Dak Prescott negotiations - how does the math add up?

Clove

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Well that isn’t easy because there are no franchise tags in my industry but let me give it a shot at apples to apples, just lop off two zeros. :)

Im a data scientist and I am scheduled to make $20,250 per year in 2019 (Dak’s $2,025,000 in 2019).

At my annual review, my boss says, “Skaven we would like to offer you $300,000 per year for the next 5 years” (Dak’s $30 million dollar offer).

“No, I want $350,000 per year boss. I’ll take my chances and work for my $20,250 per year salary this year and prove to you that I’m worth it”.

Boss loves the idea and only pays me $20,250. I miss out on $279,750 that I could have made.

The next year comes around and boss says, “You’re right Skaven, you are worth that. Here is your $350,000 per year”. But no, I still refuse because I only want a 4 year contract.

Does that work for you, @Clove ? Do you see the flaw in his agent’s logic?

The problem is the same. You see, if I accept that $350,000 per year it’s great because it’s $50,000 per year more than I would have made.

But the problem is that I lost out on $279,750, money that’s just gone. I’m making $50,000 per year more but I’d need 6 years ($50K * 6 = $300K) to make back what I lost, and the contract I’m asking for is only 4 years.

I hope this makes sense. I see most people responding either aren’t reading my post or aren’t understanding what I wrote - maybe I’m being too verbose.

I’m not bashing Dak or saying we shouldn’t pay him, which @Rayman70 seemed to think that I was saying.

I’m saying that Dak left money on the table that, even at the higher salary he wants, isn’t enough to recuperate what he lost. That’s why I believe his real asking price is $40 million per year, because that’s the only way that he comes out ahead in these negotiations.

Clear as mud?
The first thing I'd like to know before we get started is this. Do you put your life on the line at your job like Football players do? Do you put your health on the line like these football players do? Is your career on average of 7 years like most of these football players? This is something you have to consider when you consider what these guys are asking for.

Also... Is your job so elite that the world watches, millions upon billions of dollars are made upon the backs of your labor. There are very few players and the owners are making billions off of them. I don't hear you jumping down Jerry's back for making billions.

So when the players ask for WHAT THEY DEEM IS FAIR AMONGST THEIR PEERS, what's the problem? He's only asking for what everyone else in his caliber is asking for. He's "allegedly" asking for 4 years, 35 per, I don't know the true details, do you?. In 8 years, it will be 50. In 10 years it'll be 60, in 20 years it'll be 100 million. Guess what? It's never coming down bro.

So players need to get whatever they can before their short career's come to an end. If the owners making a killing off the backs of their health, then carve them up players.
 

jaythecowboy

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Well that isn’t easy because there are no franchise tags in my industry but let me give it a shot at apples to apples, just lop off two zeros. :)

Im a data scientist and I am scheduled to make $20,250 per year in 2019 (Dak’s $2,025,000 in 2019).

At my annual review, my boss says, “Skaven we would like to offer you $300,000 per year for the next 5 years” (Dak’s $30 million dollar offer).

“No, I want $350,000 per year boss. I’ll take my chances and work for my $20,250 per year salary this year and prove to you that I’m worth it”.

Boss loves the idea and only pays me $20,250. I miss out on $279,750 that I could have made.

The next year comes around and boss says, “You’re right Skaven, you are worth that. Here is your $350,000 per year”. But no, I still refuse because I only want a 4 year contract.

Does that work for you, @Clove ? Do you see the flaw in his agent’s logic?

The problem is the same. You see, if I accept that $350,000 per year it’s great because it’s $50,000 per year more than I would have made.

But the problem is that I lost out on $279,750, money that’s just gone. I’m making $50,000 per year more but I’d need 6 years ($50K * 6 = $300K) to make back what I lost, and the contract I’m asking for is only 4 years.

I hope this makes sense. I see most people responding either aren’t reading my post or aren’t understanding what I wrote - maybe I’m being too verbose.

I’m not bashing Dak or saying we shouldn’t pay him, which @Rayman70 seemed to think that I was saying.

I’m saying that Dak left money on the table that, even at the higher salary he wants, isn’t enough to recuperate what he lost. That’s why I believe his real asking price is $40 million per year, because that’s the only way that he comes out ahead in these negotiations.

Clear as mud?

You keep saying he "lost money" in 2019 but that isn't the case. Had he signed an extension last year it still would have started in 2020.
 

bsbellomy

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The first thing I'd like to know before we get started is this. Do you put your life on the line at your job like Football players do? Do you put your health on the line like these football players do? Is your career on average of 7 years like most of these football players? This is something you have to consider when you consider what these guys are asking for.

Also... Is your job so elite that the world watches, millions upon billions of dollars are made upon the backs of your labor. There are very few players and the owners are making billions off of them. I don't hear you jumping down Jerry's back for making billions.

So when the players ask for WHAT THEY DEEM IS FAIR AMONGST THEIR PEERS, what's the problem? He's only asking for what everyone else in his caliber is asking for. He's "allegedly" asking for 4 years, 35 per, I don't know the true details, do you?. In 8 years, it will be 50. In 10 years it'll be 60, in 20 years it'll be 100 million. Guess what? It's never coming down bro.

So players need to get whatever they can before their short career's come to an end. If the owners making a killing off the backs of their health, then carve them up players.

I don't know how many guys if any have died playing football, but there sure are a lot of police officers, factory workers, and firefighters making a twentieth of the peanuts Dak played for last year. I don't know why people think they can compare these guys pay to normal people. It makes no difference whatsoever whether he plays for 30 or 35 million like it does to someone making 60 or 70k.
 

DandyDon52

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you typically can't replace a contract from my limited understanding. they are extensions to the existing ones. further up on this page i showed how wentz's new contract was actually an extension of 4 years that took place after he finished his 4 rookie years and his 5th option year.
Well that is a flaw that the owners like, they want to keep a guy cheap for 4 years, even though they should be paid more.
And I dont mean like dak should have got 25 million a year in 2016, but 10 mil a year would have been fair back then and still cheap.
Then when that contract is up he might be more willing to sign at a reasonable rate.

The whole reason for the rookie contract system was to save money due to players being busts, mainly the # 1 picks , that were paid big,
but turned out to be duds.
Now they use it to exploit good low round players.
 

CowboysExchange

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Sorry to create another Dak thread, ladies and gentlemen, but I believe that this one will add value to the public discourse.

Can one of you math geniuses help me to understand the Dak Prescott / Todd France negotiation strategy? Because for me, the numbers are not adding up.

I tried to provide links to source everything mentioned below.

In the summer of 2019, the Cowboys offered Dak a deal in the $30 million per year range. Some outlets report that he was actually offered $33 million per year.

He rejected the deal and instead played out the final year of his rookie contract, in which he earned $2.025 million dollars. This is about $28 million in lost earnings for 2019, or $31 million if the Clarence Hill report is correct.

According to reports, there is a new offer in the table now. It’s a $175 million dollar deal which pays Dak $35 million per year.

Dak has rejected this offer as well. If no deal is done, he will play on the franchise tag which will pay him $31.4 million dollars, a difference of $3.6 million dollars.

Can someone please help me understand this negotiating strategy and why it makes financial sense? That’s not even mentioning the enormous risk Dak is taking that he could get injured.

Let’s assume first that the Cowboys cave in July and Dak gets $35 million per year over 4 years. That means he’ll earn $5 million more than he would have if he signed the deal offered in August 2019.

Over the lifetime of the contract, 4 years, he will make $20 million more than he would have if he signed the original offer. But he’s out $28 million, so he’s at a net loss of $8 million!! And this assumes he was offered $30 million per year, because if he turned down $33 million, it looks even worse!

I’m assuming that the two signing bonuses are about the same, since the way they’re talking about the contract value ($140M, $175M, etc) it all works out the same.

Please chime in because I must be missing something.

My only thought is that perhaps the two sides are further apart than we know and this isn’t just about length of contract. To get back the money he lost, I mean just to break even, he’s need a contract that averages $37 million per year and obviously break even isn’t good enough or he would have signed the first deal offered.

I think that Dak’s agent wants $40 million per year - this has actually been reported. If he gets $40 million or $42 million per year, yeah, his agent’s tactics do indeed make sense.

So, bonus question for those who day “sign Dak now”, are you still for signing him at $40 million per year?

Thiughts are appreciated!!

The Cowboys have the upper hand. Andy Dalton is not a big falloff from Dak. Not 30 million per season worth. Lol. If Dak doesnt play this year his endorsements will shrink to zero. I betcha Dalton will be just as good as Dak. Especially if Dak holds out and has no practice w the new offense and players.

Id trade him for picks and spend the 30 million on a decent te and defensive stars. Id extend Dalton now for 2 years and start drafting qbs with my extra number 1 pick/s from the trade. Dak is a good qb but hes asking for way more than what his talent level/trade value is worth. He shoulda took the 30 million last year. Hes no more proven this year than he was last year at 8-8. So he is the loser from not signing last year. Trade him to a team w no national endorsements and let them pay 40 million.
 
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DandyDon52

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The first thing I'd like to know before we get started is this. Do you put your life on the line at your job like Football players do? Do you put your health on the line like these football players do? Is your career on average of 7 years like most of these football players? This is something you have to consider when you consider what these guys are asking for.

Also... Is your job so elite that the world watches, millions upon billions of dollars are made upon the backs of your labor. There are very few players and the owners are making billions off of them. I don't hear you jumping down Jerry's back for making billions.

So when the players ask for WHAT THEY DEEM IS FAIR AMONGST THEIR PEERS, what's the problem? He's only asking for what everyone else in his caliber is asking for. He's "allegedly" asking for 4 years, 35 per, I don't know the true details, do you?. In 8 years, it will be 50. In 10 years it'll be 60, in 20 years it'll be 100 million. Guess what? It's never coming down bro.

So players need to get whatever they can before their short career's come to an end. If the owners making a killing off the backs of their health, then carve them up players.
Only the stars make the ridiculous amounts of money . And that has gotten out of hand, regardless of what owners make,
or the players risking their health.
These same guys took the same risks in HS and college for no pay. That is where the injury history starts.

But many ordinary folks would risk their life to make 5 mil a year, and no telling what they would do for chance to make 35 mil a year.

Heck most people could live like kings rest of their life on just 1 year of 35 mil pay.
These players today, the stars want to make 100-300 million and then act like they need all that to live decent lol.

So when dak is asking for 35 mil a year or saying that isnt good enough, it just astounds us regular folks.
For example you go on about risking life?? lol and health, and it being a short career, but the short career is a two sided street.
Short time to make your money, but the rest of life they dont have to work, they are set for life in a few years of work.

Part of the problem is they dont want to just live like kings, they want to live like super kings lol and buy $ 300,000 cars and have mansions
in 20 states and no telling what else.
It is out of control and ridiculous, but the sport is popular, so fans and owners are responsible for the outrageous salarys the stars get.

A lot of the so so guys barely make enough to set themselves up nicely, like alfred morris, he played 6 years I think, and never made all that much
due to the rookie contract, and fairly low pay for what he did. I doubt he had 5 mil when he was done.He said he was saving his money
and lived really cheap because he wanted to be setup when he quit playing.
so only a select few make the big bucks, and many of those make way too much.

As far as health goes, they have the best doctors and surgeons to care for them and no deductibles lol. They get the best care for free
until they stop playing .

So in closing Dak turning down 30 mil a year or more, just seems incredible to most ordinary folks.
Even bruce willis is probably saying " he turned down what??" :huh:
 

buybuydandavis

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I tried to provide links to source everything mentioned below.

In the summer of 2019, the Cowboys offered Dak a deal in the $30 million per year range. Some outlets report that he was actually offered $33 million per year.

He rejected the deal and instead played out the final year of his rookie contract, in which he earned $2.025 million dollars. This is about $28 million in lost earnings for 2019, or $31 million if the Clarence Hill report is correct.

He was offered an *extension* at 30mil or so per year. While he would get a bonus, presumably 30mil per year was calculated based on the number of years in the extension, not counting the final year of his rookie contract.

Yeah, it would have been crazy pants for him not to jump on that money last summer.
 

Kwyn

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Sorry to create another Dak thread, ladies and gentlemen, but I believe that this one will add value to the public discourse.

Can one of you math geniuses help me to understand the Dak Prescott / Todd France negotiation strategy? Because for me, the numbers are not adding up.

I tried to provide links to source everything mentioned below.

In the summer of 2019, the Cowboys offered Dak a deal in the $30 million per year range. Some outlets report that he was actually offered $33 million per year.

He rejected the deal and instead played out the final year of his rookie contract, in which he earned $2.025 million dollars. This is about $28 million in lost earnings for 2019, or $31 million if the Clarence Hill report is correct.

According to reports, there is a new offer in the table now. It’s a $175 million dollar deal which pays Dak $35 million per year.

Dak has rejected this offer as well. If no deal is done, he will play on the franchise tag which will pay him $31.4 million dollars, a difference of $3.6 million dollars.

Can someone please help me understand this negotiating strategy and why it makes financial sense? That’s not even mentioning the enormous risk Dak is taking that he could get injured.

Let’s assume first that the Cowboys cave in July and Dak gets $35 million per year over 4 years. That means he’ll earn $5 million more than he would have if he signed the deal offered in August 2019.

Over the lifetime of the contract, 4 years, he will make $20 million more than he would have if he signed the original offer. But he’s out $28 million, so he’s at a net loss of $8 million!! And this assumes he was offered $30 million per year, because if he turned down $33 million, it looks even worse!

I’m assuming that the two signing bonuses are about the same, since the way they’re talking about the contract value ($140M, $175M, etc) it all works out the same.

Please chime in because I must be missing something.

My only thought is that perhaps the two sides are further apart than we know and this isn’t just about length of contract. To get back the money he lost, I mean just to break even, he’s need a contract that averages $37 million per year and obviously break even isn’t good enough or he would have signed the first deal offered.

I think that Dak’s agent wants $40 million per year - this has actually been reported. If he gets $40 million or $42 million per year, yeah, his agent’s tactics do indeed make sense.

So, bonus question for those who day “sign Dak now”, are you still for signing him at $40 million per year?

Thiughts are appreciated!!
I appreciate the effort and thought you put into your post. Good job!

I will say that I think that most of your numbers though reflect the Cowboys leaked version of the negotiations. You did your homework but there’s still a lot missing

There are reports that they never came close to offering Wentz or Goff money last year and only now are offering something equal or better.

Dak now has life altering money almost guaranteed through the tag so the team’s leverage has decreased. He’s no longer the fourth round pick playing for relative peanuts. It changed the power dynamic and one could argue the Cowboys overplayed their hand

There are also reports that the Cowboys started at six (or even seven) years. Certainly gives one pause. The same report stated that Dak responded with three. He certainly couldn’t come back at four if the team was sitting on six because that leaves five as the middle ground which is no longer the industry standard for QB’s

Even now, there are many reports saying the Cowboys are offering 32-33 per year and are not offering Wilson type money which I think is the baseline for most of your calculations

And, as mentioned earlier in tre thread, the 40m per has been debunked widely.

You made the following comment and I think it’s almost certainly true

“My only thought is that perhaps the two sides are further apart than we know and this isn’t just about length of contract”

The bottom line is that we just don’t know and as much as we are all floundering around trying to gain some certainty, it’s a hopeless cause.
 

Flamma

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He rejected the deal and instead played out the final year of his rookie contract, in which he earned $2.025 million dollars. This is about $28 million in lost earnings for 2019, or $31 million if the Clarence Hill report is correct.
How exactly does having Jerry by the throat help to recuperate $28 to $30 million in lost revenue? Does he ask for $40 million or bust?

I see this stuff posted every once in awhile. Dak DID NOT lose revenue. That's not how contract extensions work. Dak did not lose a single dime, c'mon guys.

Anyone that knows what I post here knows I am not for signing Dak 30+ million a year. I just don't think he is as good as other people in here think he is. I could be flat our wrong and I'll admit it. It could be primarily coaching. But this losing 28 million stuff is flat our wrong. Even if Dak didn't reject the deal he still would have made 2.025 million dollars on the last year of his rookie contract. That doesn't get eliminated with an extension. It doesn't get replaced with an extension. Extension adds to the end of an existing contract. Had Dak signed before 2019 he would have got his bonus sooner. Not his new salary. Then the Cowboys could have used 2019 to spread out the cap hit. But that's for another thread.
 

HanD

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Well that is a flaw that the owners like, they want to keep a guy cheap for 4 years, even though they should be paid more.
And I dont mean like dak should have got 25 million a year in 2016, but 10 mil a year would have been fair back then and still cheap.
Then when that contract is up he might be more willing to sign at a reasonable rate.

The whole reason for the rookie contract system was to save money due to players being busts, mainly the # 1 picks , that were paid big,
but turned out to be duds.
Now they use it to exploit good low round players.
It's a nice thought. I personally don't think things would change too much. Players get the signing bonus up front and 3 years later hold out cause they are ONLY making like 5m a year. They forget they already got like 25m several years before.

I do wish there was a way to pay performers quicker though
 

Flamma

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Well that is a flaw that the owners like, they want to keep a guy cheap for 4 years, even though they should be paid more.
And I dont mean like dak should have got 25 million a year in 2016, but 10 mil a year would have been fair back then and still cheap.
Then when that contract is up he might be more willing to sign at a reasonable rate.

The whole reason for the rookie contract system was to save money due to players being busts, mainly the # 1 picks , that were paid big,
but turned out to be duds.

Now they use it to exploit good low round players.

That probably is the reason. But imagine paying a rookie a ridiculous amount of money before he takes his first snap and he's a bust? But again the cap comes into play. The rookie contracts make the cap more manageable. As a fan I wouldn't care about any of this if not for the cap.
 

TheSkaven

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Anyone that knows what I post here knows I am not for signing Dak 30+ million a year. I just don't think he is as good as other people in here think he is. I could be flat our wrong and I'll admit it. It could be primarily coaching. But this losing 28 million stuff is flat our wrong. Even if Dak didn't reject the deal he still would have made 2.025 million dollars on the last year of his rookie contract. That doesn't get eliminated with an extension. It doesn't get replaced with an extension. Extension adds to the end of an existing contract. Had Dak signed before 2019 he would have got his bonus sooner. Not his new salary. Then the Cowboys could have used 2019 to spread out the cap hit. But that's for another thread.

OK, thanks I appreciate this response. Someone else wrote the same thing and I said that I don’t buy it. Looks like I might have been wrong.

Are you 100% sure? It’s just hard to believe. So it’s August 2019, you’re scheduled to make $2M and I add an extension so you’re making $35M per year. You’re OK with earning $2M this year and not starting to get your new salary until 2020?

You could very well be right but that just sounds wrong.
 

Irvin88_4life

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Sorry to create another Dak thread, ladies and gentlemen, but I believe that this one will add value to the public discourse.

Can one of you math geniuses help me to understand the Dak Prescott / Todd France negotiation strategy? Because for me, the numbers are not adding up.

I tried to provide links to source everything mentioned below.

In the summer of 2019, the Cowboys offered Dak a deal in the $30 million per year range. Some outlets report that he was actually offered $33 million per year.

He rejected the deal and instead played out the final year of his rookie contract, in which he earned $2.025 million dollars. This is about $28 million in lost earnings for 2019, or $31 million if the Clarence Hill report is correct.

According to reports, there is a new offer in the table now. It’s a $175 million dollar deal which pays Dak $35 million per year.

Dak has rejected this offer as well. If no deal is done, he will play on the franchise tag which will pay him $31.4 million dollars, a difference of $3.6 million dollars.

Can someone please help me understand this negotiating strategy and why it makes financial sense? That’s not even mentioning the enormous risk Dak is taking that he could get injured.

Let’s assume first that the Cowboys cave in July and Dak gets $35 million per year over 4 years. That means he’ll earn $5 million more than he would have if he signed the deal offered in August 2019.

Over the lifetime of the contract, 4 years, he will make $20 million more than he would have if he signed the original offer. But he’s out $28 million, so he’s at a net loss of $8 million!! And this assumes he was offered $30 million per year, because if he turned down $33 million, it looks even worse!

I’m assuming that the two signing bonuses are about the same, since the way they’re talking about the contract value ($140M, $175M, etc) it all works out the same.

Please chime in because I must be missing something.

My only thought is that perhaps the two sides are further apart than we know and this isn’t just about length of contract. To get back the money he lost, I mean just to break even, he’s need a contract that averages $37 million per year and obviously break even isn’t good enough or he would have signed the first deal offered.

I think that Dak’s agent wants $40 million per year - this has actually been reported. If he gets $40 million or $42 million per year, yeah, his agent’s tactics do indeed make sense.

So, bonus question for those who day “sign Dak now”, are you still for signing him at $40 million per year?

Thiughts are appreciated!!
The money per year isn't the issue.

Dak wants a 4 year deal like all the other contracts that have been signed by QBs lately. Dallas wants 5 plus years and the league is changing to more 4 year deals. Dallas has more players under contract with 5 plus years than most every team.
 

Qcard

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heres how the math adds up. You either pay the man, or we will not win 5 games this year. That's what is at risk here. I'm not sayin pay him 40 mil per, I'm saying, just get the years right, give him around 36 mil per, and be done with it.
Excellent point....folks are letting their Dak Hate inoculate themselves against the PAIN of a 3-5 win season.

Look at the NFC East IF we start Dalton

Washington - Haskins/Allen youth & Unknown Celling ( Premium & Low Pick)

Eagles - Wentz MVP Ceiling (Premium Pick) Hurts (Premium Pick)

Giants - Daniel Jones youth & Unknown Ceiling ( Premium Pick)

Cowboys - Dalton Age & Known Ceiling

This is the math to answer OP sign Dak and figure out the cap down the road. 49ers got stacked with Jimmy, Vikings with Kirk....this is our closest comparison.

Plus any fan who cares about how much a player makes in my opinion is completely un-American.
After the new TV deal the Dak Haters will be screaming cut Dak we have enough cap room to take the hit smh:huh:
 

Flamma

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OK, thanks I appreciate this response. Someone else wrote the same thing and I said that I don’t buy it. Looks like I might have been wrong.

Are you 100% sure? It’s just hard to believe. So it’s August 2019, you’re scheduled to make $2M and I add an extension so you’re making $35M per year. You’re OK with earning $2M this year and not starting to get your new salary until 2020?

You could very well be right but that just sounds wrong.

You got it spot on now. It's an extension to his existing contract. He would however get his signing bonus up front. So if he got a 40 million dollar signing bonus he would get that and the 2 million for the last year of his contract. But he's not losing a signing bonus, just getting it a year later. Now what Dak will be getting is not an extension any longer. It will be a new contract. The benefit to giving the player an extension a year before the end of the contract is so that they could use that last year to dump bonus money and make the cap hit smaller. What better place to dump bonus money than a year he's only making 2 mil?
 

TheSkaven

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Plus any fan who cares about how much a player makes in my opinion is completely un-American.

Stop! Just stop!

No one on this board cares what Dak makes. No. One.

People mention it because of the salary cap. If there were no salary cap, I’d hope he makes $100 million per year, good for him.

But the reality is that if, for example, he ends up getting $40M per year, that’d be 20% of the salary cap. Do you understand what that means? Less good players, and even fewer great players.

If you don’t care what the players make then you don’t understand the game in 2020.
 

J-man

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It's not dollars it's years. Dak wants to be able to re-up in 4 years.
 

Little Jr

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Your logic is flawed based on using solely AAV. AAV does not equal cash flow. There were also extenuating circumstances that made it logical for him to wait from a cash flow perspective. I'll try to break down Dak/his agent's thinking.

By waiting a year, he has increased his total contract value. He allowed other QBs (Goff and Wentz) to reset the market and proceeded to outplay them, increasing his leverage to negotiate higher deals than them, thus increasing his guarantees, which in turn would increase his 3 year cash flow since most big contracts pay out the guarantees in 3 years regardless of length to allow future flexibility to cut/trade a player.

Now, likely the bigger factor in Dak's cash flow logic on waiting had to do with the contract rules that were in place last year as opposed to this year due to the new CBA. Because there was no new CBA signed as of last offseason, teams were at a disadvantage in terms flexibility of contract structures due to the 30% rule. The 30% rule states that contract years subsequent the final CBA year (which would have been this year) can not see raises greater than 30% of the player's salary in the final CBA year. Salary in this case means pretty much anything but signing bonus

As we know, teams like to sign big contracts with high signing bonuses and low early year salaries that balloon in later years ("funny money") to prorate the salary cap impact. What the 30% rule did was prevent those traditional ballooning salary structures. What teams did to counteract this rule separate a big signing bonus into two or three smaller bonuses. The traditional prorated signing bonus would be much smaller than typical followed by a slightly larger year 2 (final CPA year) Roster bonus or Option bonus. Roster bonuses hit the cap in the year signed and option bonuses are prorated over the length of the deal max 5 years.

Look at the contract Zeke signed with the Cowboys last season. He signed a small $7.5m signing bonus but received a $13m option bonus at the start of this season. You can also look at Jared Goff's and Carson Wentz's deals from last season and see the same idea.

Since there is a new CBA in place, there is no 30% restriction. Dak will receive a huge signing bonus upfront (upwards of 60+ million) on a 5/$175 million deal with guarantees around $115 million pr higher paid through 2022, a 3 year out for the team. Add that to the $2.025 million he made last year and that's a 4 year cash flow of $117 million.

Were he to have signed last year, he would have signed for less total value, plus the last year of his rookie deal would have been included in the total structure, making it a longer deal for cap purposes. Even at the high end, a 5 year deal He probably would received a $20 million bonus at signing with a salary still around $2 million. He would have received another bonus of 20-25 million that would be prorated with another low salary likely around $10 million. He'd likely have all guarantees paid through 2022, so his 4 year cash flow through 2022 would likely be around $110 million or so on a total contract value of 6 years $167 million.

As you can see, he's increased his max contract value, guarantees, and 3-4 year cash flow by waiting. Hopefully I explained things well enough but feel free to ask any questions you may have.

Excellent break down. I do disagree with the 115m GTD on a 5yr deal. I dont see anyway 115m GTD on a 5yr deal will get it done. If they want that extra year it will cost them more than that. JMO
 
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