Yes, please educate me on the equation which illustrates great player low investment.
Sure.
Let's start with the worst place to invest heavily is RB. It is the most famous position for getting production at a cheap cost. We have even experienced that relatively recently with Murray, McFadden, Morris etc.
You know for certain he will not make it through his second contract? No, you don't.
And do you know he will? No you don't. History shows it is more likely he won't than he will. So the
smart money is to proceed as if he won't.
BTW that ignores the above point. Even if he does make it through a 2nd contract you will have paid top dollar for production that routinely comes at bargain basement rates.
You don't even know whether his skill set will diminish.
Yes, I do. Because his skills have
already diminished. Zeke lacks the elite burst he demonstrated his rookie year. He breaks less long runs, he's less productive per rush and last year he was more banged up than he has been in any of the previous two years. Already he doesn't practice during the week. This is year 3. But you're confident he ages like wine through year 10?
Because that is an unknown. One circumstance in the NFL, or one player, does not dictate what another player will do. If for nothing else Brady suggests the idea of age is not cast in cement.
Comparing the aging of QB and RB is embarrassing.
But, but, but running backs take such abuse. That is why the investment isn't worth it.
Risk vs. reward The window for this team is the next few years. Franchising him twice then reevaluate is an idea.
If the window is the next two years why would we want to tie up high dollars in a position where you could get production much cheaper and spread those other dollars to fill additional holes.
Let me ask you is this team better with Iloka and Zeke or Patrick Lindsay and Earl Thomas?
But this notion that you just get rid of superior play making talent is contrary to the fact teams win with play makers.
I get it. I disagree with it whole heartedly.
The idea is you get superior play making cheaper at RB so you can pay for more expensive playmaking at other positions that aren't so easily filled.
This is all really quite simple.