2019 Deep Ball Project, Dak ranked 6th

DasSchnitzel

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Here's the link to page 1 to see the whole article:
https://brickwallblitz.com/2020/02/21/the-2019-20-deep-ball-project-part-1-3/

Here's page 3, containing Daks's entry:
https://brickwallblitz.com/2020/02/21/the-2019-20-deep-ball-project-part-3-3/

The article contains videos, charts, and explanations of the methodology. Here is the text from Dak's review:
The reigning mediocrity of Jason Garrett was not enough to prevent Dak Prescott from landing the #6 spot on the DBP. Best known for his hip warmups, Prescott has also been inconsistent as a deep passer, ranking outside the top 10 in even numbered seasons and inside the top 10 in odd numbered years. Guess what year it was for him…

Much of this has to do with the fact that Prescott was the most accurate passer on throws of 21-25 yards (88.24%), though he also finished 10th on throws of 26-30 yards. In addition, he finished inside the top 10 both from clean pockets and under pressure, and was tied for second in accuracy against edge pressure. His accuracy to open receivers improved from 29th in 2018 to 9th in 2019, while his tight window accuracy improved from 13th to 6th.

No matter how much talent the Cowboys gave Prescott, the employment of Garrett as the head coach completely held this team back and wasted a fourth-round rookie QB contract by failing to make it past the Divisional Round (sound familiar?). Sure, Prescott has had his lesser moments in the league, but he’s a very good quarterback and has consistently made Dallas competitive over the years.

Overall, Prescott had a terrific deep passing season despite these precautions. One just hopes Mike McCarthy has actually learned from his time off as a head coach and doesn’t devolve into the new Jason Garrett, because if Prescott returns to Dallas they can’t continue to waste a good quarterback’s career. He’s not worth $40 million a year, but he’s certainly worth keeping.
 
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TheMarathonContinues

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"No matter how much talent the Cowboys gave Prescott, the employment of Garrett as the head coach completely held this team back and wasted a fourth-round rookie QB contract by failing to make it past the Divisional Round (sound familiar?). Sure, Prescott has had his lesser moments in the league, but he’s a very good quarterback and has consistently made Dallas competitive over the years."

Someone gets it.
 

TheMarathonContinues

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POP. CORN.

In 3, 2, 1..........
FineSlightFairyfly-max-1mb.gif
 

DasSchnitzel

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"No matter how much talent the Cowboys gave Prescott, the employment of Garrett as the head coach completely held this team back and wasted a fourth-round rookie QB contract by failing to make it past the Divisional Round (sound familiar?). Sure, Prescott has had his lesser moments in the league, but he’s a very good quarterback and has consistently made Dallas competitive over the years."

Someone gets it.

I really dont understand the people who cant see that last year was what Garrett has done to every talented roster he's had. He's Mr. 8-8, with the same head scratchers as always on game day, with promising seasons going belly up.

They want to put it all on Dak but they should acknowledge that we just witnessed another team get the Garrett special.

He is the common denominator and he is gone. This is a whole new era.
 

Adreme

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Before I finish this article I would like to point out that they ranked Drew Brees at 27.

Even looking at the rest of the names, even if you purely judge based on the deep ball, I am just not impressed by the metrics they use to judge. Like I am sorry but just no.
 

DasSchnitzel

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Before I finish this article I would like to point out that they ranked Drew Brees at 27.

Even looking at the rest of the names, even if you purely judge based on the deep ball, I am just not impressed by the metrics they use to judge. Like I am sorry but just no.

Did you even read the entry on Brees? He was 6th on 21-25 yards and probably would have been ranked highly on shorter throws as well.

But he's 40. He only through 6 passes of 31+ air yards. He didn't even try that much and his accuracy wasnt great when he did.

I think you only looked at the order of the names.

Here's the final paragraph on Brees:

Remaining a great deep passer at the age of 40 is a near impossible accomplishment, so it’s only natural that a player as old as Brees has some struggles. But as an admirer of his deep passing ability for years this is still a tough pill for me to swallow.
 

garyo1954

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Here's the link to page 1 to see the whole article:
https://brickwallblitz.com/2020/02/21/the-2019-20-deep-ball-project-part-1-3/

Here's page 3, containing Daks's entry:
https://brickwallblitz.com/2020/02/21/the-2019-20-deep-ball-project-part-3-3/

The article contains videos, charts, and explanations of the methodology. Here is the text from Dak's review:


Stopped reading at "The reigning mediocrity of Jason Garrett was not enough to prevent..." since Kellen Moore called plays.

Can't discredit Garrett for something he didn't do.
 

JoeKing

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When I was in college, I could throw a football a mile. (not really a mile but far) I'm in my 50's now. Last Thanksgiving, my brother and I thought it would be cool to get a touch football game going with our sons in their 20's and 30's. OMG, that got ugly fast. Just throwing the ball 20 yards with accuracy was a big ask. I was embarrassed. It's a humbling lesson as you get older that you can't throw the ball like you once could as a younger man. Brees and Brady have my respect for still being able to play at their age.
 

Adreme

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Did you even read the entry on Brees? He was 6th on 21-25 yards and probably would have been ranked highly on shorter throws as well.

But he's 40. He only through 6 passes of 31+ air yards. He didn't even try that much and his accuracy wasnt great when he did.

I think you only looked at the order of the names.

Here's the final paragraph on Brees:

Remaining a great deep passer at the age of 40 is a near impossible accomplishment, so it’s only natural that a player as old as Brees has some struggles. But as an admirer of his deep passing ability for years this is still a tough pill for me to swallow.

I get what they are going for and I get the pure rankings, but I watched a lot of the snaps of these QBs and I probably should have saved most of my mocking for the number 1 but this list is silly. Murray is great, I watched a TON of him because of a friend, but he is not the best deep ball passer in the NFL. I get he has a lot of stats to back it, but this, similar to Dak's passing yards this season, require context and once context is given those numbers, while impressive for a rookie, do not equate to being the best in the NFL.
 

Little Jr

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I believe the splits came out to be that he was 1st in the league overall in deep passing against the Giants and Commanders, and 32nd overall against all other teams.
His 10.9 vs those 2 teams wouldve been 1st in IAY/PA. His 7.6 vs all other teams wouldve put him 12th in IAY/PA. But to do that with Dak means we would have to do that with all other QBs. We would have to go look at other qbs schedules and look at all their deep passing attempts vs bad teams and look at ones vs good teams, like I just did for Dak, figure where they would stand vs each and then fit Dak in. Im sure that wouldnt fit your narrative that Dak sucks though.
 
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