It’s weird to me to see how much faith people are willing to put on Kellen Moore as OC—and I think he’ll end up a really good coach.
A healthy Frederick will go a long way. Beyond that, we didn’t really do that much to improve the red zone. If we’re luck, Cobb for Beasley is a push in RZ. Cooper doesn’t help much. Witten has never been a lethal RZ threat, so I don’t understand it when I see that written. I do think we can use scheme to free up Dak some more inside if Frederick coming back improves the run game down there. But that’s incremental improvement at best. I think we’ll be lucky to be mediocre in RZ this season, overall. Though I do think we’re going to score more from outside the RZ. Maybe quite a bit more.
I think the optimistic thing about the RZ is, you don't explicitly need a bunch of RZ weapons to be a top 10 Redzone team. We have the talent to be there.
The Cardinals (worst offense in the league), Bengals, Bears, Browns, and Seahawks were all top 10 in TDs per RZ drive. Panthers and Bucs also top 15. The Bills, yes Buffalo, was the team at #16. Couple good offenses here, mainly looking at the bad ones, but none of them are exactly world beaters.
The big # I'd have painted in blood in the Offense meetings + locker room is 29. We were 29th in both TDs per redzone drive and Points per Redzone drive. I'd be okay with being mediocre in the RZ if it came with top 10 in pts/drive. Mediocre would still be a big upgrade. Rams and NE were both mediocre in RZ surprisingly, but top 10 in pts/drive so that's okay. Mediocre in both though and we're probably not winning anything, which is a whole other bag of problems with coaching contracts.
The good thing is they should know this, and it's also probably the easiest thing to improve, with our personnel, that gives us a significant marginal improvement. We don't exactly need additional personnel, it'd be nice but we should have enough "talent". I think the biggest thing is probably just the amount of attention it should be getting, especially with JG in a contract year and Moore having things to prove. That 29th ranking is a blight, and could directly lead to lost jobs, and is embarrassing in general, so I have to imagine it's going to be a focus. The OL and additional stuff will really just be compounding on the emphasis, since it looks to be the path of least resistance in improving the offense. In my opinion anyway.
I'm not really sure where we end up, though. But, I was a little more optimistic after seeing some truly bad teams, and teams where I'd say we pretty objectively have more talent, in the top groups. Hopefully we figure it out.