In all seriousness...what are the chances a guy like Nashon Wright turns out to be a good pick? He was barely rated by MOST guys that are paid to watch tape and rank college prospects. I believe after all the dust settles, it is a Quinn pick because of the guys' measurables. Quinn likes the characteristics he has. On one hand I think it is a shot in the dark and on the other, I am VERY glad our new D coordinator is getting some autonomy. There is a reason he has been successful as a DC. He's going to stick with what works for him. I am on record thinking the picked sucked. I hope I am wrong.
What was the chances of Richard Sherman turning out to be a good pick? He also was a Day 3 prospect. He ran a 4.54 40 at the combine and had an average vertical jump (36 inches) and only did 16 reps in the bench press. A report on him said, “Sherman is a size prospect with some good intangibles that will help him mold into a contributing backup corner for a press-heavy team. However, he does not possess the natural coverage instincts, fluidity or burst to be considered a future starter.”
I just think you never know. When we drafted Awuzie and Lewis a few years back, I thought Awuzie had the better chance of receiving a second contract with the team. (I know that one of the reasons he didn't is because he left for more money while Lewis stayed for a cheaper deal.)
I have opinions on draft picks (I want to make that clear considering what I've already said in this thread), I just don't worry about chances or where players are rated, etc. I think it's good to understand what is being said about each player, what their pluses and minuses are, but in the end, we have no idea whether the player will turn out to be a good or even great pick, like Sherman, or if he'll be a career backup or complete washout.
So I guess I'm on record saying I don't know if the pick sucks. I see what his strengths are supposed to be. I see what his weaknesses are supposed to be. But I don't know enough to have expectations for him either way. I absolutely hope that Quinn identified a diamond like Seattle did with Sherman, but I won't be surprised if he didn't. In fact, I'm rarely surprised when draft picks don't succeed because it's such a hit-and-miss process.
I just see no reason to dislike a pick before the player shows that he was a miss. Some jump strongly to conclusions maybe because they feel they have to take a position or they just like to be controversial. You would think they would have learned by now from players who hit when they said they were bad picks and players who were bad picks when they thought they were great value. You just don't know.
