Week 9 Tank Update

NorthTexan95 · Nov 2, 2020

SOS data from tankathon.com/nfl using the entire 16 game schedule. Other sites may determine SOS differently.

Current Draft Order:
1. NYJ 0-8 .593 SOS: hosts New England next Monday night
2. NYG 1-6 .533 SOS: plays Tampa tonight, plays at Washington next week
3. Jacksonville 1-6 .543 SOS: hosts Houston next week.
4. Houston 1-6 .565 SOS: plays at Jacksonville next week
5. Dallas 2-6 .475 SOS: hosts Pittsburgh next week.
6. Atlanta 2-6 .556 SOS: hosts Denver next week
7. Washington 2-5 .483 SOS: hosts NYG next week
8. LA Chargers 2-5 .492 SOS: hosts Las Vegas next week
9. New England 2-5 .521 SOS: plays at NYJ next Monday
10. Minnesota 2-5 .521 SOS: hosts Detroit next week.
11. Cincinnati 2-5-1 .522 SOS: off next week

Week 9 - "Realistic" Best Scenario for Dallas:
1. NYJ 0-9 .593: Can't see them beating NE
2. Houston 1-7 .565: I'll give the home team Jacksonville the win vs Houston.
3. Dallas 2-7 .475: Can't see us beating Pittsburgh
4. Washington 2-6 .483: Higher draft spot than NYG due to worst SOS.
5. NYG 2-6 .533: Lose to Tampa tonight but sweep Washington next week.
6. Jacksonville 2-6 .543: Is this really a win for Jacksonville?
7. Cincinnati 2-5-1 .522: A bye moves them up four spots.
8. Atlanta 3-6 .556: Hosting Denver is a good shot at their 3rd win.
9. LA Chargers 3-5 .492: Beating LV is definitely possible
10. Detroit 3-5 .500: Loss to Minnesota gives them a top 10 spot
11. Minnesota 3-5 .521: Is this the start of a roll? Our next opponent after Pittsburgh.
12. New England 3-5 .521: Lose to NYJ next week and Brady is the real winner.
13. Carolina 3-5 .534: Can't see them beating Kansas City
14. Denver 3-5 .551: A lost at Atlanta is very possible

Note: SOS will change some during the season but Dallas' SOS is currently lower than anyone else in the top 15 drafting spots. It is significantly lower than most teams.

Rajveer · Nov 2, 2020

If we are in the top 5 end of the season, I would not mind trading back and maybe getting a second 1st or a high 2nd round pick out of it.

the_h0wey · Nov 2, 2020

Rajat said:
If we are in the top 5 end of the season, I would not mind trading back and maybe getting a second 1st or a high 2nd round pick out of it.

Hard to disagree with that

jazzcat22 · Nov 2, 2020

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/cowboyswhatif.html
% of not making the playoffs

this has us as 6th in the draft
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfldraftorder.html

NorthTexan95 · Nov 2, 2020

jazzcat22 said:
this has us as 6th in the draft
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfldraftorder.html

It's because they calculate SOS differently.

big dog cowboy · Nov 2, 2020

NorthTexan95 said:
SOS data from tankathon.com/nfl using the entire 16 game schedule. Other sites may determine SOS differently.

Current Draft Order:
1. NYJ 0-8 .593 SOS: hosts New England next Monday night
2. NYG 1-6 .533 SOS: plays Tampa tonight, plays at Washington next week
3. Jacksonville 1-6 .543 SOS: hosts Houston next week.
4. Houston 1-6 .565 SOS: plays at Jacksonville next week
5. Dallas 2-6 .475 SOS: hosts Pittsburgh next week.
6. Atlanta 2-6 .556 SOS: hosts Denver next week
7. Washington 2-5 .483 SOS: hosts NYG next week
8. LA Chargers 2-5 .492 SOS: hosts Las Vegas next week
9. New England 2-5 .521 SOS: plays at NYJ next Monday
10. Minnesota 2-5 .521 SOS: hosts Detroit next week.
11. Cincinnati 2-5-1 .522 SOS: off next week

Week 9 - "Realistic" Best Scenario for Dallas:
1. NYJ 0-9 .593: Can't see them beating NE
2. Houston 1-7 .565: I'll give the home team Jacksonville the win vs Houston.
3. Dallas 2-7 .475: Can't see us beating Pittsburgh
4. Washington 2-6 .483: Higher draft spot than NYG due to worst SOS.
5. NYG 2-6 .533: Lose to Tampa tonight but sweep Washington next week.
6. Jacksonville 2-6 .543: Is this really a win for Jacksonville?
7. Cincinnati 2-5-1 .522: A bye moves them up four spots.
8. Atlanta 3-6 .556: Hosting Denver is a good shot at their 3rd win.
9. LA Chargers 3-5 .492: Beating LV is definitely possible
10. Detroit 3-5 .500: Loss to Minnesota gives them a top 10 spot
11. Minnesota 3-5 .521: Is this the start of a roll? Our next opponent after Pittsburgh.
12. New England 3-5 .521: Lose to NYJ next week and Brady is the real winner.
13. Carolina 3-5 .534: Can't see them beating Kansas City
14. Denver 3-5 .551: A lost at Atlanta is very possible

Note: SOS will change some during the season but Dallas' SOS is currently lower than anyone else in the top 15 drafting spots. It is significantly lower than most teams.

PLEASE update this every Monday morning!!!

Thanks!

Chuck 54 · Nov 2, 2020

If we are anywhere near the top 5 and there’s a blue chip CB with elite speed, I’m drafting that guy.
Then I’m drafting DTs and at least 1 young LB and at least 1 Safety, not necessarily in that order.

Dale · Nov 2, 2020

I think we've got a realistic shot at No. 2 and a legitimate inside track at no worse than top 3.

Unfortunately, I think the Jets are too good at stinking to let this slip away.

jazzcat22 · Nov 2, 2020

NorthTexan95 said:
It's because they calculate SOS differently.

yes, not sure which does which, one bases on current win loss, the other takes projected outcomes based on a formula.
If you look at links to the left on the website I posted. It has all kinds of projected scenarios for teams.

5th or 6th, doesn’t matter right now. Too many games to go yet.

805BoysInBlue · Nov 2, 2020

Will the jets give up on Darnold? Can you imagine if were #2 and they pass on Lawrence.

Bigdog · Nov 2, 2020

Dale said:
I think we've got a realistic shot at No. 2 and a legitimate inside track at no worse than top 3.

Unfortunately, I think the Jets are too good at stinking to let this slip away.

Lets hope they fall in love with Fields then.

LACowboysFan1 · Nov 2, 2020

Chuck 54 said:
If we are anywhere near the top 5 and there’s a blue chip CB with elite speed, I’m drafting that guy.
Then I’m drafting DTs and at least 1 young LB and at least 1 Safety, not necessarily in that order.

Yes, the order doesn't matter, any of the position you listed needs the first pick, assuming there's a bona fide blue chipper at the position, at this point I don't see one available in this draft at DT, but the season's not over...

pacy · Nov 2, 2020

Rajat said:
If we are in the top 5 end of the season, I would not mind trading back and maybe getting a second 1st or a high 2nd round pick out of it.

No, get the best LT available and don't look back.

Jake · Nov 2, 2020

big dog cowboy said:
PLEASE update this every Monday morning!!!

Thanks!

Any chance of a Tank Zone being created as these threads multiply like rabbits? :muttley:

ChuckA1 · Nov 2, 2020

Rajat said:
If we are in the top 5 end of the season, I would not mind trading back and maybe getting a second 1st or a high 2nd round pick out of it.

I think this will be based on contract negotiation with Dak. All good and we can do this, not so good and we don't move back. jmho

HanD · Nov 2, 2020

D_Boyz said:
Will the jets give up on Darnold? Can you imagine if were #2 and they pass on Lawrence.

If they aren't done with darnold they will get a random for that pick. Fields will get plenty of trade offers to move up as well imo @ #2.

bayeslife · Nov 2, 2020

Even if we pick #2, we can still trade back for any team that loves Fields.

HanD · Nov 2, 2020

NorthTexan95 said:
Week 9 - "Realistic" Best Scenario for Dallas:
2. Houston 1-7 .565: I'll give the home team Jacksonville the win vs Houston.

Minshew is hurt. Jax is starting a rookie 6th rounder out of oregon State.

Mr_437 · Nov 2, 2020

This makes JAX vs HOU an interesting game.. like which one of you is worse.

Same thing goes for NYG vs WAS.

We'll probably just have to accept the NYJ are gonna hold on to the top pick.

Rajveer · Nov 2, 2020

pacy said:
No, get the best LT available and don't look back.

Also depends on how deep that position is in the draft.

Week 9 Tank Update

NorthTexan95

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Rajveer

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the_h0wey

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jazzcat22

NorthTexan95

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big dog cowboy

THE BIG DOG

Chuck 54

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Dale

Forum Architect

jazzcat22

805BoysInBlue

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Bigdog

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LACowboysFan1

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pacy

82 WITTEN 82

Jake

Beyond tired of Jerry

ChuckA1

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HanD

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bayeslife

187beatdown

HanD

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Mr_437

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Rajveer

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