead of talking in circles show me where I am wrong. The simple fact is that more than half of the Super Bowls featured a team that did not make the playoffs the year prior. That is a fact that cannot be disputed.
 
JoeKing

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Flamma said:
Dude, I'm starting to think there is something wrong with you. 50 Super bowls and 25 of them had at least one team that did not make the playoffs the year prior. Do you understand that? This isn't hard. It's 2+2 equals 4. If you want to count the first 4 Super bowls then you'll have 4 out of the 8 teams that didn't make the playoffs the year before. 3 out of the first 4 Super Bowls had teams that did not make the playoffs the year before. There is simply no scenario that makes it unlikely that a team that did not make the playoffs the year prior not make it to the SB. It is 50/50. Instead of talking in circles show me where I am wrong. The simple fact is that more than half of the Super Bowls featured a team that did not make the playoffs the year prior. That is a fact that cannot be disputed.
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As long as you keep using that Iowa math, I guess so. Remember you started this by saying you "wouldn't bet on it." Now look how worked up you are. lol
 
Flamma

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JoeKing said:
As long as you keep using that Iowa math, I guess so. Remember you started this by saying you "wouldn't bet on it." Now look how worked up you are. lol
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I would not bet on it because I'd have no idea who to bet on. The Jets? the Bucs? who? How can I make a bet? But next year there is a 50/50 chance that someone that didn't make the playoffs will be in the SB.
 
JoeKing

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Flamma said:
I would not bet on it because I'd have no idea who to bet on. The Jets? the Bucs? who? How can I make a bet? But next year there is a 50/50 chance that someone that didn't make the playoffs will be in the SB.
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The odds are not 50/50. We've been through this ad nauseam. I'd have to have a gun to my head but I'd bet on the Cowboys.
 
Jake

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JoeKing said:
We just watched Super Bowl 54 so that means 54 games, 108 teams. Counting just these teams, the odds of a team making the Super Bowl the year after not making the playoffs at all is far far less than 50/50. It's rare, it's unlikely.
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25/50 = 50%

Yeah, but there have been 54 not 50 so that makes it rare.

25/54 = 46.2%

Rare, indeed. :muttley:
 
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