Likely or unlikely?

Bobhaze · Jun 3, 2020

Based on my opinions, below are some scenarios for this season that I believe are either likely or unlikely. Please feel free to weigh in.

1. The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. I say LIKELY. This division almost never has a back to back division winner. E-girls won it last year. Skins and midgets...lol. Cowboys are LIKELY division winners.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. At the last minute, Jerry will come to an agreement with Dak. He always seems to play the long game before caving. I expect a repeat performance here probably at the last possible minute.

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. In a year of incredible offseason uncertainty and a new HC coming in, I think this team will probably be something like 10-6. The latter part of the schedule is also very tough. Hope I’m wrong and this team wins 12!

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. In fact, barring an injury to Dak, or some crazy holdout, Dalton will be one of the leagues best backup QBs. That’s what he was signed for. Even he knows that.

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. With the addition of Cedee Lamb plus the new offensive mind of Big Mac, I think this offense is poised to score more. More yardage? Who cares? Points are what matters most and I think this team will kick less FGs and score more TDs because Mac is more aggressive than Coach Vanilla ever was.

6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. I see this as a good thing, because we have been wearing this guy out under Garrett. Use him but with more variety and creativity. And I expect Pollard to see more action this year. Zeke will be perhaps a bigger weapon because they use him more intelligently.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. UNLIKELY. Only two head coaches in the last 20 seasons have won a SB in their first year- Jon Gruden in 2002 at Tampa Bay and Gary Kubiak in 2015 with the Broncos. I expect Big Mac to have a great first year and I expect the Cowboys to win the NFC East, and win a playoff game. But I see 2021 as a better shot in Big Macs second year.

What about your opinions? Likely or unlikely? Feel free to add some other possibilities.

J-man · Jun 3, 2020

1. I agree, we win the NFCE, I see us as the best team in the division.
2. I agree, Dak and JJ will get it done before July 15, maybe July 14, but done.
3. I agree, it's always tough with a new system, and this year with limited time together will make it even harder.
4. I agree, Dalton will not see the field in 2020 unless Dak goes down.
5. I agree, this offense has the potential to be literally unstoppable. The trio, Zeke, Pollard, Jarwin all dangerous. pick you poison defense.
6. I disagree, I think D will surprise a lot of people including other teams. Nolan will stop the *** stuff Rod was calling.
7. I agree, with this many options it's best to not be run heavy, Bruce Lee says "be like water my friend, formless and shapeless."
8. I agree, again with this much new to learn, in a crazy off-season like this, is asking a lot of anyone to be that good that fast. But I do think it is possible. The offense could be unstoppable as I predict, the D could be un-tethered and shock the world with havoc.

StarBoyz83 · Jun 3, 2020

The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. LIKELY. The division has been trash for a long time and it's a 2 team race.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. It'll be signed in july if he only signs the tag trade him

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. The new coaches are exciting and draft was great. A lot of changes and bumps in the road will happen. Along with a tough schedule

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. UNLIKELY. Unless dak holds out or is traded

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. Hoping they can show up a lot more in the games.

6. The defense will be better than last year. UNLIKELY. dont see any upgrades besides the coaches but the coaches alone might make it better.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. If they use pollard more. They're in trouble if they just throw all the time.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. Extremely UNLIKELY. Lots of changes to take place. I think dallas can be a contender next season or the season after.

GoCowboysGo · Jun 3, 2020

What about special teams? Better, extremely likely!

Pompey-Cowboy · Jun 3, 2020

I agree with all but point 6 which means i'm in complete agreement with J-Man.

plasticman · Jun 3, 2020

As far as #6......I think the defense will LIKELY be better than in 2019......but that isn't saying a whole lot.

I think a more significant question would be, will they be better than they were in 2018?......UNLIKELY.

It would take more than the new faces to accomplish that. It would take a reversal in the performance of some key players, the LB's in particular.

I think we were all excited at the start of last season when it came to our LBers. In the previous season, Jaylon Smith had his breakout season and 1st round pick LVE was an almost immediate success. however, 2019 was disappointing. LVE suffered some injuries as well as the revelation that they could become career threatening. Jaylon simply didn't have the same level of intensity
Those guys are the key to how much improvement we see on this defense. Hopefully the new defensive coaches will prove themselves and part of that will be demonstrated by a dominant LB squad.

As far as #7.....I do think that Zeke will get less carries but his touches will decrease only slightly. as he remains an important part of the passing game.

As far as the QB questions #2 and #4, I agree but the degree of certainty makes this a very close call.if the possible answers were changes from a binary LIKELY/UNLIKELY to a scale, then the answer would be extremely close to the middle of that scale. The bottom line is that, although Jerry Jones has always prided himself as a dealmaker and negotiator, he has a history of poor decisions and I don't trust him to understand and prioritize the most crucial contracts. For example, the Dak contract should have been settled last year before anyone else from that draft class.

buybuydandavis · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. At the last minute, Jerry will come to an agreement with Dak. He always seems to play the long game before caving. I expect a repeat performance here probably at the last possible minute.

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. In fact, barring an injury to Dak, or some crazy holdout, Dalton will be one of the leagues best backup QBs. That’s what he was signed for. Even he knows that.

6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

2 and 4 should be inverses. If it ain't Dak, it's Dalton. 4 is getting more likely to me all the time.

2a) If no long term contract for Dak and he signs the tag, does he get traded? 50-50

If after 2 years of trying, they can't get Dak signed, it's time to move on instead travel with Dak down the Kirk Cousins path. Getting Dalton here extremely under market price makes moving on from Dak this year a lot more attractive.

6)
LBs +LVE: ++
DBs -Heath, Byron +Dix, Diggs, Worley: -
DTs -Collins + McCoy, Poe, Gallimore,Crawford, 6/16 Woods: ++
DEs -Quinn, + Gregory, Smith, Crawford, Anae, Jelks?: -?

LBs and DTs much better, Safeties better, Corners worse, DEs worse, maybe
New Coaching Staff + for both the defenses coaches and a HC who won't put up with clowning below him.

Overall, we're better on D.

DaBoys12 · Jun 3, 2020

1. Likely (just edge the e girls)

2. Likely (down to the wire)

3. Unlikely (thinking 10 wins, hope it's more)

4. Unlikely ( I just don't get the argument, great back up)

5. Likely (o line will work it self out, Cee Dee, new coach, me likey)

6. Likely (maybe just wishful thinking here, B Jones hurts, start slow finish strong is my hope)

7. Likely ( tough one, hopefully more Pollard)

8. Unlikely (sigh)

Bonus- @GoCowboysGo Likely (better special teams)

Blackrain · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
Based on my opinions, below are some scenarios for this season that I believe are either likely or unlikely. Please feel free to weigh in.

1. The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. I say LIKELY. This division almost never has a back to back division winner. E-girls won it last year. Skins and midgets...lol. Cowboys are LIKELY division winners.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. At the last minute, Jerry will come to an agreement with Dak. He always seems to play the long game before caving. I expect a repeat performance here probably at the last possible minute.

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. In a year of incredible offseason uncertainty and a new HC coming in, I think this team will probably be something like 10-6. The latter part of the schedule is also very tough. Hope I’m wrong and this team wins 12!

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. In fact, barring an injury to Dak, or some crazy holdout, Dalton will be one of the leagues best backup QBs. That’s what he was signed for. Even he knows that.

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. With the addition of Cedee Lamb plus the new offensive mind of Big Mac, I think this offense is poised to score more. More yardage? Who cares? Points are what matters most and I think this team will kick less FGs and score more TDs because Mac is more aggressive than Coach Vanilla ever was.

6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. I see this as a good thing, because we have been wearing this guy out under Garrett. Use him but with more variety and creativity. And I expect Pollard to see more action this year. Zeke will be perhaps a bigger weapon because they use him more intelligently.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. UNLIKELY. Only two head coaches in the last 20 seasons have won a SB in their first year- Jon Gruden in 2002 at Tampa Bay and Gary Kubiak in 2015 with the Broncos. I expect Big Mac to have a great first year and I expect the Cowboys to win the NFC East, and win a playoff game. But I see 2021 as a better shot in Big Macs second year.

What about your opinions? Likely or unlikely? Feel free to add some other possibilities.

Spot on Bullett but I think the defense has the potential with new coaching and some beef up front to surprise us along with special teams having to be better because it couldn't get worse .

Buzzbait · Jun 3, 2020

I agree with all points but one:
#6 Disagree. I believe we will indeed have a better defense than last year. Not only will we be stronger against the run, I think there's a good chance we'll have a better pass rush.

MarcusRock · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

You'll probably see more push-back on this one than others and already so but I agree with you here. There are far too many questions and "hoping things fall into place" than known quantities. There's also that pesky thing about Poe and McCoy giving up the most rushing yards up the middle last season and if that transfers here as a problem, RBs will be running into another question mark area in our LB corps. Now if we sign a guy like Griffen, I'd feel a little better because if we can't pressure the QB with Lawrence alone, our DBs have the potential to get torched. And before people mention Gregory and/or Smith, really? That's who we're relying on? 2nd half of the season maybe but we sure as Hades better weather that first half or the 2nd half won't matter when every game counts.

Pantone282C · Jun 3, 2020

# 6 - I understand your concerns about the defense, but it will be better, if for no other reason, we don't have a divisive and dysfunctional coaching system for the D.
In terms of the rest, in general our team will be better and will compete in the post season. I always want a Super Bowl, but a year or two under MM will provide a stronger team and one able to sustain a run for a SB.

Ranched · Jun 3, 2020

Likely to all except this one. 2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY
Dalton will win the starting job because Prescott will be holding out.

2020 has been such an obnoxious year already, I truly see Dallas going to the SB & defeat the media's talking heads odds "5%" chance of doing so.

Stash · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
Based on my opinions, below are some scenarios for this season that I believe are either likely or unlikely. Please feel free to weigh in.

1. The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. I say LIKELY. This division almost never has a back to back division winner. E-girls won it last year. Skins and midgets...lol. Cowboys are LIKELY division winners.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. At the last minute, Jerry will come to an agreement with Dak. He always seems to play the long game before caving. I expect a repeat performance here probably at the last possible minute.

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. In a year of incredible offseason uncertainty and a new HC coming in, I think this team will probably be something like 10-6. The latter part of the schedule is also very tough. Hope I’m wrong and this team wins 12!

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. In fact, barring an injury to Dak, or some crazy holdout, Dalton will be one of the leagues best backup QBs. That’s what he was signed for. Even he knows that.

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. With the addition of Cedee Lamb plus the new offensive mind of Big Mac, I think this offense is poised to score more. More yardage? Who cares? Points are what matters most and I think this team will kick less FGs and score more TDs because Mac is more aggressive than Coach Vanilla ever was.

6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. I see this as a good thing, because we have been wearing this guy out under Garrett. Use him but with more variety and creativity. And I expect Pollard to see more action this year. Zeke will be perhaps a bigger weapon because they use him more intelligently.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. UNLIKELY. Only two head coaches in the last 20 seasons have won a SB in their first year- Jon Gruden in 2002 at Tampa Bay and Gary Kubiak in 2015 with the Broncos. I expect Big Mac to have a great first year and I expect the Cowboys to win the NFC East, and win a playoff game. But I see 2021 as a better shot in Big Macs second year.

What about your opinions? Likely or unlikely? Feel free to add some other possibilities.

The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020 - LIKELY in my mind. When right, Dallas was the better team last year and I feel overall they've improved more than the Eagles have.
Dak signs a new contract - LIKELY. No risk of player injury, so no incentive to sign anything early. But I think the deal gets done right before the deadline. Hopefully ahead of the Texans overpaying Watson and screwing up that market too.
Cowboys win more than 10 games - LIKELY in my opinion. I think they're a 12-win team with an unexpected stumble, so that's 11 wins for me. Coaching matters.
Dalton starting? UNLIKELY barring injury. Not even a conversation for me.
The offense will be better in 2020. I think scoring efficiency will be improved and that's all that matters.
The defense being better? UNLIKELY, given all of the changing parts. I think it takes at least a year for the players to get comfortable on that side of the ball. I expect more splash plays made and more splash plays given up in 2020.
Zeke with less carries? LIKELY. And it would be another smart move. Less carries, but more effective with them.
The Cowboys make it to the Super Bowl? I can't say it's LIKELY with all of the factors involved, but in no way do I rule it out. As I said before, coaching matters.

CowboyRoy · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
Based on my opinions, below are some scenarios for this season that I believe are either likely or unlikely. Please feel free to weigh in.

1. The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. I say LIKELY. This division almost never has a back to back division winner. E-girls won it last year. Skins and midgets...lol. Cowboys are LIKELY division winners.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. At the last minute, Jerry will come to an agreement with Dak. He always seems to play the long game before caving. I expect a repeat performance here probably at the last possible minute.

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. In a year of incredible offseason uncertainty and a new HC coming in, I think this team will probably be something like 10-6. The latter part of the schedule is also very tough. Hope I’m wrong and this team wins 12!

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. In fact, barring an injury to Dak, or some crazy holdout, Dalton will be one of the leagues best backup QBs. That’s what he was signed for. Even he knows that.

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. With the addition of Cedee Lamb plus the new offensive mind of Big Mac, I think this offense is poised to score more. More yardage? Who cares? Points are what matters most and I think this team will kick less FGs and score more TDs because Mac is more aggressive than Coach Vanilla ever was.

6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. I see this as a good thing, because we have been wearing this guy out under Garrett. Use him but with more variety and creativity. And I expect Pollard to see more action this year. Zeke will be perhaps a bigger weapon because they use him more intelligently.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. UNLIKELY. Only two head coaches in the last 20 seasons have won a SB in their first year- Jon Gruden in 2002 at Tampa Bay and Gary Kubiak in 2015 with the Broncos. I expect Big Mac to have a great first year and I expect the Cowboys to win the NFC East, and win a playoff game. But I see 2021 as a better shot in Big Macs second year.

What about your opinions? Likely or unlikely? Feel free to add some other possibilities.

Agree with most, but you had two really strange outcomes in there.

-Cowboys are going to win the NFC East but win less than 10 games? Doesn't make sense.

-Defense is "unliklely" to improve? That one is just way off for me. Not sure how you figure that one after the upgardes and coaching change.

UncleOscar · Jun 3, 2020

1. Moderately unlikely of winning NFC East. Too many unknowns: Dak, new coaching staff with limited time to install new systems.

2. Very likely Dak signs new contract based on Jerry's history of panicking and caving.

3. Unlikely Cowboys win more than 10 games. That puts them at 11-5 or better. At best they are 10-6 on a tough schedule.

4. Agree its unlikely Dalton wins QB starter.

5 & 6. Highly likely the offense and defense will be much improved simply by replacing a staff of HIGHLY INCOMPETENT COACHES with very experienced competent coaches.

7. Likely Zeke gets less carries, but gets much smarter running plays called for him.

8. Unlikely that Dallas makes it to the SB, but it will be a weird season for all teams and anything can happen.

CowboyRoy · Jun 3, 2020

StarBoyz83 said:
The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. LIKELY. The division has been trash for a long time and it's a 2 team race.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. It'll be signed in july if he only signs the tag trade him

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. The new coaches are exciting and draft was great. A lot of changes and bumps in the road will happen. Along with a tough schedule

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. UNLIKELY. Unless dak holds out or is traded

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. Hoping they can show up a lot more in the games.

6. The defense will be better than last year. UNLIKELY. dont see any upgrades besides the coaches but the coaches alone might make it better.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. If they use pollard more. They're in trouble if they just throw all the time.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. Extremely UNLIKELY. Lots of changes to take place. I think dallas can be a contender next season or the season after.

Don't see any upgrades on the D? You will be pleasantly surprised when the season comes around then.

Bobhaze · Jun 3, 2020

CowboyRoy said:
Agree with most, but you had two really strange outcomes in there.

-Cowboys are going to win the NFC East but win less than 10 games? Doesn't make sense.

-Defense is "unliklely" to improve? That one is just way off for me. Not sure how you figure that one after the upgardes and coaching change.

Actual quote from my post...”I think this team will probably be something like 10-6.”

tyke1doe · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
Based on my opinions, below are some scenarios for this season that I believe are either likely or unlikely. Please feel free to weigh in.

1. The Cowboys win the NFC East in 2020. I say LIKELY. This division almost never has a back to back division winner. E-girls won it last year. Skins and midgets...lol. Cowboys are LIKELY division winners.

2. Dak Prescott signs a new contract instead of playing under the tag. LIKELY. At the last minute, Jerry will come to an agreement with Dak. He always seems to play the long game before caving. I expect a repeat performance here probably at the last possible minute.

3. The Cowboys win more than 10 games in 2020. UNLIKELY. In a year of incredible offseason uncertainty and a new HC coming in, I think this team will probably be something like 10-6. The latter part of the schedule is also very tough. Hope I’m wrong and this team wins 12!

4. Andy Dalton wins the starting QB position for 2020. EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. In fact, barring an injury to Dak, or some crazy holdout, Dalton will be one of the leagues best backup QBs. That’s what he was signed for. Even he knows that.

5. The offense will be better than last year. LIKELY. With the addition of Cedee Lamb plus the new offensive mind of Big Mac, I think this offense is poised to score more. More yardage? Who cares? Points are what matters most and I think this team will kick less FGs and score more TDs because Mac is more aggressive than Coach Vanilla ever was.

6. The defense will be better than last year. This one is tough. I’m going to say...UNLIKELY. I’m not convinced we have added enough pass rushing talent and the loss of Bryon Jones will hurt some, especially early. Safety is still a ? I’m not convinced HaHa is much more than a one year band aid retread. Hope I’m wrong here, but while the D will perhaps be a little better than last year, but not be as good as we want it to be.

7. Zeke Elliott will have less carries than last year. LIKELY. I see this as a good thing, because we have been wearing this guy out under Garrett. Use him but with more variety and creativity. And I expect Pollard to see more action this year. Zeke will be perhaps a bigger weapon because they use him more intelligently.

8. The Cowboys make it to a Super Bowl. UNLIKELY. Only two head coaches in the last 20 seasons have won a SB in their first year- Jon Gruden in 2002 at Tampa Bay and Gary Kubiak in 2015 with the Broncos. I expect Big Mac to have a great first year and I expect the Cowboys to win the NFC East, and win a playoff game. But I see 2021 as a better shot in Big Macs second year.

What about your opinions? Likely or unlikely? Feel free to add some other possibilities.

1. Likely (Largely because of the new coach)
2. Likely (Jerry will cave)
3. Likely (There's enough talent to win. It will depend on the coach and Dak)
4. Unlikely (If Dak starts camp, he's the man from here on out - at least for this season)
5. Likely (Uh, we've added McCarthy - an offensive genius, or so they say - and CeeDee Lamb. We should at least score 30 points a game)
6. Likely (There's no where left to go but up. Besides, I think the problem with our defense has been scheme. I expect more turnovers this season)
7. Likely (Too many offensive weapons at receiver. Zeke's carries may go down, but his effectiveness will increase)
8. Unlikely (Saints, Packers, 49ers, Seahawks, Vikings and Bucs with Brady all have more playoff experience than the Cowboys. Too much of a gauntlet to overcome)

CowboyRoy · Jun 3, 2020

Bobhaze said:
Actual quote from my post...”I think this team will probably be something like 10-6.”

Probably=likely

You said its unlikely they win 10 games...………..then went on in your description to say it would PROBABLY happen.

So which is it?

I also think it would be hard to win the NFC East by winning 10 games.

Likely or unlikely?

Bobhaze

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