How Many Wins Will It Take?

jazzcat22

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The NFC will have some very good teams this season. I think that's good for increasing the wins to advance to the playoffs. I think it will go as follows...

1. 14 wins Rams
2. 13 wins Packers
3. 12 wins Saints
4. 10 wins Cowboys
5. 12 wins Bears
6. 10 wins 49ers

GB will not win 13 games this year. They will be lucky to win 9.
The rest I can see, but Dallas maybe 11, and Chicago 11 also.
I would put the Eagles up there about 9. And Atlanta as well, 9 or 10.
Rams getting 14 may be high as well, give them 13.
But all are within the range you have, except GB.
 

Aerolithe_Lion

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I don’t want to be ‘that guy.’ But half-game marks are used for odds. People pick higher or lower than that number. No team can actually win 10.5 games, so stating that as you prediction is... a bold strategy.
 

jazzcat22

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11 wins for division but will need 12 for a bye, and 13 for HFA. 10 for a WC.

Only way 9 wins gets a WC is if some teams collapse and another team sneaks in, such as the Vikings and Eagles did last year.
 

Praxit

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....I would think with schedule and how good teams are today. 10 has to be the default with another for tie breaker or just to get a spot in post season.
 

Hawkeye0202

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To be honest, for us not to win the NFC East, our division will likely end with quite a few superlatives. Commanders playing a rookie QB, or Eli and/or rookie QB playing w/o OBJ or Wentz never played a full 16 game schedule. All reasons why they will likely clean if we miss the postseason or go one and done.
 

JoeKing

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I disagree with your first 2 picks. You could be right but I don't see the Rams winning 14 games because Gurley isn't health and won't stay healthy. I don't see the Packers winning 13 games with Chicago and Minnesota in that division. I'm not sold on 49ers either but they have some potential.
That's the feedback I've been expecting. I'm betting on the Rams and Packers to shock everyone with how good they've become. I also see an AFC team do really well with 15 wins... Kansas City.
 

JoeKing

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GB will not win 13 games this year. They will be lucky to win 9.
The rest I can see, but Dallas maybe 11, and Chicago 11 also.
I would put the Eagles up there about 9. And Atlanta as well, 9 or 10.
Rams getting 14 may be high as well, give them 13.
But all are within the range you have, except GB.
Thanks for your feedback. I'm betting the Packers shock the league with how much better they are this season.
 

Fletch

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1. To win the NFC top seed? Home Field throughout.

2. To win second place and a bye?

3. To win the NFC East? Just to win the east.

4. To make it as a Wild card?

My opinion

1 - 13

2 - 12

3 - 10.5

4 - 9.5

I could be wrong. I am lousy at this.
You are lousy. That’s something myself and many others can agree upon.

Jk!

I think it’ll be tight in the East. #3 at 10.5 is my prediction. Many are predicting the Eagles to be really good this year. They will be a challenge and have the more favorable (on paper) schedule to this point.

If we are healthy, and Kellen proves to be the exact opposite of Linehan, and the D grows from last year’s efforts, we’re gonna be Divisional Champs and pushing toward the ultimate goal. We’ll see.
 

Tabascocat

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14 top seed
14 2nd seed, lose tiebreaker to #1
11 to win East
9-a team will slide in for that last playoff spot
 

DandyDon52

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There is also this crazy stat that all the "experts" that agree on the division winner is wrong. Philly is the team most are saying will win the division, seeing as how Philly and Dallas are the 2 best teams in the division one of those stats will be broken this season. Dallas has the overall better roster so I see Dallas breaking that stat.
Everyone seems to forget the Commanders were leading the div and beat dallas 1st game, then their qb was lost for the season.
they have him back plus the first round pick , so they have probably the best depth at qb in the east, maybe nfc this season.
I think they might win the div 11-5 , with dallas 10-6 as wc and philly either out or maybe 2nd wc.
 

ghst187

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We should win 12. Anything less than 11 and/or NFC championship appearance this year should be a fireable offense for JG.
I think 12 wins gets us the 2 seed. Suspect the Saints and Bears will be tough and fighting for home field. Think the Rams are playoffs good and win their division but take a step back overall.
 

Tussinman

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We started last year 3-5, but finished 10-6 (plus a playoff win) with only a half-season of Amari, no Fredbeard, and with a washed-up Linehan still calling the plays.

I figure with a full season of Amari, new blood at OC, a resurgent O-line and an improving defense, we could go 12-4 or even 13-3.

Figuring it might take Kellen Moore a game or two at OC to get his feet under him, I’m calling this:

11-5 and a trip to the NFC Champ game (at the least).

Go Cowboys!
Fredbeard, Cooper for full season, and Willams putting on 15lbs is a huge upgrade to the offense and the defense is already pretty stout.

Another underrated attribute is the cowboys went a measly 1-3 against the AFC last year. They could EASILY flip it and go 3-1 this year which would almost guaranteed them double digit wins
 

TwoDeep3

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I’m confused with #3 and #4 ? How do we win a half of game or is that a tie?

It was late, or early maybe for some So I wasn't clear I apologize..

So here is what I am thinking.- asking

NFC

To win the #1 slot for the play-offs and home field and a bye (any team) How many wins?

To win the #2 slot for the play-offs and a bye, home field untuil meeting #1 (any team) How many wins?

To win the NFC East. Just East teams. How many wins?

To win a wild card slot (anyt team) How many wins?
 

Diehardblues

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It was late, or early maybe for some So I wasn't clear I apologize..

So here is what I am thinking.- asking

NFC

To win the #1 slot for the play-offs and home field and a bye (any team) How many wins?

To win the #2 slot for the play-offs and a bye, home field untuil meeting #1 (any team) How many wins?

To win the NFC East. Just East teams. How many wins?

To win a wild card slot (anyt team) How many wins?
Understood

But how did you arrive for #3 10.5 and #4 9.5?

Do the fractions stand for ties or half games? Not sure the reasoning or calculation.
 

TwoDeep3

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Understood

But how did you arrive for #3 10.5 and #4 9.5?

Do the fractions stand for ties or half games? Not sure the reasoning or calculation.


I figure it might take 11 games to win the east but I believe 10 could win it. So I split the difference. Same with the wild card.

Which means I was bending the rules, I suppose.
 

Diehardblues

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I figure it might take 11 games to win the east but I believe 10 could win it. So I split the difference. Same with the wild card.

Which means I was bending the rules, I suppose.
Yea, it’d have to be either or.
Thanks for responding.
 

Irvin88_4life

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That's the feedback I've been expecting. I'm betting on the Rams and Packers to shock everyone with how good they've become. I also see an AFC team do really well with 15 wins... Kansas City.
Like I said that's my opinion and you could be totally right. Every year there is a team or two that shocks people
 

Irvin88_4life

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Everyone seems to forget the Commanders were leading the div and beat dallas 1st game, then their qb was lost for the season.
they have him back plus the first round pick , so they have probably the best depth at qb in the east, maybe nfc this season.
I think they might win the div 11-5 , with dallas 10-6 as wc and philly either out or maybe 2nd wc.
Haskins is a rookie and not many rookies will light it up. Peterson is older now as well. It's possible but even though Washington was leading the division I don't think it would have stayed that way. Had Dallas not traded for Cooper it's possible they would have stayed in the driver's seat but I'm not sold on Washington.
 
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