Solving the Backup QB Issue For the Future

America's Cowboy

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It seems like every other season the Cowboys had to depend on winning games without their starter. They soon recognized this and it forced them to pay very good cap money. Then, they hoped the player never got the opportunity to earn it.

It's very rare to find a backup with the potential to be a starter in the league. When one is available, they become expensive.

The Cowboys have tried two different strategies. One is to overpay for a veteran with starting experience. The other is to rely on the drafting in the 3rd day and rookie free agents. Unfortunately, the only rookie QB's that can make it are the ones that never have to play. When it becomes necessary we soon discover why they were rookie free agents and 3rd day picks.

There are exceptions, of course, but they are just that...exceptions. It is not a "high yield" strategy for backup QB's

However, a team that will commit to drafting QB's in the 1st to 3rd rounds every three years, more or less, they will have better talent and potential to work with from a statistical probability standpoint. There are many other benefits as well.

First, there is actual competition. Most players, including quarterbacks will admit to putting in extra effort if there is a perception that the backup is catching up to his skill set.

Secondly and, just as important, is the cost. Comparatively, the team now has the potential talent without the cap hit. That is even more important if your starter is one of the highest paid.

Third, there is always the potential for trade. if your backup had an opportunity to showcase his potential and another team is interested, there may be incredible value to the team.

Fourth, he will be drafted based on the team's system and he will learn the team's system. Veterans do not offer the flexibility of choosing one that fits the system. If the veteran QB is ever needed, the system has to change to fit his abilities of lack thereof.

If a QB is drafted in the 1st to 3rd round every 3rd season then you always have a rookie at the same time your previous backup is in his contract year.

When you think of some of the 1st to 3rd picks the Cowboys have wasted in the past, would this really effect the overall talent acquisition that much?
Agree with everything, except drafting in rounds 1 - 3. Get your backup in the 4th - 5th...or possibly late 3rd if you have multiple picks in the 3rd.
 

Doomsday101

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I could see a team doing this if they have an older QB as opposed to a young QB. 2 examples would be Cinn with Borrow and Jacksonville with Lawrence, I would not waste picks on QB in the 1st 3 rds, I would want those picks to be able to put talent around my QB. In cases where you know that your QB is getting closer to the tail end I think it would be wise using a high pick to get a QB much like GB did when they drafted Rodgers and had him sit behind Favre. Tampa Bay also this past draft took Kyle Trask in the 2nd because with Brady being an older QB this move by Tampa would allow them time to have Trask work and learn behind Brady.
 

garyo1954

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In McCarthy's 13-year run with the Packers, they selected five quarterbacks: Ingle Martin (fifth round, 2006), Brian Brohm (second round, 2008), Matt Flynn (seventh round, 2008), B.J. Coleman (seventh round, 2012) and Brett Hundley (fifth round, 2015). Flynn won games for an injured Aaron Rodgers and earned a big free-agent contract from the Seattle Seahawks. Hundley was traded to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick in 2018.

"You can see the value not only it has for your football team and the starter," McCarthy said, "but also the value it can bring to your football team as younger quarterbacks move on."

Since Jones took over the Cowboys in 1989, the Cowboys have drafted six quarterbacks: Troy Aikman, who went No. 1 overall that first year, followed by Bill Musgrave (fourth round, 1991), Quincy Carter (second round, 2001), Stephen McGee (fourth round, 2009), Prescott (fourth round, 2016) and Mike White (fifth round, 2018). Counting Steve Walsh in the supplemental draft it comes to 7.

So in 13 years Big Mac drafted 5 QBs. In 32 years Goofy and friends have drafted 7.
 

CoachD

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How long will Nick Foles be the back up/not dressed for game day QB in Chicago.
 

plasticman

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Last season there was a 60% probability that your backup QB was going to start one game. There was a 37.5% probability they would have to start 2 games and a 28% probability they had to start 4 games or more.

With an increase in the number of regular season games that probability will increase.

Most backups will be utilized. They will gain some experience. Even if they don't, they will continue to be developed and at some point during their four year contract they will be used.

Obtaining your QB's through the draft is the most economical cap friendly method.
 

plasticman

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Dedicating 11.1% of your top three picks to the QB position every three years is not out of the question. I am not really talking about drafting a quarterback simply for the sake of a backup. That's why it is important to look for them in the upper rounds.

If the Cowboys had a 2nd round draft pick in his 2nd year at QB after the 2019 season then Dak would have been far less likely to be franchised. In fact, he may have been signed at that point.
 

FiveSuperBowls

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Well don’t tell Rodgers that, he would of held out years ago with GB, although he is a “ strange cat”.
 

KB1122

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Short of being a title contender, why would you want a good backup quarterback?
 

blueblood70

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It seems like every other season the Cowboys had to depend on winning games without their starter. They soon recognized this and it forced them to pay very good cap money. Then, they hoped the player never got the opportunity to earn it.

It's very rare to find a backup with the potential to be a starter in the league. When one is available, they become expensive.

The Cowboys have tried two different strategies. One is to overpay for a veteran with starting experience. The other is to rely on the drafting in the 3rd day and rookie free agents. Unfortunately, the only rookie QB's that can make it are the ones that never have to play. When it becomes necessary we soon discover why they were rookie free agents and 3rd day picks.

There are exceptions, of course, but they are just that...exceptions. It is not a "high yield" strategy for backup QB's

However, a team that will commit to drafting QB's in the 1st to 3rd rounds every three years, more or less, they will have better talent and potential to work with from a statistical probability standpoint. There are many other benefits as well.

First, there is actual competition. Most players, including quarterbacks will admit to putting in extra effort if there is a perception that the backup is catching up to his skill set.

Secondly and, just as important, is the cost. Comparatively, the team now has the potential talent without the cap hit. That is even more important if your starter is one of the highest paid.

Third, there is always the potential for trade. if your backup had an opportunity to showcase his potential and another team is interested, there may be incredible value to the team.

Fourth, he will be drafted based on the team's system and he will learn the team's system. Veterans do not offer the flexibility of choosing one that fits the system. If the veteran QB is ever needed, the system has to change to fit his abilities of lack thereof.

If a QB is drafted in the 1st to 3rd round every 3rd season then you always have a rookie at the same time your previous backup is in his contract year.

When you think of some of the 1st to 3rd picks the Cowboys have wasted in the past, would this really effect the overall talent acquisition that much?
16 teams barely have serviceable starter and you want teams to FIND quality backups out of the 90+ on roisters already?

te top 16 tams with good to great qbs have backups that appear to have play drop off cliff yet the other bottom 16 you cant hardly tell the difference, can you tell me why?

i can tell you there starters were that much better so what left for the top 16 who need backup that wont have steep drop off hard to find, period..
 

blueblood70

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Good OP plasticman. Too bad management fails to understand this logic.

The team should use a mid-round pick, every few years, to draft and develop a quality backup QB. (for all the good reasons listed above)

Bring in a young player that actually has real potential.
umm from where?lmao


16 teams barely have serviceable starter and you want teams to FIND quality backups out of the 90+ on rosters already?

te top 16 tams with good to great qbs have backups that appear to have play drop off cliff yet the other bottom 16 you cant hardly tell the difference, can you tell me why?

i can tell you there starters were that much better so what left for the top 16 who need backup that wont have steep drop off hard to find, period..
there reason bad qbs stay in the league and find starts or are #2s , they are scarce..

if you cant find 32 really GOOD STARTERS NOW YOU WANT TO FIND quality backups..man some of you are clueless or blind not sure which,..
 

sbark

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Patriots for years drafted a qb, rolled them to extra picks later consistently....
Seems to have slowed now after TB left for TB.
 

Jfconrow

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I’m not a fan of backup qbs in general, certainly not drafting them. I would rather lose the games if the starter goes down and then you get a top draft pick. I might go as extreme to say a decent plan is to not give a qb a second contract. The cap savings on rookie contracts are huge especially if they’re 2nd round picks or later. It does suck if a rookie qb doesn’t pan out so if you have an all-star yea sure resign him.
 

TwistedL0g1k

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16 teams barely have serviceable starter and you want teams to FIND quality backups out of the 90+ on rosters already?

Huh?

This discussion is about using an occasional mid-round pick on the position, NOT finding one "out of the 90+ on rosters already".

:rolleyes:
 

plasticman

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16 teams barely have serviceable starter and you want teams to FIND quality backups out of the 90+ on roisters already?

te top 16 tams with good to great qbs have backups that appear to have play drop off cliff yet the other bottom 16 you cant hardly tell the difference, can you tell me why?

i can tell you there starters were that much better so what left for the top 16 who need backup that wont have steep drop off hard to find, period..
No. That's not what I am saying. Not at all.
 

sunalsorises

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In McCarthy's 13-year run with the Packers, they selected five quarterbacks: Ingle Martin (fifth round, 2006), Brian Brohm (second round, 2008), Matt Flynn (seventh round, 2008), B.J. Coleman (seventh round, 2012) and Brett Hundley (fifth round, 2015). Flynn won games for an injured Aaron Rodgers and earned a big free-agent contract from the Seattle Seahawks. Hundley was traded to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick in 2018.

"You can see the value not only it has for your football team and the starter," McCarthy said, "but also the value it can bring to your football team as younger quarterbacks move on."

Since Jones took over the Cowboys in 1989, the Cowboys have drafted six quarterbacks: Troy Aikman, who went No. 1 overall that first year, followed by Bill Musgrave (fourth round, 1991), Quincy Carter (second round, 2001), Stephen McGee (fourth round, 2009), Prescott (fourth round, 2016) and Mike White (fifth round, 2018). Counting Steve Walsh in the supplemental draft it comes to 7.

So in 13 years Big Mac drafted 5 QBs. In 32 years Goofy and friends have drafted 7.

Excellent point. I counter, though, with out of the QBs selected by Dallas, 3 worked out. Aikman made the HOF, Dak is solid, and Steve Walsh netted them a first, second, and third round pick from the Saints. The Packer QBs netted them a fifth round pick.
 

Aviano90

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I agree with the approach. Draft a QB in the 2nd or 3rd and develop. You can trade later if need be. We rely on Rudys for the most important position on the team.
 

conner01

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You don’t use a 1-3 draft on anyone you don’t think can start in first couple years
Just to much talent you pass up
And sure wouldn’t do it every 3 years
If you had a QB at the end of his career maybe you do it one year
 

blueblood70

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Huh?

This discussion is about using an occasional mid-round pick on the position, NOT finding one "out of the 90+ on rosters already".

:rolleyes:
and................................

yert.......................

even many first round guys are busts ??

again , read SLOWLY,

qbs are the single most hardest position to fill as starters, let alone a backup, period end of story.

like i said if the 60+ cant get it done because we know do i have to say it twice the bottom 16 starters are barely starters they are serviceable, now add 60 more to fill out backup roles and what we find maybe 12 teams have truly viable backups and you want Jerry to be some kind of Nostradamus to beat the most others cant seem to be able to?

are you that gullible and stubborn or maybe it Naïve to think if its simple enough to grab a qb in the 3rd or 4th round and hit on them as they are or will be better then Rush, gilbert, or Nooch or let alone the 60 already in the league backups.OH wait i know what it is you lie to hate on the FO so you can come in here and single them out as if the league is so much better then the JOnses..now i get it..

I call that wishful thinking and very unlikely....just hope the starter doesnt go down long while as most backups cant carry a team longer then few games, not many..
 

TwistedL0g1k

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again , read SLOWLY,

LOL. Reading slowly won't improve the spelling & grammar of your posts!

are you that gullible and stubborn or maybe it Naïve to think if its simple enough to grab a qb in the 3rd or 4th round and hit on them as they are or will be better then Rush, gilbert, or Nooch or let alone the 60 already in the league backups

No. What many of us are saying is you generally get what you "pay" for, in terms of draft capital. On average, a 3rd or 4th round QB will be better than a 7th rounder or UDFA. Obviously there are exceptions, and you are correct that QB's are high risk draft prospects.

Dallas should devote a little bit more resources to the backup QB position. While there is no guarantee that a single 3rd or 4th round pick will be better than the current backups, over time, this strategy will improve the backup position. The current group is awful. The lack of resources allocated is readily apparent.
 

blueblood70

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LOL. Reading slowly won't improve the spelling & grammar of your posts!



No. What many of us are saying is you generally get what you "pay" for, in terms of draft capital. On average, a 3rd or 4th round QB will be better than a 7th rounder or UDFA. Obviously there are exceptions, and you are correct that QB's are high risk draft prospects.

Dallas should devote a little bit more resources to the backup QB position. While there is no guarantee that a single 3rd or 4th round pick will be better than the current backups, over time, this strategy will improve the backup position. The current group is awful. The lack of resources allocated is readily apparent.

DISAGREE ITS CRAP SHOOT NO MATTER WHERE YOU PICK THEM ,

SO MANY FIRST ROUND QB BUSTS PROVE IT., MANY GOOD QBS FOUND 4. 5. 6TH ROUNDERS AND MORE UDFAS ARE IN THE HOF THEN FIRST ROUNDERS..THATS A FACT,

ODD WHEN YOU FEEL YOU KNOW MORE THEN THE FO AND OWNERSHIP GROUP FROM BEHIND YOUR KEYBOARD, YOU DONT.:thumbup:

LASTLY , DONT CARE IF YOU DONT LIKE MY BLOW AND GO TYPING AS I DONT HAVE TIME TO LIVE ON THIS FORUM LIKE OTHERS..SO TAKE IT OR LEAVE IT IT DOESNT BOTHER ME ..

BET YOU LUV THE CAPS AS WELL..I HIT POST AND RUN NO PROOF READ. NO CHECK. DO NOT CARE AT ALL..IM NOT TURNING THIS IN FOR GRADE, YA DIG..NOW BACK TO REAL LIFE..:angry::muttley::rolleyes:o_O:rolleyes:
 
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