2020 NFL Draft: CeeDee Lamb among seven can't-miss prospects
When the numbers match the film, run to the podium.
But how do you blend these two scouting tools into a single metric? Well, that's what we set out to do with the Next Gen Stats draft score.
By combining NFL Network draft guru Daniel Jeremiah's
mock draft 3.0 and the results of the
Next Gen Stats NFL Draft Model that we debuted in February, we developed an overall draft score for the top players in the 2020 class.
After churning out the data, we found only seven prospects in the 2020
NFL Draft class own an overall draft score of 90 or higher
and are projected by Jeremiah to be a first-round pick. These seven
can't-miss prospects stood out on tape and scored in the top 5 percent of players in the NGS model.
(NOTE: We do not currently have a model to predict pro success for offensive linemen, so we cannot score the six linemen in Daniel Jeremiah's mock draft 3.0. Players who did not participate in drills at the NFL Scouting Combine are given an estimated athleticism score based on their size and projected time in the 40-yard dash.)
RANK
1
Chase Young, Edge
School: Ohio State | Year: Junior
DJ's Projected Pick: No. 2 (Commanders)
Production Score: 97
Athleticism Score: 96 (estimated)
OVERALL DRAFT SCORE: 97
Out of Jeremiah's 32 projected first-round picks, no prospect has a higher overall draft score than Young. His elite combination of production and athleticism gives him one of the best analytics-based resumes among edge rushers in recent memory. Young is one of just three edge rushers over the last five years to enter the draft with a production and athleticism score of 95 or higher. The others --
Myles Garrett (97 production, 99 athleticism) and
Josh Allen (99 production, 98 athleticism) -- made the
Pro Bowl within their first two years in the NFL. Young's 16.5 sacks last season led the FBS and set a new single-season school record. Young, who elected not to participate in drills at the scouting combine, has an estimated athleticism score of 96 based on a projected 4.57 40-time at 264 pounds.
RANK
2
CeeDee Lamb, WR
School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior
DJ's Projected Pick: No. 11 (Jets)
Production Score: 94
Athleticism Score: 94
OVERALL DRAFT SCORE: 96
In Jeremiah's latest mock draft, he has a run on receivers after the top 10, with Lamb (11th, to the Jets),
Jerry Jeudy (12th, to the Raiders) and
Henry Ruggs III (13th, to the 49ers) going in consecutive order. Whether the trio will be selected in that sequence is far from certain, though the NGS Draft Model does predict Lamb will be the top wide receiver in this year's class, based on a strong combine workout (94 athleticism score) and an exceptional college career (94 production score). Lamb leaves Oklahoma ranked second in school history in receiving touchdowns (32) and third in receiving yards (3,292), finishing with 800-plus yards and seven-plus touchdowns in each of his three seasons. Since 2003, there have been just nine receivers to enter the draft with a 90-plus production score and a 90-plus athleticism score: Calvin Johnson,
Amari Cooper,
Brandin Cooks,
Will Fuller,
Alshon Jeffery,
Curtis Samuel,
Chris Godwin,
John Ross and Lamb.
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...ft-ceedee-lamb-among-seven-cantmiss-prospects
Still can't believe he lasted til our pick.