AT&T Stadium: Homefield Disadvantage

plasticman

Well-Known Member
Messages
9,479
Reaction score
16,085
I was thinking of a way that I could actually measure the degree of homefield advantage for each team in the NFL.

I knew l couldn't simply use winning lercentage at home to compare teams because it would, in general, just mirror their level of success.

I figures the best way to measure the effect of homefield advantage was to aelect an interval in time and compare each team's home record to their road record by taking the difference.

When I do this for Texas Stadium, 1971-2008, their winning percentage at home was 67.7%. Their winning percentage for away games were 50.5%, a difference of 17.2%.

This difference was ranked 15th among NFL teams, the middle of the pack and very close to the average homefield advantage among the teams. Therefore, Texas Stadium offered a real and distinct homefield advantage.

For AT&T stadium 2009 to present, the Cowboys have a home winning percentage of 53.8% and an away percentage of 55.4%, a difference of -1.6% and that places them 2nd to last in yhet category. They are 1 of only 2 teams that actually won more on the road from 2009 to the present, the other is Tampa Bay.

Notice, I did not draw any conclusions,I simply state statistical fact that can be cross checked by anyone familiar with the NFL-Reference database.

The reason for this is because one can look at a different perspective. Perhaps a low home/away percentage indicates the ability to play just as well on the road as at home. Perhaps it's the team culture.or the coaching. In any case, it is interesting to look at.

Some other observations about the time pwriod 2009 to present:

The greateat swing in percentage between home and away games beling to the Baltimore Ravens at 33.9%. They have won 75.4% at home, 41.6% away.....I believe they lost an away hame today.

Also close to the top are the Vikings, Seahawks, and Packers. The Cardinals are at #6, very tough to beat at home.

Interestingly, all four NFC east teams are in the bottom 10, only the Giants are not in the bottom 6. I believe this relates to their rivalries, there is a malevolent satisfaction in beating eachh other in their own back yard.
 
Last edited:

CowboyStar88

Well-Known Member
Messages
21,976
Reaction score
23,947
Personally I think it's related to the sale of tickets by season ticket holders at the new stadium and tourist draw that it has. There is real money to be made on in the middle market for ticket sales.
 

TheKey

Faster than Felix
Messages
3,215
Reaction score
882
Opponent false starts would be my measure of choice
 

erod

Well-Known Member
Messages
37,799
Reaction score
58,346
Personally I think it's related to the sale of tickets by season ticket holders at the new stadium and tourist draw that it has. There is real money to be made on in the middle market for ticket sales.
This happens at every stadium now pretty much.
 

Irvin88_4life

Well-Known Member
Messages
22,442
Reaction score
26,292
Romo won a crazy amount of games on the road. Between Romo 2014 season and last year we lost i think 1 home game. 2015 we barely won any games
 

kumizi

Well-Known Member
Messages
4,213
Reaction score
5,613
It's a combination of things:

Dallas fans are pretty civilized/tame compared to most other cities. Noise is rarely a factor.
Tickets are so expensive that anywhere from 1/5 - 1/2 of the crowd is the opposition's fans.
There's no weather advantage like a lot of teams have.
 

big dog cowboy

THE BIG DOG
Staff member
Messages
97,112
Reaction score
99,365
CowboysZone ULTIMATE Fan
I blame Rowdy.

4e68879bb917faa299b25ba02b4cac5c--cowboys-football-football-team.jpg
 

Sepia

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,731
Reaction score
4,481
Plus, a lot of those stadiums are built to enhance the sound of screaming fans. I don't think that was at the top of Jerry's priorities.

The Seahawks' and Vikings' stadiums at times sound deafening even through the tv.
 

Melonfeud

I Copy!,,, er,,,I guess,,,ah,,,maybe.
Messages
21,976
Reaction score
33,152
I was thinking of a way that I could actually measure the degree of homefield advantage for each team in the NFL.

I knew l couldn't simply use winning lercentage at home to compare teams because it would, in general, just mirror their level of success.

I figures the best way to measure the effect of homefield advantage was to aelect an interval in time and compare each team's home record to their road record by taking the difference.

When I do this for Texas Stadium, 1971-2008, their winning percentage at home was 67.7%. Their winning percentage for away games were 50.5%, a difference of 17.2%.

This difference was ranked 15th among NFL teams, the middle of the pack and very close to the average homefield advantage among the teams. Therefore, Texas Stadium offered a real and distinct homefield advantage.

For AT&T stadium 2009 to present, the Cowboys have a home winning percentage of 53.8% and an away percentage of 55.4%, a difference of -1.6% and that places them 2nd to last in yhet category. They are 1 of only 2 teams that actually won more on the road from 2009 to the present, the other is Tampa Bay.

Notice, I did not draw any conclusions,I simply state statistical fact that can be cross checked by anyone familiar with the NFL-Reference database.

The reason for this is because one can look at a different perspective. Perhaps a low home/away percentage indicates the ability to play just as well on the road as at home. Perhaps it's the team culture.or the coaching. In any case, it is interesting to look at.

Some other observations about the time pwriod 2009 to present:

The greateat swing in percentage between home and away games beling to the Baltimore Ravens at 33.9%. They have won 75.4% at home, 41.6% away.....I believe they lost an away hame today.

Also close to the top are the Vikings, Seahawks, and Packers. The Cardinals are at #6, very tough to beat at home.

Interestingly, all four NFC east teams are in the bottom 10, only the Giants are not in the bottom 6. I believe this relates to their rivalries, there is a malevolent satisfaction in beating eachh other in their own back yard.

Good post and thanks for schooling me up,as being a fan I've never checked into those numbers but found your effort of high interest and insightful
This NFL reference database sounds like something I could have fun with sometimes ,is it something that could tell me with a few clicks say,,,like,,, which stadium draws the most opponents penalties, or would that still require work?
 

bark

Well-Known Member
Messages
6,039
Reaction score
7,404
Wasn't dallas 7-1 at home last year.
They lost the opener to the Giants and then the playoff lost to greenbay. So 7-2 counting the playoffs.
I think home field is more important the younger your team is.
May it be kind to us again this year.

I will tell this. Last years playoff game against gb was the loudest sporting event I've ever attended. Could not talk to the person right beside you for the noise. Unbelievable what Rodgers did in the closing seconds in that environment
 

bayeslife

187beatdown
Messages
9,457
Reaction score
8,573
Depends on who they play. The crowd is noticeably louder against division opponents.
 

plasticman

Well-Known Member
Messages
9,479
Reaction score
16,085
Opponent false starts would be my measure of choice
But does it translate to wins? You see those penalties only one or two times, perhaps. What about goal to goal and the crowd ia cheering the defense. What about crowd
Good post and thanks for schooling me up,as being a fan I've never checked into those numbers but found your effort of high interest and insightful
This NFL reference database sounds like something I could have fun with sometimes ,is it something that could tell me with a few clicks say,,,like,,, which stadium draws the most opponents penalties, or would that still require work?

You could get that information once you know how to ask the question. There is a section known as "play index" where you select the general option of what you are looking for and then you just enter in the specific sata.

There is a large mumber of options, careful, it is highly addictive. If you know how to copy and paste to an excel spreadsheet then the world of NFL stats becomes your playground.
 
Top