This specific call wasn't adding risk, it was adding information, which is a way of minimizing risk. Just because conventional wisdom is one way, doesn't make it the right way. Conventional wisdom was that you needed a big center to win in the NBA. Conventional wisdom was that you needed a good running game to win in football. Those things have been debunked as new information has been embraced, as is the case here.
Exactly and if you’d read some of my other post above or earlier I was arguing on some of the human aspects or psyche you mentioned like emotion and momentum of the game.
If you’re proposing Riverboat Mikes new analytical strategy is the wave of the future in the NFL over conventional wisdom then that’s an entirely different argument.
The point isn't nothing and is fair. My argument is based on simple math and preference for knowledge. It's also fair to note that Atlanta probably played less aggressively on defense because they were down two scores, without such the comeback may not have been possible either.
The use of analytics in football is increasing - that's not just Mike McCarthy.
I’d be curious of some examples from other coaches using analytics in football. This is the first I’ve heard of it applied in such manner.
On a side note ; how’d you come up with your screen name ? And curious of intent .
If you miss the 2 point conversion late, it’s still a 2 possession game.
I think a little differently than most people. I'm open minded, much like Pelluer was when it came to possession of the football. I like to argue with people who are 100% certain that only their view is the only view (or "right" view), because most things aren't so black and white and have some nuance. Plus it's a name only a true, longtime fan would recognize. He was Tom Landry's last starting QB, which is interesting and a little sad.
We all know what it is. And we know it’s a 50-50 shot. The fundamental wisdom is it retains only being down 1 possession instead of 2.
I’m not sure you are anticipating you’re making the 2 point conversion on 2nd try. You must still plan the time in case you don’t needing an onside kick. The only difference is keeping the 1 possession possibility in play as long as possible.
So a reminder of a dark or sad time in Cowboys history,
Yes exactly, the odds are the same. So the only difference between missing the 2pt conversion on the first TD or second TD is how much time is left on the clock when you know you need an additional score.
Mathematically they don’t but mentally the emotionally factor and the momentum is an intangible factor which can’t be measured analytically.
It's not Pelluer's fault he was terrible.
Yes, but certainty also influences the psyche of the game. For the fan, uncertainty may give more hope that we may make the 2 pt conversion later, but the fan can not actually influence the game. For the coach and players, who actually have to make decisions to impact the outcome of the game, knowing with certainty the situation you are in can be helpful.
