Dallas WR's vs. Philly WR's (analytic nerd alert!)

StarOfGlory

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Using the DYAR and DVOA stats, here is how the two most used WR's on both teams stack up. SImple explanation incoming:

DYAR is Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement.
Wide receivers are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the performance on plays where this WR caught the ball, compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. The higher the number, the better for the receiver's performance.

DVOA is Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average WR in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance.

Effective Yards translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Basically, a higher DYAR number means that WR has more overall value. A high DVOA means a WR has more value on any individual play.

Defensive pass interference in not part of this calculation, nor is dropped passes (good thing for Coop and Agalor), but does include all passes intended for the receiver.

Amari Cooper DYAR= 167; DVOA= 35%; Effective yards=533
Michael Gallop DYAR= 83; DVOA= 15.8%; Effective yards=362
Alshon Jeffery DYAR= 33; DVOA= -1.3%; Effective yards=287
Nelson Agholor DYAR= -50; DVOA= -28.6%; Effective yards=180

Catch rate of passes thrown in each receiver's direction:
Cooper= 73%
Gallup= 67%
Jeffery= 69%
Agholor= 59% plus two fumbles lost and dropped TD that cost the Eagles one game for sure.

Gallup and Agholor has each drawn a defensive pass interference call (Gallup for 13 yards, Agholor for 14 yards).


And just for poops and giggles:

Jason Witten DYAR= 56; DVOA= 23.4%; Effective yards= 275; Catch rate= 81%
Zach Ertz DYAR= -6; DVOA= -9.0%; Effective yards= 276; Catch rate= 61%

Watching almost every Eagle game, Ertz is constantly facing double coverages and bracketing from the defense. Combined with Wentz making passes to him that would require a miracle to catch, the numbers on Ertz do not surprise me. That fact that he is ranked 6th in effective yards among TE's is a testament to how good he really is (Witten ranked 7th in that stat) despite his negative DYAR and DVOA. And I'll bet slow-*** Witten is doing better than most people thought he would.
 

GenoT

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CF74

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Witten has always had good hands, dare I say elite hands. The issue is once he catches the ball more often than not it's just a cloud of dust. We need a TE with speed that can stretch the field a little bit more. When it's 3rd and 5 or 3rd and 7 it seems teams sometimes bracket him or at least they did in the past, and they stop him short of the chains. We need to get Jarwin involved in some intermediate to deep routes up the seam on first or second down. And we need to draft a TE, I admit I'm late to this party many have been saying it for about 3 years now but we had bigger needs back then.
 

GenoT

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Witten has always had good hands, dare I say elite hands. The issue is once he catches the ball more often than not it's just a cloud of dust. We need a TE with speed that can stretch the field a little bit more. When it's 3rd and 5 or 3rd and 7 it seems teams sometimes bracket him or at least they did in the past, and they stop him short of the chains. We need to get Jarwin involved in some intermediate to deep routes up the seam on first or second down. And we need to draft a TE, I admit I'm late to this party many have been saying it for about 3 years now but we had bigger needs back then.
IMO, and barring as-yet-unknown TE acquisitions, Jarwin will eventually be our all-around #1 TE.

However, for blocking and/or short-yardage/possession situations, Witten’s currently our best, based on proven consistency.
 

CF74

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IMO, and barring as-yet-unknown TE acquisitions, Jarwin will eventually be our all-around #1 TE.

However, for blocking and/or short-yardage/possession situations, Witten’s currently our best, based on proven consistency.

He looks better this season than his last one I'll give you that...:D
 
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